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Fairfax County Public Schools (FCPS)
I don’t think so, the growth is more in the type of housing that have fewer children. Most of Tyson’s growth is aimed at dink households (yes some children will live there but at much lower rates). |
DP. The county puts out annual reports that project growth and also has a "Residential Development Applications" dashboard that estimates potential student yields in different pyramids if various residential projects currently under consideration. FCPS chooses not to factor all that information into account when either forecasting enrollments or making capital investments. Then, when they end up with a mess on their hands due to their own poor planning, they turn around and claim boundary changes are the solution to their problems. You can't really be surprised that many people act with a mixture of anger and frustration - especially when those on the School Board who are the biggest advocates for redistricting live in areas where the schools were recently expanded. |
Please educate yourself. The "Residential Development Applications" dashboard mentioned in the prior post forecasts a potential yield to Marshall of 750 additional students (HS) and to McLean of 631 additional students, due primarily to projects in or near Tysons. If you look at the elementary schools serving Tysons, at least two (Spring Hill and Westgate) are seeing some significant growth. Spring Hill went from 830 to 946 over the past two years. Westgate went from 551 to 610. While other schools are also seeing some post-Covid rebounds in enrollment, it's generally not to the same degree. |
How accurate are those forecasts? Relying on them and expanding Bucknell get FCPS a half empty school |
It worked really well for some schools. The only ones moved were a small number of kids from Floris and one of the smaller schools in Fox Mill. SLHS scores have improved but it is very much a school within a school and there is not a huge feeling of community. Kids from Floris and Fox Mill move to other schools for AP and Japanese purposes, so rarely Herndon. There are plenty of folks who dislike the IB and would like it to go away. A good number of people move in between MS and HS to go to a different HS. The kids who do attend SLHS do just fine academically and many of the kids go on to good colleges. I think that part of the "tightness" of the Fox Mill ES feel is that so many kids know, from older siblings and neighbors, that the only consistency they are going to have in school is with the Fox Mill crew. No one else moves from Carson to SLHS with them and they end up taking mainly honors and IB clsses at SLHS so they don't really hang out with a decent percentage of the other kids at SLHS. And I don't recall a lot of people jumping in to support the schools that were moved, more saving their schools boundaries and throwing other schools uner the bus. So yeah, pretty much what we see in this thread. |
We shall see. Changing school boundaries is the most contentious thing an SB can do unless it is instigated by the community. Moving some kids from one good school to another will be received with ruffled feathers and consternation. Moving kids from a top performing school to a poorly performing school will be met with outright revolts, especially in the communities we all are discussing. If the SB and the superintendent are smart, they will tinker with similarly performing schools. If not, they can probably kiss their further political ambitions goodbye. |
That dashboard projects a potential yield of 62 more HS kids in the West Potomac pyramid - 21 from a development zoned to Belle View and 41 from the North Hill development zoned to Bucknell. Those numbers would not have resulted in a half-empty school at Bucknell, where the enrollment remains low but did increase 24 students last year. |
As evidence of how contentious this is going to be, just the IDEA of changing the policy that MIGHT result in boundary changes resulted in a group of parents to form a civic organization and grow its membership to 1,500 people and start showing up at meetings to protest and confronting their SB members --- all in only 30 days after they found out about it. Just imagine what happens when firm proposals or made. It will be something to behold. |
I hope at least one is brave enough to do what is right over any potential future political career. They need to look at the situation without political agendas (social Justice or protecting mainly the interests of rich supporting constituents). Get FCPS back on track . |
It wasn't just Floris and Fox Mill. A good chunk of Wolftrap was also moved to Sunrise Valley and then from Thoreau/Madison to Hughes/South Lakes. A not insignificant number of families in that "Madison island" ended up pupil placing their kids for AP to avoid South Lakes or selling their houses. |
Keep telling yourself you have any say in the matter. Here is a thread from last time with plenty of people making the same arguments, like:
All the same themes. Calling people who don't want it racist, blaming politicians (notably it was supposedly the republicans' fault last time), calling the enrollment projections into question, etc. Hundreds of pages of drivel by people who think they matter, just like this thread. |
1,300 people is smaller then Lewis HS. A good percentage of those members are there just to see what people are saying about the changes and are not actual supporters. The social media posts they made to share have not been seen in any of the local groups that I am a member in. The go fund me for legal action is not close to being funded nor is the amount they are asking for close to what it will cost to sue. Most of the posts are made by admin. So yeah, is is a small group that does not seem to be positioned to be all that influential. |
DP. People learn from the last go-around. The School Board learns that redistricting based on specific equity and demographic goals won't fly. That's why they now pretend the redistricting is intended to serve efficiency goals. The opponents learn that you can't just complain about a potential loss of housing equity. That's why they are digging into the data that the School Board is either relying upon or ignoring to suggest their actions are either based on flawed data or not sufficiently data-driven. A School Board has authority to adjust boundaries within its jurisdiction, and courts don't want to micro-manage public schools. They have other things to do. On the other hand, once you get Langley parents involved (which wasn't the case in 2008), the stakes get higher, more resources are brought to the table to delay the process, and the electorial consequences ratchet up. The School Board member who championed the South Lakes redistricting (Stu Gibson) never ran for office again, and the Dranesville member who made a hash out of the flawed 2021 Langley/McLean redistricting (Elaine Tholen) didn't seek re-election either. That's one reason why Karl Frisch et al are trying to push all this down to Reid and FCPS staff but at the end of the day it's still the elected officials who'll be held accountable. |
The Springfield district republican endorsed candidate was far more qualified than Sandy Anderson, and much more centrist/moderate. She would not have supported rezoning, and would have fought for her constituents to stay in their neighborhood schools. If you voted for anderson, then you chose poorly and the more fringe extreme candidate of the two. |
WSHS parents are adamently against rezoning If you think they want rezoning then you are grossly misinformed. |