Scholarships come out of the Athletic Department budget and Big 10 and SEC schools are under pressure from state legislatures to hold the line on tuition. I think the end result of this is going to be football sucking up an increasing amount of the athletic budgets as we move towards direct payments to schools. Right now the best football programs are running $30-$50 million dollar surpluses that fund the non-revenue sports. As we get closer to a free market, having to compensate football players and balance that compensation for title IX will shrink that number. Would anyone be surprised to see mens and womens basketball, football, and then enough women's sports to balance football with the rest just being club? If an AD has to pick between having a great mens swimming team and being able to pay for a top tier quarterback, swimming is in trouble |
That surplus is about to get bigger for the big conferences because they will be getting more tv revenue under the ncaa settlement. That’s why they are agreeing to offer all these additional scholarships for non-revenue sports. |
They're not agreeing to increase the number of scholarships. They're agreeing to up the limit of scholarships allowed and to cap the roster size at that same number. Huge difference. Individual schools will then choose if they want to spend that extra money. Most schools don't fund all their total allowed scholarships right now outside of football/mens basketball. Even women's basketball, typically considered the #3 focus in most analysis, many don't fill their current allowed rosters/scholarships in many P4 schools, even if those scholarships are "funded". You can look at Virginia school rosters and see that playing out already. Max scholarship/roster is currently 15 for WBB. Virginia Tech played last season with 12 players and made 2nd round of NCAA. In 2022/23, they rostered 13 and made the final 4 losing to eventual national champs. That's a current P4 school with arena sellouts last year, high end results, and their best player drafted into the WNBA, and they're actively not maxing their roster. There may be some increases in certain non-revenue sports because of the semantics of how the revenue sharing works, but schools will pick and choose which sports to focus on beyond football and basketball, just like they do now. The TV money has already been spent. |
| So is this the reason why some college soccer coaches are now becoming club coaches? |
| I need someone to explain what this NCAA change means to me as if I'm an 85 year old grandmother. |
To be truthful --- way to early to explain anything. As of this moment there are no changes. There likely will be as a number of things have been agreed to but all is still in flux. Nothing set in stone. |
Despite all the know it alls on DCUM, nobody knows yet. Nothing official yet and it will take a couple years to shake out |
And men’s football is going to get much more expensive once direct payments to players are allowed. There are several cases working there way up contending college athletes are employees and the schools have been losing most of them |
But isn't it established that women's soccer rosters are capped at 28 and that therefore schools like Penn State will have to cut 2025 commits? Or is that still not for sure? |
| Schools are already delaying and even retracting offers they've given 2025s. If your kid was expecting an offer soon, be patient. It's gonna be tough for a while. |
Is that really true- that schools have been retracting 2025 offers? Is there an example of a school that has done that? |
https://twitter.com/ImYouthSoccer/status/1819810616548421868 |
28 is agreed but the deal is not done. No there is no need for anyone to do anything right now. Some schools who likely got too many commits are using this as an excuse to cut. I would not expect this to be that big a deal to anyone but the few who get cut. I do think the 2026's will have less slots. Nothing is for sure yet though. |
My wife's cousin's daughter is one of the grad students on the Penn State team. Throughout her long (interminable?) time at PSU, they have always had really big freshman classes (she was essentially the 9th player in her class). Then plenty of people have transferred out, with a few high level players coming in each year. I think they will work it out, but it certainly won't surprise me if freshman recruiting classes get smaller, quickly. |
The difference is next year they cannot exceed 28 at any given time. Nowadays, they can exceed that number and have it ebb and flow as you noted with transfers in/out. They have to cut to hit that number. Most likely the cuts will primarily come from the incoming class at the time (i.e., 2025s). |