Is under 25 the new definition of children? |
No, it’s a statistically significant age group. |
keep thinking that |
OK, so now we are implementing statistical justice. |
Math is so hard for MAGAs. |
Guess you aren’t paying attention. Try turning off FoxNews/newsmax every now and then. |
lol i dont watch any of that, i am not 50, i am in my late 20s. Lots of young people voted democrat this cycle for pot legalization and abortion rights, which i agree with. you touch my guns, it will be hell to pay. |
There shouldn't be bond at all. If someone is a risk, they should be held. If not, they shouldn't. |
+1 |
I do understand the bill and the people that support this bill are either statistically illiterate or they think that increasing the number of crime victims from releasing criminals is an acceptable sacrifice to make in order to protect the rights of convicted criminals. That lower recidivism rate you mentioned is a selection effect, it’s not casually related to the age of arrest or the efficacy of rehabilitation. Advanced age is negatively correlated with the odds of recidivism for multiple reasons that have almost nothing to do with the factors you mentioned. Here are the problems with your argument about why this bill is a good idea. 1) Older people are less likely to be capable of committing crimes because they are more likely to have age related health issues, it has very little to do with criminal proclivities or rehabilitation. 2) On average, people with a criminal history have a higher mortality rate, and the mortality risk is even higher among people with the worst criminal histories. The people released at later ages are the surviving criminals that did not die, so their average recidivism rate is lower due to survivorship bias. 3)The age of initiation for criminal activity is a very strong predictor of recidivism. People who commit crimes at younger ages, especially violent crimes are more likely to reoffend. 4) If you actually look at the data from this research, the recidivism rate is alarmingly high. On average, there were 4.8 arrests per prisoner released over the 9 year period for which data was collected. These numbers are even worse after you adjust for the fact that some of the most violent/criminal people are quickly given another sentence and thrown in jail/prison again, so they are unable to accrue additional arrests during the data collection period. The data also excludes the almost 3% of people that died during the study period which artificially lowers the recidivism rate. Rehabilitation is basically not a thing and the data does not support it. 5) Criminal behavior has a very strong genetic component, likely more than 50% genetic. Not politically correct to say but it is reality. The primary cause of criminal behavior is genetic not environmental. So rehabilitation has very limited efficacy. The most effective way by far to prevent crime is by keeping people with criminal histories in prison so they are unable to commit more crime. Lastly, it makes zero sense to prioritize the well-being and rights of convicted criminals over the safety of the law-abiding majority of the population that does not have antisocial criminal tendencies. |
Source for number 5? I believe this to be true but I’d like to see the studies. Thanks |
Most people will prioritize the safety of their families over your cosplay fantasy life. |
Go back to CA, prepare for a red sweep |
My aunt carries a gun because she works nights cleaning commercial properties in dangerous neighborhoods. Should her gun be taken away? A gun is one of the only ways smaller people can protect themselves from getting murdered or raped by larger people. A lot of guns are bought for safety. You probably don’t appreciate this because you’ve lived a sheltered life. The real world is a rough place. Some people, especially working class women, need tools to protect themselves from larger, violent predators. |
Then why not stay? |