Understanding MacArthur High Lottery Results

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:OP here, forgot to include the link I was looking at: https://public.tableau.com/app/profile/aaron2446/viz/MSDCSeatsandWaitlistOfferData_draft/MSDCPublicDisplay

Thanks PP! For 1, I'm just puzzled about how they are not expecting for so very few students out of 200+ 8th graders at Hardy to go MacArthur. I was thinking at least half of Hardy would go to MacArthur, say 100. Then we have 185 'lotteried' kids now. 285 kids in 9th grade for a school with 800 students capacity seems a bit nuts.

They are expecting about 80 kids from Hardy to go to MHS. In past 2 years they have gotten a chunk from Burke, JR/deal, Oyster/Adams, and other top performing middles (Eliot-Hine; Stuart Hobson).

80 from Hardy sounds about right.

Only schools sending > 10 students to MacArthur over last two years have been Hardy, Deal, Francis-Stevens, Stuart-Hobson, not in audit (e.g., private, move from elsewhere). Students are coming from many different schools, DCPS and charter.

https://edscape.dc.gov/page/student-enrollment-pathways

If there are 200 seats and if 80 kids come from Hardy, then there are 120 seats left. So overwhelming majority of kids are OOB from all over the city.

The kids coming to MA are not top performing or high performing kids from Hardy or from other school. Just look at the stats for above grade level : ELA 5%, Math <1%.