"Without mitigation, they predict that 80% of elementary students will be infected within 2 months"

Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:There's been 310 hospitalizations of kids ages 0 to 9 since February 2020 (since pandemic started) in the whole state of Virginia.

It's going to be ok.

36,403 cases (0-9)

310 hospitalizations (0-9)

2 deaths (0-9)

Thus, death rate for ages 0-9 was 0.005%. Or roughly 1 in 18,000


ok but assuming these numbers are correct..that means hospitalization rate was .9%. That is almost 1 out of every hundred ending up in the hospital.


hence the very high anxiety. Even a small elementary school has several hundred students. Knowing a few will end up hospitalized from any given school are terrible odds and explains all the fear.


PP had their math wrong.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:There's been 310 hospitalizations of kids ages 0 to 9 since February 2020 (since pandemic started) in the whole state of Virginia.

It's going to be ok.

36,403 cases (0-9)

310 hospitalizations (0-9)

2 deaths (0-9)

Thus, death rate for ages 0-9 was 0.005%. Or roughly 1 in 18,000


ok but assuming these numbers are correct..that means hospitalization rate was .9%. That is almost 1 out of every hundred ending up in the hospital.


hence the very high anxiety. Even a small elementary school has several hundred students. Knowing a few will end up hospitalized from any given school are terrible odds and explains all the fear.


PP had their math wrong.


What math is "wrong"?
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:There's been 310 hospitalizations of kids ages 0 to 9 since February 2020 (since pandemic started) in the whole state of Virginia.

It's going to be ok.

36,403 cases (0-9)

310 hospitalizations (0-9)

2 deaths (0-9)

Thus, death rate for ages 0-9 was 0.005%. Or roughly 1 in 18,000


ok but assuming these numbers are correct..that means hospitalization rate was .9%. That is almost 1 out of every hundred ending up in the hospital.


hence the very high anxiety. Even a small elementary school has several hundred students. Knowing a few will end up hospitalized from any given school are terrible odds and explains all the fear.


PP had their math wrong.


What math is "wrong"?


All of it. Off by an order of magnitude.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:There's been 310 hospitalizations of kids ages 0 to 9 since February 2020 (since pandemic started) in the whole state of Virginia.

It's going to be ok.

36,403 cases (0-9)

310 hospitalizations (0-9)

2 deaths (0-9)

Thus, death rate for ages 0-9 was 0.005%. Or roughly 1 in 18,000


ok but assuming these numbers are correct..that means hospitalization rate was .9%. That is almost 1 out of every hundred ending up in the hospital.


0.09%. Not 0.9%. Not 1/100.


wrong.

If 310 children out of 36,403 cases are hospitalized, that is .85 percent. That is 1 child out of 117 in that age group for whatever period of time those number represent. That is concerning.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:There's been 310 hospitalizations of kids ages 0 to 9 since February 2020 (since pandemic started) in the whole state of Virginia.

It's going to be ok.

36,403 cases (0-9)

310 hospitalizations (0-9)

2 deaths (0-9)

Thus, death rate for ages 0-9 was 0.005%. Or roughly 1 in 18,000


ok but assuming these numbers are correct..that means hospitalization rate was .9%. That is almost 1 out of every hundred ending up in the hospital.


1 in 100 people with bronchitis, RSV, flu, chicken pox, all kinds of things probably end up in the hospital.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:There's been 310 hospitalizations of kids ages 0 to 9 since February 2020 (since pandemic started) in the whole state of Virginia.

It's going to be ok.

36,403 cases (0-9)

310 hospitalizations (0-9)

2 deaths (0-9)

Thus, death rate for ages 0-9 was 0.005%. Or roughly 1 in 18,000


ok but assuming these numbers are correct..that means hospitalization rate was .9%. That is almost 1 out of every hundred ending up in the hospital.


0.09%. Not 0.9%. Not 1/100.


wrong.

If 310 children out of 36,403 cases are hospitalized, that is .85 percent. That is 1 child out of 117 in that age group for whatever period of time those number represent. That is concerning.


Over an 18 months timeframe, only 310 hospitalizations in the 0-9 age group in a population of 1M+ is not "concerning"
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:There's been 310 hospitalizations of kids ages 0 to 9 since February 2020 (since pandemic started) in the whole state of Virginia.

It's going to be ok.

36,403 cases (0-9)

310 hospitalizations (0-9)

2 deaths (0-9)

Thus, death rate for ages 0-9 was 0.005%. Or roughly 1 in 18,000


ok but assuming these numbers are correct..that means hospitalization rate was .9%. That is almost 1 out of every hundred ending up in the hospital.


hence the very high anxiety. Even a small elementary school has several hundred students. Knowing a few will end up hospitalized from any given school are terrible odds and explains all the fear.


