War with Iran

Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:Robert Pape's escalation trap is playing out in real time.

https://escalationtrap.substack.com/p/from-disruption-to-damage-in-the

"Right now, most people think they are watching how future escalation will unfold. They are not. They are watching the last phase of one kind of war—just before it becomes another. The next phase will not just be more intense. It will be fundamentally different. What is changing is not the level of violence. It is the nature of harm. We are now approaching that threshold."

"Most observers still believe escalation is a matter of degree. More strikes. More retaliation. More pressure. This assumes the war is simply intensifying along a familiar path. It is not. Escalation is not linear. It is structural – it crosses thresholds. What appears as gradual escalation is often a transition between fundamentally different phases of conflict. Leaders believe they are calibrating force. In reality, they are moving the war across thresholds that change what strategies are available – and the level of costs they will pay.

"Each move by the stronger side to “win” quickly created new incentives for the weaker side to widen and deepen the conflict."

"The United States and its partners have incentives to keep the conflict at the level of disruption. Temporary disruption preserves the option of restoring order without incurring the costs of rebuilding destroyed systems. Iran faces a different calculus. For Tehran, the stakes are existential. Survival, not stability, is the objective. When survival is at stake, the rational strategy is not calibrated restraint so as to retain capacity to benefit later. It is to impose costs on the opponent that are deep, prolonged, and difficult to reverse. History shows this logic clearly."


The US has lost and is now fighting to maintain US bases in the regime. We will lose this fight also. The Iranians can make it too expensive both in lives and money to keep the US bases open. We have lost over 20 multimillion dollar aircraft in 19 days. We can not replace these losses.

Saudi etc will turn to the Chinese once we leave and the oil will flow. Israel has over extended itself. Let’s recognize reality and cut our losses.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:🇺🇸🇮🇷 President Trump says he does not want a ceasefire with Iran.



https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-03-20/trump-says-he-doesn-t-want-ceasefire-in-iran-conflict


The Iranians know there is no ceasefire with Israel and the US. Any negotiations will result in the targeting of the Iranian negotiators. This is a battle for the existence of Iranian people.
Anonymous
Please, please let this be true.

Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:Please, please let this be true.



He's gotten bored. The guy has zero attention span.

Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:Please, please let this be true.



This might be cover for the ground invasion. Which would be the first smart thing Trump has done…so would have to discount that.

I wonder if Iran will stop? I mean they definitely have the upper hand and can continue to pound Israel.
Anonymous
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Anonymous wrote:🇮🇱 Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu says "Jesus Christ has no advantage over Genghis Khan."

"If you are strong enough, ruthless enough, and powerful enough, evil will overcome good."




OMG


Morons (Zionists) want us to believe it’s a warning, while we understand it for what it actually is - a threat.


Interesting. Didn’t Iran just threaten parks and public in Israel and the US? And you’re calling others morons? 😂


DP. Israel and the US attacked Iran. Israel as normal is unable to defeat any military in the region and is back to killing civilians. Live by the sword die by the sword. The day is coming when these same tact will be used on Israel. Iran has enough missiles to continue this for a year of longer. Can Israel survive that?

Iran is a religious country which is guided moral and religious principles unlike its opponent. Though if pushed too hard Iran will end the threat that is Israel.


OMG, what on earth did I just read? Are you posting straight from Tehran? You know, the place that just HUNG three protesters after torturing them into confessions? After murdering thousands of other innocent protesters?

SURE... Iran is guided by its deeply "moral and religious principles." I think you meant fanaticism. I truly hope your post was satire.


Can you just stop with your nonsense. Iran was hit 14 times with chemical weapons during the Iraq war. They did not respond in kind because the religious leaders say chemical weapons are amoral. The same with developing nuclear weapons.

At this point Israel has killed more Iranians civilians vs the regime.

If you have to say one side is measured and moral in this fight it is Iran.

