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Four things:
1. Where is the data for this year? My kid (white) went to TJ. Math is sequenced by semester, not by year. What is the math placement for this class vs prior classes? How many are Math 1, 2 or 2.5 vs 3+? And how did the grade distribution compare to prior years? That data exists. How many kids are on academic probation for being below 3.5 vs past years? How many kids have dropped back to base school vs prior years? English and Stats grade distributions should also be shared. That’s how you know if TJ is getting kids who can manage the work. Not rocket science. 2. This is disparate impact because Omeish and other SB members said they were using geography, SES and other soft factors as a proxy for race. You can get to DI without someone saying “the goal is to be racist”. But Omeish texted the quiet part out loud. P She really made this a disparate treatment case. What a moron. Also, if aren’t a lawyer, please stop talking about DI. It’s complicated and you are doing it wrong. 3. The existence of this litigation is not a shock. If the SB and TJ Admissions don’t have a Plan B in case they cannot use the current system, that is inexcusable negligence. It should not suddenly dawn on them on 4/20 that they have a problem and need a new system. They should have had a contingency for months. Now, they’re incompetent, so they don’t. But, they should. 4. The stay will remain in place. FCPS should try again and this time STOP TEXTING. They won’t. And they will lose. I think there is a good chance that the full case is ultimately heard by SCOTUS. |
But you are fine with MTG, Crawthorn and Hawley? Because I not the weaker sex. And I’m still a woman despite having had a hysterectomy. So, I’m not. |
I didn’t say I was fine with them either but honestly if forced to pick I think theirs is better than “unknowable for a layman.” |
Look t absolute numbers, not percents. 26% of 100 > 242% of TS |
So as a layman, tell me— how do I test to see if I came from Adams rib? That seems unknowable to me. |
I'm a lawyer but not a con law lawyer and I find all of this confusing. There does seem to be a genuine issue whether strict scrutiny will be/should be applied here. FWIW No, a school cannot really run two simultaneous admissions processes, as the district court advised FCPS and as FCPS failed to do. That's just impossible. And they cannot run the old admissions process, as some seem to be advocating, because the tests are unavailable (the test results are likewise unavailable-- I suppose advocates think that all 2500 applicants should simply show up this Saturday at a building and take the (unavailable) old tests in order to somehow go forward with the old admissions process). The stay is what Roberts is currently considering -- in another 5 years or so, I doubt this case will get to the Supreme Court again. The climate will have changed by then (I meant the educational and political climate but I guess also the planet's climate, too). |
The raw number of offers to white students increased by 37 from 2024 to 2025. The raw number of offers to Hispanic students increased by 46 from 2024 to 2025. The raw number of offers to Black students went from a number that has never been confirmed and is too small to report (meaning it's nine at the absolute most) to 39 even though Black students submitted about a third as many applications as white students. The assertion that white students were the biggest beneficiaries is false and baseless. |
Agreed. People who believe that somehow another admissions process should be designed and implemented have no idea how admissions processes work, especially for large schools or for public schools. Judge Hilton was the first to make this insane assertion but he certainly won't be the last. |
What a play on numbers!! LMAO! So if hypothetically, the entire TJ freshman class had: 1 black student last year only 4 black students this year only 300% increase!!! A more honest look would be at the underlying numbers. Not % increase only |
Oh the irony. I'm not a lawyer but my understanding of disparate treatment is that the action is not facially neutral, so the TJ admissions policy does not meet this standard. Facially neutral but discriminatory policies/practices fall under disparate impact. Disparate impact can be justified based on "business necessity", or "compelling public interest" in the case of government action. However, we know that racial preference can never be the basis for compelling public interest so the racist intent eliminates this defense under strict scrutiny standards. |
Someone else did this already. It confirmed that the numbers for Hispanic students increased by a larger raw number than white students did. Here's another way to look at the data that controls somewhat for variance in application numbers: Which group saw the biggest increase in success rate - that is, percentage of applied students offered admission? In 2024: White - 86 admitted/595 applied = 14.4% admit rate Black - TS admitted/160 applied = .... tough to say. Let's be as charitable as possible and say that 9 were admitted because that's the largest number possible. 9/160 = 5.6% admit rate Hispanic - 16/208 = 7.7% admit rate In 2025: White - 123/726 = 16.9% admit rate (delta: 2.5%) Black - 39/272 = 14.3% admit rate (delta: 8.7% at minimum but likely much higher) Hispanic - 62/295 = 21.0% admit rate (delta: 13.3%) By this metric, which is a perfectly logical way of looking at the data, white students benefited the LEAST among all of the underrepresented groups from the admissions changes. |
Excellent. And these are large enough sample sizes that questions of scale aren't really at play here. |
That response ranks as second worst to me. |
They could absolutely use grades and portions of the student profile sheets and to make the selections and pull out geographic preference (which hurts Asian kids in AAP centers) and experience factors from the score. They knew in the fall there could be an issue, so they could have administered a test, gotten recommendations or gathered other objective data. But yeah— it’s too late now. It’s the knowing a problem exists then ignoring it, then saying, we don’t have time to i it that’s crazy making. |
You don't do any of those things for hypotheticals. Administering an exam is crazy expensive. Gathering recommendations is a huge time suck for teachers. Again, further evidence of a complete lack of understanding of how admissions processes work. |