Trump campaign death spiral

[Anonymous]

Don’t worry he will get tons of press at his sentencing.

[Anonymous]

Z list rapper disses? This is so cringe and embarrassing. So desperate.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Z list rapper disses? This is so cringe and embarrassing. So desperate.

According to the Harris thread, Trump having free concerts at rallies means he doesn’t have any actual support. 🤔

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Z list rapper disses? This is so cringe and embarrassing. So desperate.

According to the Harris thread, Trump having free concerts at rallies means he doesn’t have any actual support. 🤔

Hahaha. Not surprising.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:What did the Trump camp do to piss Nick Fuentes off? Usually, degenerates like him are cozy with Trump.

Nick Fuentes is a white nationalist.

He hates that Trump cozies up to Jewish Americans and Israel

Fuentes hates JD Vance with a passion. He knows JD Vance is a phony status striver who is more comfortable living in a liberal suburb of DC than in Ohio. He hates that JD’s wife is a woman of color and born from recent immigrants.

Fuentes wants Trump to lean more heavily into white grievance politics: curb immigration, pro-white policies, etc.

In short, Fuentes believes that Trump has made some bad strategic compromises in order to appeal to the center. Fuentes argues that this has the effect of turning off white voters and muting their enthusiasm. Fuentes wants Trump to stop making overtures to non-white, non-Christian segments of the population. He argues that Trump only needs the white vote to win.

[Anonymous]

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Trump has never ever been disciplined. They should have gone with Haley.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Since when has Trump ever had discipline on anything other that himself and maybe Putin?

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Delusional. Anyone who thinks this race is salvageable for Trump has not watched him. Trump in 2016 or Trump in 2020, might have been able to salvage the race, but his decline in the last four years is huge and escalating rapidly. The age-related deterioration has increased almost exponentially. The difference in Trump from 2023 to 2024 is so obvious.

The support is a steadily dripping away from him. By the elections, he will have very little beyond his hardcore base and a few people who really, really dislike Harris. He will be lucky to have the 46% that he had when he beat Clinton, but I project that he'll have under 45% of the popular vote. And I expect that there will be no electoral college Hail Mary for him this time. The week that Biden abdicated the Democratic nomination was Trump's peak. The ABH (anybody but Harris) demographic is significantly smaller than the ABB demographic. And the ABT demographic is growing. The more that Trump appears in public and the more that see how far he has deteriorated, the bigger the ABT group grows.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Delusional. Anyone who thinks this race is salvageable for Trump has not watched him. Trump in 2016 or Trump in 2020, might have been able to salvage the race, but his decline in the last four years is huge and escalating rapidly. The age-related deterioration has increased almost exponentially. The difference in Trump from 2023 to 2024 is so obvious.

The support is a steadily dripping away from him. By the elections, he will have very little beyond his hardcore base and a few people who really, really dislike Harris. He will be lucky to have the 46% that he had when he beat Clinton, but I project that he'll have under 45% of the popular vote. And I expect that there will be no electoral college Hail Mary for him this time. The week that Biden abdicated the Democratic nomination was Trump's peak. The ABH (anybody but Harris) demographic is significantly smaller than the ABB demographic. And the ABT demographic is growing. The more that Trump appears in public and the more that see how far he has deteriorated, the bigger the ABT group grows.

Sorry, I'm not suggesting that Harris is a great candidate. Just that she's the only alternative to a clearly unfit Trump.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Delusional. Anyone who thinks this race is salvageable for Trump has not watched him. Trump in 2016 or Trump in 2020, might have been able to salvage the race, but his decline in the last four years is huge and escalating rapidly. The age-related deterioration has increased almost exponentially. The difference in Trump from 2023 to 2024 is so obvious.

The support is a steadily dripping away from him. By the elections, he will have very little beyond his hardcore base and a few people who really, really dislike Harris. He will be lucky to have the 46% that he had when he beat Clinton, but I project that he'll have under 45% of the popular vote. And I expect that there will be no electoral college Hail Mary for him this time. The week that Biden abdicated the Democratic nomination was Trump's peak. The ABH (anybody but Harris) demographic is significantly smaller than the ABB demographic. And the ABT demographic is growing. The more that Trump appears in public and the more that see how far he has deteriorated, the bigger the ABT group grows.

Good read.

When the race was still Biden vs. Trump, the strategy was to try to appeal to the median voter. A median voter strategy means low turnout - you're not trying to appeal to the die hards. Hence you saw Trump trying to pivot to the center (in spite of Project 25) and Biden starting to crack down on immigration (his executive order in June, vocal support for the toughest immigration bill in decades, etc). This is a good strategy for two old guys running for office - you keep your public appearances few and far between.

But now with Harris on the ticket? The election is no longer about appealing to the median voter. It's now about momentum and turning out the base. Republicans were completely taken by surprise that Biden dropped out. And due to the timing of everything - with the DNC convention so late in August due to the Olympics - the Democrats control the momentum and media cycle until September. In short, Republicans were completely outflanked. They walked right into a trap.