If you say a country who kills civilians is evil and a terrorists country, why have you not denounced Israel? 100,000 killed in Gaza and that does not even come close to all the murders commit over time. Now adding all the people held in prison in Israel. Technically those people are Israel citizens displaced by the apartheid regime. Israel has a much smaller population vs Iran.

A state at war dies not commit terrorism. A state commits war crimes and crimes against humanity. Terrorism is the targeted use of violence by non-state actors to create fear for ideological or political goals. A state at war involves organized military forces from recognized nations engaging in combat.

There is very little support for this war and the US has lost. This means the US will pull out of the regime. This is the experts consensus. Everything going forward at this point is just salting the ground. Think of how this will impact the regime.



JFC, you really aren't even trying to hide your trolling, are you? Iran is downright giddy at the use of chemical weapons. Please stop pushing your propaganda. You just look idiotic.

As early as the 1980s, the U.S. intelligence community documented the ways in which Iran deployed chemical weapons for tactical delivery on the battlefield. Nearly 40 years later, U.S. officials formally assessed that Iran was in non-compliance with its Chemical Weapons Convention (CWC) obligations, pointing specifically to Tehran’s development of pharmaceutical-based agents (PBAs) that attack a person’s central nervous system as part of a chemical weapons program. Over time, concern about this program has increased, with reports to the Organisation for the Prevention of Chemical Weapons (OPCW), statements by multilateral groups such as the G7, and a variety of U.S. government reports and sanctions. Today, with Iran’s proxies wreaking havoc throughout the region, officials worry Tehran may have already provided weaponized PBAs to several of its partners and proxies. Such a capability, tactically deployed on the battlefield, could enable further October 7-style cross-border raids or kidnapping operations. With the region on edge following the targeted killing of Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah, followed by an Israeli ground campaign targeting Hezbollah infrastructure along the border, and the Iranian ballistic missile attack on Israel, concern about the use of such tactical chemical weapons is high.

Since at least 2005, U.S. authorities contend, Iran has conducted extensive research and development of pharmaceutical-based chemical agents (PBAs), primarily anesthetics used to incapacitate victims by targeting the central nervous system, in violation of the Chemical Weapons Convention.1 While Tehran contends its PBA program is allowed under an exception for developing crowd control tools for law enforcement, Iran has been called out—along with Russia and Syria—for developing these dual-use chemical agents by the Organisation for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons (OPCW).2

Iran’s weaponization of PBAs, however, is no longer just a matter of research and development. Beyond its R&D program, Iran now appears to have produced fentanyl-based or other types of weaponized PBAs and provided these to partners and proxy groups that may have already used them in several cases in Iraq and Syria.8 At home, Iranian journalists have investigated the poisoning of thousands of school-aged girls with some suspecting the symptoms displayed suggest the involvement of PBAs (some believe this was an Iranian government response to a protest movement, while the Iranian government claims it was an attack by unspecified ‘enemies’).
https://ctc.westpoint.edu/tehrans-tactical-knockout-weaponized-pharmaceutical-based-agents/
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:Please, please let this be true.



He has done this 4 or 5 times now - telegraphing the opposite of what he intends to actually do.

That same movie again?!

Who is foolish enough to read this and not understand it means that we are about to escalate this thing dramatically. Every time he says one thing, he does the exact opposite within days.

If I knew how to wager right now on polyamory (or whatever that site is) that the U.S. will be escalating this war SIGNIFICANTLY in the next 36 - 72 hours, I would be betting the entire house on it …
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Vast majority of the British People do not want any part in the Israel-U.S. war of choice on Iran.

Ignoring his own People, Mr. Starmer is putting British lives in danger by allowing UK bases to be used for aggression against Iran. Iran will exercise its right to self-defense.



You are quoting the Foreign Minister of IRAN as some sort of legitimate source?? JFC. You really are far gone.


DP Why do you dismiss and shout down anything that is not Israeli propaganda? The Iranians have been more truthful vs Israel, the US and MSM.



