The 2025 Demographic Cliff

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:National news today had a story about the decline of college applicants and the rise in number attending trade schools or just going to work to learn a trade. Mostly due to high cost of college and low returns on that investment.

Correct, though the colleges that are hurting are those that compete with the workforce like community colleges and regional commuter universities.

+1

[Anonymous]

90 universities will "perish" according to Scott Galloway:

https://taxprof.typepad.com/taxprof_blog/2020/07/which-of-the-436-universities-ranked-by-us-news-will-thrive-survives-struggle-or-perish-in-the-age-of-covid-19.html

Some of the 90 schools he thinks are in trouble include:

Dickinson
Bard
Pitzer
Simmons
Drexel
Mt. Holyoke
Macalester
Yeshiva
Brandies
Drew
Franklin & Marshall
Adelphi University
Daemen College
Fordham University
Hofstra University
Long Island University
Pace University
Sarah Lawrence College
Skidmore College
St. John’s University
St. Lawrence University
The New School
The Sage Colleges
Yeshiva University

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:
90 universities will "perish" according to Scott Galloway:

https://taxprof.typepad.com/taxprof_blog/2020/07/which-of-the-436-universities-ranked-by-us-news-will-thrive-survives-struggle-or-perish-in-the-age-of-covid-19.html

Some of the 90 schools he thinks are in trouble include:

Dickinson
Bard
Pitzer
Simmons
Drexel
Mt. Holyoke
Macalester
Yeshiva
Brandies
Drew
Franklin & Marshall
Adelphi University
Daemen College
Fordham University
Hofstra University
Long Island University
Pace University
Sarah Lawrence College
Skidmore College
St. John’s University
St. Lawrence University
The New School
The Sage Colleges
Yeshiva University

Interesting list. Surprised to see Macalester and Pitzer on it. Ditto for Fordham. Less so for many others on it. Also interesting that Manhattan College is not included. They just offloaded a dorm, which is kind of crazy for any NYC school, without another one in the pipeline. Their claim - the old brick didn't fit in with the new shiny architecture on the rest of the campus (even if it did with the rest of the neighborhood).

Also not surprised to see Mount Holyoke and Sarah Lawrence on it. Was on Mount Holyoke's campus a few months back for a conference. While there are many lovely buildings, also had that feel of faded glory. Sarah Lawrence also lovely, but the closest area of commerce is a mall in Yonkers. Ehhh.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Interesting list. Surprised to see Macalester and Pitzer on it. Ditto for Fordham. Less so for many others on it. Also interesting that Manhattan College is not included. They just offloaded a dorm, which is kind of crazy for any NYC school, without another one in the pipeline. Their claim - the old brick didn't fit in with the new shiny architecture on the rest of the campus (even if it did with the rest of the neighborhood).

Also not surprised to see Mount Holyoke and Sarah Lawrence on it. Was on Mount Holyoke's campus a few months back for a conference. While there are many lovely buildings, also had that feel of faded glory.

Mt. Holyoke has one of the most beautiful campuses in the country, and the school has a long, rich storied history. The endowment and alumni network are exceptionally strong.

As Nassim Taleb would say, the school is "Lindy." Mount Holyoke will be fine - no chance it will "perish."

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:
90 universities will "perish" according to Scott Galloway:

https://taxprof.typepad.com/taxprof_blog/2020/07/which-of-the-436-universities-ranked-by-us-news-will-thrive-survives-struggle-or-perish-in-the-age-of-covid-19.html

Some of the 90 schools he thinks are in trouble include:

Dickinson
Bard
Pitzer
Simmons
Drexel
Mt. Holyoke
Macalester
Yeshiva
Brandies
Drew
Franklin & Marshall
Adelphi University
Daemen College
Fordham University
Hofstra University
Long Island University
Pace University
Sarah Lawrence College
Skidmore College
St. John’s University
St. Lawrence University
The New School
The Sage Colleges
Yeshiva University

Wasn't he predicting which wouldn't last through the covid pandemic troubles? None of these "perished" and it's 3 years later. None of them are even significantly more worse off.