The Trump campaign has not pivoted from a median voter strategy to one that is about creating excitement for base turnout. It's really hard to make that pivot when you're in your late 70s because it requires constant travel and public appearances. That's why you have guys like Nick Fuentes trying to tell the Trump team that they need to throw out their current playbook. If he wants to have any chance, he needs to energize his base (which has dwindled since 2016 due to dying off and people no longer interested in Trump).

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Since when has Trump ever had discipline on anything other that himself and maybe Putin?

Oh Putin disciplined Trump alright.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Delusional. Anyone who thinks this race is salvageable for Trump has not watched him. Trump in 2016 or Trump in 2020, might have been able to salvage the race, but his decline in the last four years is huge and escalating rapidly. The age-related deterioration has increased almost exponentially. The difference in Trump from 2023 to 2024 is so obvious.

The support is a steadily dripping away from him. By the elections, he will have very little beyond his hardcore base and a few people who really, really dislike Harris. He will be lucky to have the 46% that he had when he beat Clinton, but I project that he'll have under 45% of the popular vote. And I expect that there will be no electoral college Hail Mary for him this time. The week that Biden abdicated the Democratic nomination was Trump's peak. The ABH (anybody but Harris) demographic is significantly smaller than the ABB demographic. And the ABT demographic is growing. The more that Trump appears in public and the more that see how far he has deteriorated, the bigger the ABT group grows.

Good read.

When the race was still Biden vs. Trump, the strategy was to try to appeal to the median voter. A median voter strategy means low turnout - you're not trying to appeal to the die hards. Hence you saw Trump trying to pivot to the center (in spite of Project 25) and Biden starting to crack down on immigration (his executive order in June, vocal support for the toughest immigration bill in decades, etc). This is a good strategy for two old guys running for office - you keep your public appearances few and far between.

But now with Harris on the ticket? The election is no longer about appealing to the median voter. It's now about momentum and turning out the base. Republicans were completely taken by surprise that Biden dropped out. And due to the timing of everything - with the DNC convention so late in August due to the Olympics - the Democrats control the momentum and media cycle until September. In short, Republicans were completely outflanked. They walked right into a trap.

The Trump campaign has not pivoted from a median voter strategy to one that is about creating excitement for base turnout. It's really hard to make that pivot when you're in your late 70s because it requires constant travel and public appearances. []That's why you have guys like Nick Fuentes trying to tell the Trump team that they need to throw out their current playbook. If he wants to have any chance, he needs to energize his base (which has dwindled since 2016 due to dying off and people no longer interested in Trump).[/b]

I think the Republicans trying to chase the base isn’t going to work for the reasons you suggest, but also because if Trump starts getting loud about his plan to be a dictator and Project 2025’s plans to end both First Amendment rights and women’s full citizenship, they’re going to turn off so many “moderates” who are, at their heart, Republican but can’t stomach the worst of the GOP when the GOP is open with their plans. But I imagine that the Trump team will turn to that at some point, if only to get more bodies at the rallies and with the result that November will look like a reverse Reagan with Trump losing in a crazy landslide.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Z list rapper disses? This is so cringe and embarrassing. So desperate.

Anyone else see the poetry of the name "Lil Pump" next to Trump?

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Delusional. Anyone who thinks this race is salvageable for Trump has not watched him. Trump in 2016 or Trump in 2020, might have been able to salvage the race, but his decline in the last four years is huge and escalating rapidly. The age-related deterioration has increased almost exponentially. The difference in Trump from 2023 to 2024 is so obvious.

The support is a steadily dripping away from him. By the elections, he will have very little beyond his hardcore base and a few people who really, really dislike Harris. He will be lucky to have the 46% that he had when he beat Clinton, but I project that he'll have under 45% of the popular vote. And I expect that there will be no electoral college Hail Mary for him this time. The week that Biden abdicated the Democratic nomination was Trump's peak. The ABH (anybody but Harris) demographic is significantly smaller than the ABB demographic. And the ABT demographic is growing. The more that Trump appears in public and the more that see how far he has deteriorated, the bigger the ABT group grows.

Good read.

When the race was still Biden vs. Trump, the strategy was to try to appeal to the median voter. A median voter strategy means low turnout - you're not trying to appeal to the die hards. Hence you saw Trump trying to pivot to the center (in spite of Project 25) and Biden starting to crack down on immigration (his executive order in June, vocal support for the toughest immigration bill in decades, etc). This is a good strategy for two old guys running for office - you keep your public appearances few and far between.

But now with Harris on the ticket? The election is no longer about appealing to the median voter. It's now about momentum and turning out the base. Republicans were completely taken by surprise that Biden dropped out. And due to the timing of everything - with the DNC convention so late in August due to the Olympics - the Democrats control the momentum and media cycle until September. In short, Republicans were completely outflanked. They walked right into a trap.

The Trump campaign has not pivoted from a median voter strategy to one that is about creating excitement for base turnout. It's really hard to make that pivot when you're in your late 70s because it requires constant travel and public appearances. That's why you have guys like Nick Fuentes trying to tell the Trump team that they need to throw out their current playbook. If he wants to have any chance, he needs to energize his base (which has dwindled since 2016 due to dying off and people no longer interested in Trump).

Reports say that the Trump campaign knew after the debate that there was a strong possibility that Biden would drop out and that Harris would be the nominee if that happened. I don’t know why they’re still acting flat-footed.