I dismiss ANY propaganda. But the fact that you take what Iran says to be true is a whole new level of brainwashing. I only use legitimate sources. Why can't you?
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:🇺🇸🇮🇷 President Trump says he does not want a ceasefire with Iran.



https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-03-20/trump-says-he-doesn-t-want-ceasefire-in-iran-conflict


The Iranians know there is no ceasefire with Israel and the US. Any negotiations will result in the targeting of the Iranian negotiators. This is a battle for the existence of Iranian people.


Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:🇮🇱 Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu says "Jesus Christ has no advantage over Genghis Khan."

"If you are strong enough, ruthless enough, and powerful enough, evil will overcome good."




OMG


Morons (Zionists) want us to believe it’s a warning, while we understand it for what it actually is - a threat.


Interesting. Didn’t Iran just threaten parks and public in Israel and the US? And you’re calling others morons? 😂


DP. Israel and the US attacked Iran. Israel as normal is unable to defeat any military in the region and is back to killing civilians. Live by the sword die by the sword. The day is coming when these same tact will be used on Israel. Iran has enough missiles to continue this for a year of longer. Can Israel survive that?

Iran is a religious country which is guided moral and religious principles unlike its opponent. Though if pushed too hard Iran will end the threat that is Israel.


OMG, what on earth did I just read? Are you posting straight from Tehran? You know, the place that just HUNG three protesters after torturing them into confessions? After murdering thousands of other innocent protesters?

SURE... Iran is guided by its deeply "moral and religious principles." I think you meant fanaticism. I truly hope your post was satire.


Can you just stop with your nonsense. Iran was hit 14 times with chemical weapons during the Iraq war. They did not respond in kind because the religious leaders say chemical weapons are amoral. The same with developing nuclear weapons.

At this point Israel has killed more Iranians civilians vs the regime.

If you have to say one side is measured and moral in this fight it is Iran.

If you say a country who kills civilians is evil and a terrorists country, why have you not denounced Israel? 100,000 killed in Gaza and that does not even come close to all the murders commit over time. Now adding all the people held in prison in Israel. Technically those people are Israel citizens displaced by the apartheid regime. Israel has a much smaller population vs Iran.

A state at war dies not commit terrorism. A state commits war crimes and crimes against humanity. Terrorism is the targeted use of violence by non-state actors to create fear for ideological or political goals. A state at war involves organized military forces from recognized nations engaging in combat.

There is very little support for this war and the US has lost. This means the US will pull out of the regime. This is the experts consensus. Everything going forward at this point is just salting the ground. Think of how this will impact the regime.



JFC, you really aren't even trying to hide your trolling, are you? Iran is downright giddy at the use of chemical weapons. Please stop pushing your propaganda. You just look idiotic.

As early as the 1980s, the U.S. intelligence community documented the ways in which Iran deployed chemical weapons for tactical delivery on the battlefield. Nearly 40 years later, U.S. officials formally assessed that Iran was in non-compliance with its Chemical Weapons Convention (CWC) obligations, pointing specifically to Tehran’s development of pharmaceutical-based agents (PBAs) that attack a person’s central nervous system as part of a chemical weapons program. Over time, concern about this program has increased, with reports to the Organisation for the Prevention of Chemical Weapons (OPCW), statements by multilateral groups such as the G7, and a variety of U.S. government reports and sanctions. Today, with Iran’s proxies wreaking havoc throughout the region, officials worry Tehran may have already provided weaponized PBAs to several of its partners and proxies. Such a capability, tactically deployed on the battlefield, could enable further October 7-style cross-border raids or kidnapping operations. With the region on edge following the targeted killing of Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah, followed by an Israeli ground campaign targeting Hezbollah infrastructure along the border, and the Iranian ballistic missile attack on Israel, concern about the use of such tactical chemical weapons is high.