PP had their math wrong.


What math is "wrong"?


All of it. Off by an order of magnitude.


It's not. Are you the poster who thinks 0.9% or 1% is not roughly 1 in 100 and you be adding 0's n ish ?
Anonymous
This is the same order of magnitude as RSV hospitalizations under 5 (I'm seeing numbers everywhere from .29% to 1.5% for infants). What is the threshold for closing day cares? I know it seems callous, but I think we need to consider covid risks in the context of other risks we do accept.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:There's been 310 hospitalizations of kids ages 0 to 9 since February 2020 (since pandemic started) in the whole state of Virginia.

It's going to be ok.

36,403 cases (0-9)

310 hospitalizations (0-9)

2 deaths (0-9)

Thus, death rate for ages 0-9 was 0.005%. Or roughly 1 in 18,000


ok but assuming these numbers are correct..that means hospitalization rate was .9%. That is almost 1 out of every hundred ending up in the hospital.


1 in 100 people with bronchitis, RSV, flu, chicken pox, all kinds of things probably end up in the hospital.


ok - link to that stats please that 1 in 100 kids with chicken pox end up in the hospital. That is very concerning. In many states - kids do not attend school without required vaccinations... chickenpox is highly contagious.
Anonymous
I actually know a kid who was recently in a Texas hospital for RSV.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:I actually know a kid who was recently in a Texas hospital for RSV.


Well apparently there are areas of texas where kids needing ICU beds are shit out of luck right now. Hope the child will make a full recovery and get the care needed.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:There's been 310 hospitalizations of kids ages 0 to 9 since February 2020 (since pandemic started) in the whole state of Virginia.

It's going to be ok.

36,403 cases (0-9)

310 hospitalizations (0-9)

2 deaths (0-9)

Thus, death rate for ages 0-9 was 0.005%. Or roughly 1 in 18,000


ok but assuming these numbers are correct..that means hospitalization rate was .9%. That is almost 1 out of every hundred ending up in the hospital.


1 in 100 people with bronchitis, RSV, flu, chicken pox, all kinds of things probably end up in the hospital.


ok - link to that stats please that 1 in 100 kids with chicken pox end up in the hospital. That is very concerning. In many states - kids do not attend school without required vaccinations... chickenpox is highly contagious.


Yes please - what is the source of this information?
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:There's been 310 hospitalizations of kids ages 0 to 9 since February 2020 (since pandemic started) in the whole state of Virginia.

It's going to be ok.

36,403 cases (0-9)

310 hospitalizations (0-9)

2 deaths (0-9)

Thus, death rate for ages 0-9 was 0.005%. Or roughly 1 in 18,000


ok but assuming these numbers are correct..that means hospitalization rate was .9%. That is almost 1 out of every hundred ending up in the hospital.


1 in 100 people with bronchitis, RSV, flu, chicken pox, all kinds of things probably end up in the hospital.


ok - link to that stats please that 1 in 100 kids with chicken pox end up in the hospital. That is very concerning. In many states - kids do not attend school without required vaccinations... chickenpox is highly contagious.


Yes please - what is the source of this information?


Don't play coy you two. It's 1 sentence. Read again. R-E-A-D.

Which of you also doesn't understand .9% is roughly 1 in 100.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:There's been 310 hospitalizations of kids ages 0 to 9 since February 2020 (since pandemic started) in the whole state of Virginia.

It's going to be ok.

36,403 cases (0-9)

310 hospitalizations (0-9)

2 deaths (0-9)

Thus, death rate for ages 0-9 was 0.005%. Or roughly 1 in 18,000


ok but assuming these numbers are correct..that means hospitalization rate was .9%. That is almost 1 out of every hundred ending up in the hospital.


1 in 100 people with bronchitis, RSV, flu, chicken pox, all kinds of things probably end up in the hospital.


ok - link to that stats please that 1 in 100 kids with chicken pox end up in the hospital. That is very concerning. In many states - kids do not attend school without required vaccinations... chickenpox is highly contagious.


Yes please - what is the source of this information?


Don't play coy you two. It's 1 sentence. Read again. R-E-A-D.

Which of you also doesn't understand .9% is roughly 1 in 100.


I get that. That is basic math. some poster is claiming that the hospitalization rates for young covid patients is identical to that for young chickenpox patients. I just would like to see those stats.
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