BA.2 surge hitting US in April/May

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:This thread didn’t age well.

How do?

[Anonymous]

We are having a lot of COVID + in my elementary school.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:This thread didn’t age well.

How do?

The thread hasn't aged well - since aggregate US hospitalizations are basically flat/down for April 2022 vs preceding month. The prediction was a "surge" would be "hitting" the US in April. If correct, then we would have seen evidence of big US hospitalizations during April which we did not. Any questions?

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:This thread didn’t age well.

How do?

The thread hasn't aged well - since aggregate US hospitalizations are basically flat/down for April 2022 vs preceding month. The prediction was a "surge" would be "hitting" the US in April. If correct, then we would have seen evidence of big US hospitalizations during April which we did not. Any questions?

It depends on whether you care about avoiding infection or not. Cases are up in areas where the sub-variant has taken hold, which includes much of the Northeast. Hospitalizations are up too, although fortunately not to the levels we saw in January. The numbers are relatively low compared to the holiday surge.

The last time I checked though, it was April 24 so it's too early to say that there will be no increase in hospitalizations in April and May. Hospitalizations lag behind cases. If you look at New York State, and in particular, the counties in the center of the state, they were the first to start seeing rising cases, and now hospitalizations are up there.

[Anonymous]

https://baltimore.cbslocal.com/2022/04/22/maryland-reports-1000-new-covid-19-cases-for-second-consecutive-day/

Cases up to 1000 per day in Maryland now.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:This thread didn’t age well.

How do?

The thread hasn't aged well - since aggregate US hospitalizations are basically flat/down for April 2022 vs preceding month. The prediction was a "surge" would be "hitting" the US in April. If correct, then we would have seen evidence of big US hospitalizations during April which we did not. Any questions?

Surge in cases doesn’t necessarily mean a surge in infections. With more than 50% of the country vaccinated plus something like 45% of the country has had COVID since December the death and hospitalization rates are now trending lower but overall cases are going up. On the one hand, that’s great news. OTOH, as other threads are showing, this can still be an infection like the worst flu you’ve ever had and cause longer term health issues.

See the reports of testing of wastewater. COVID rates are way up, people just aren’t testing.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:This thread didn’t age well.

How do?

The thread hasn't aged well - since aggregate US hospitalizations are basically flat/down for April 2022 vs preceding month. The prediction was a "surge" would be "hitting" the US in April. If correct, then we would have seen evidence of big US hospitalizations during April which we did not. Any questions?

Surge in cases doesn’t necessarily mean a surge in infections. With more than 50% of the country vaccinated plus something like 45% of the country has had COVID since December the death and hospitalization rates are now trending lower but overall cases are going up. On the one hand, that’s great news. OTOH, as other threads are showing, this can still be an infection like the worst flu you’ve ever had and cause longer term health issues.

See the reports of testing of wastewater. COVID rates are way up, people just aren’t testing.

Sorry, meant to say a surge in cases/infections doesn’t necessarily mean a surge in hospitalizations.

[Anonymous]

There clearly is a surge. Idk what the PP is talking about. But deaths and hospitalizations so far haven’t risen. It’s too early to tell though.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:This thread didn’t age well.

How do?

The thread hasn't aged well - since aggregate US hospitalizations are basically flat/down for April 2022 vs preceding month. The prediction was a "surge" would be "hitting" the US in April. If correct, then we would have seen evidence of big US hospitalizations during April which we did not. Any questions?

First of all, you are aware that hospitalization trail cases right? That's always been true. First we had a surge in cases, many of which thank goodness didn't not require medical attention. But then the people who didn't recover quickly started requiring treatment and hospitalization. There's always been a lag in hospitalization.

And second, OP of this thread didn't say hospitalizations would surge, just that there was predicted to be a surge in COVID cases in April/May. You aren't seeing a surge in cases where you live? I'm seeing it where I live... lots of kids at my elementary schools (I work at two) have been testing positive the past week.

[Anonymous]

When is this wave supposed to peak - any predictions out there? Haven’t seen any. I feel like omicron peaked in like 3-4 wks yet this has been on the incline since the end of March and it doesn’t appear a peak is in sight.

[Anonymous]

Cases don’t matter as much as hospitalizations and deaths.

[Anonymous]

Hospitalizations and deaths seem to lag surges by about 3 weeks. Hoping we don't see that.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:When is this wave supposed to peak - any predictions out there? Haven’t seen any. I feel like omicron peaked in like 3-4 wks yet this has been on the incline since the end of March and it doesn’t appear a peak is in sight.

The UVA model says not until June 5.