Since at least 2005, U.S. authorities contend, Iran has conducted extensive research and development of pharmaceutical-based chemical agents (PBAs), primarily anesthetics used to incapacitate victims by targeting the central nervous system, in violation of the Chemical Weapons Convention.1 While Tehran contends its PBA program is allowed under an exception for developing crowd control tools for law enforcement, Iran has been called out—along with Russia and Syria—for developing these dual-use chemical agents by the Organisation for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons (OPCW).2

Iran’s weaponization of PBAs, however, is no longer just a matter of research and development. Beyond its R&D program, Iran now appears to have produced fentanyl-based or other types of weaponized PBAs and provided these to partners and proxy groups that may have already used them in several cases in Iraq and Syria.8 At home, Iranian journalists have investigated the poisoning of thousands of school-aged girls with some suspecting the symptoms displayed suggest the involvement of PBAs (some believe this was an Iranian government response to a protest movement, while the Iranian government claims it was an attack by unspecified ‘enemies’).
https://ctc.westpoint.edu/tehrans-tactical-knockout-weaponized-pharmaceutical-based-agents/


I am not engaging with you and your less end propaganda any more. It is useless to engage a zealot like yourself. You are why we are at war with a country that never attacked the US.
Anonymous
Is it possible that after 402 pages nobody is understanding the geopolitical and economic importance of this war?
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:🇮🇱 Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu says "Jesus Christ has no advantage over Genghis Khan."

"If you are strong enough, ruthless enough, and powerful enough, evil will overcome good."




OMG


Morons (Zionists) want us to believe it’s a warning, while we understand it for what it actually is - a threat.


Interesting. Didn’t Iran just threaten parks and public in Israel and the US? And you’re calling others morons? 😂


DP. Israel and the US attacked Iran. Israel as normal is unable to defeat any military in the region and is back to killing civilians. Live by the sword die by the sword. The day is coming when these same tact will be used on Israel. Iran has enough missiles to continue this for a year of longer. Can Israel survive that?

Iran is a religious country which is guided moral and religious principles unlike its opponent. Though if pushed too hard Iran will end the threat that is Israel.


OMG, what on earth did I just read? Are you posting straight from Tehran? You know, the place that just HUNG three protesters after torturing them into confessions? After murdering thousands of other innocent protesters?

SURE... Iran is guided by its deeply "moral and religious principles." I think you meant fanaticism. I truly hope your post was satire.


Can you just stop with your nonsense. Iran was hit 14 times with chemical weapons during the Iraq war. They did not respond in kind because the religious leaders say chemical weapons are amoral. The same with developing nuclear weapons.

At this point Israel has killed more Iranians civilians vs the regime.

If you have to say one side is measured and moral in this fight it is Iran.

If you say a country who kills civilians is evil and a terrorists country, why have you not denounced Israel? 100,000 killed in Gaza and that does not even come close to all the murders commit over time. Now adding all the people held in prison in Israel. Technically those people are Israel citizens displaced by the apartheid regime. Israel has a much smaller population vs Iran.

A state at war dies not commit terrorism. A state commits war crimes and crimes against humanity. Terrorism is the targeted use of violence by non-state actors to create fear for ideological or political goals. A state at war involves organized military forces from recognized nations engaging in combat.

There is very little support for this war and the US has lost. This means the US will pull out of the regime. This is the experts consensus. Everything going forward at this point is just salting the ground. Think of how this will impact the regime.



JFC, you really aren't even trying to hide your trolling, are you? Iran is downright giddy at the use of chemical weapons. Please stop pushing your propaganda. You just look idiotic.

As early as the 1980s, the U.S. intelligence community documented the ways in which Iran deployed chemical weapons for tactical delivery on the battlefield. Nearly 40 years later, U.S. officials formally assessed that Iran was in non-compliance with its Chemical Weapons Convention (CWC) obligations, pointing specifically to Tehran’s development of pharmaceutical-based agents (PBAs) that attack a person’s central nervous system as part of a chemical weapons program. Over time, concern about this program has increased, with reports to the Organisation for the Prevention of Chemical Weapons (OPCW), statements by multilateral groups such as the G7, and a variety of U.S. government reports and sanctions. Today, with Iran’s proxies wreaking havoc throughout the region, officials worry Tehran may have already provided weaponized PBAs to several of its partners and proxies. Such a capability, tactically deployed on the battlefield, could enable further October 7-style cross-border raids or kidnapping operations. With the region on edge following the targeted killing of Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah, followed by an Israeli ground campaign targeting Hezbollah infrastructure along the border, and the Iranian ballistic missile attack on Israel, concern about the use of such tactical chemical weapons is high.

Since at least 2005, U.S. authorities contend, Iran has conducted extensive research and development of pharmaceutical-based chemical agents (PBAs), primarily anesthetics used to incapacitate victims by targeting the central nervous system, in violation of the Chemical Weapons Convention.1 While Tehran contends its PBA program is allowed under an exception for developing crowd control tools for law enforcement, Iran has been called out—along with Russia and Syria—for developing these dual-use chemical agents by the Organisation for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons (OPCW).2

Iran’s weaponization of PBAs, however, is no longer just a matter of research and development. Beyond its R&D program, Iran now appears to have produced fentanyl-based or other types of weaponized PBAs and provided these to partners and proxy groups that may have already used them in several cases in Iraq and Syria.8 At home, Iranian journalists have investigated the poisoning of thousands of school-aged girls with some suspecting the symptoms displayed suggest the involvement of PBAs (some believe this was an Iranian government response to a protest movement, while the Iranian government claims it was an attack by unspecified ‘enemies’).
https://ctc.westpoint.edu/tehrans-tactical-knockout-weaponized-pharmaceutical-based-agents/


I am not engaging with you and your less end propaganda any more. It is useless to engage a zealot like yourself. You are why we are at war with a country that never attacked the US.


You're clearly not even from the U.S. and all of your posts make this abundantly clear. I've sourced all of the information I post. But you know all about propaganda and zealotry. You'll be back with more BS any minute now.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:Is it possible that after 402 pages nobody is understanding the geopolitical and economic importance of this war?


The short version - the US has started a war it cannot win. The geopolitical and economic repercussions will be felt for decades.
Anonymous
Got circled back to this incident of Senatwat Shitty breaking retired Marine Corps Sgt. Brian McGinnis. Not sure if this view of the incident has been seen by people.

Prior to the video, apparently the Army Chief of Staff was asked by someone specifically about military readiness of the US if the army was postured to fight: in the Pacific, in Centcom, in Southern Command, potentially take Greenland, and potentially support operations in Ukraine. And the Chief of Staff said without hesitation, "Absolutely, we are".

And then McGinnis stood up and the linked video starts with him saying, "Israel is the reason for this war. Americans don't want to fight this war for Israel", and then immediately gets violently assaulted by Capitol police before he can even finish that 2nd sentence.

This is disturbing.

The lady recording the video literally starts doing a Cersei Lannister "Shame" on the Four Stars sitting in the front who she calls out as robots for not even turning around at this Marine being assaulted for telling them the soldiers don't support the war.

Seriously, though. There are so many ex-military who are decorated veterans, many special forces, of multiple deployments in several wars who have come out against the war. I'm pretty sure they speak for the soldiers more than any other group of people from politicians to the generals to the armchair zio-journalists.


Marine gets arm broken amid Iran war protest as police, Senator Tim Sheehy eject him from hearing
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Is it possible that after 402 pages nobody is understanding the geopolitical and economic importance of this war?


The short version - the US has started a war it cannot win. The geopolitical and economic repercussions will be felt for decades.

Truly dumb. China gets 40% of crude oil from Iran via straight of Hormuz. Now they don’t. I’m not in favor of war, but the level of ignorance here, including yours, is beyond comprehension,
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