Your frequent and desperate attempts to move other people’s kids belies your statement. You need UMC, but you’re too busy cutting off your nose to spite your face. Hopefully, the school board chooses the sane path. |
Thru included capacity utilization without modulars in response to a specific request from a couple of School Board members, but none of the actual proposals in Scenario 4 are based on utilization excluding modular seats. Hard to see why they'd do that in Scenario 5, much less for only one school. I'm also not seeing these large membership decreases at Forestville (about the same this year as in 2016-17, 2020-21, and 2022-23), Churchill Road (about the same as last year and higher than 2020-21, 2021-22, and 2022-23), or Colvin Run (highest enrollment this year since 2019-20) that you're claiming. Great Falls is down, but that's one Langley feeder out of five. |
DP, by my count the Langley feeders are off 180 students from the projection for the year. That’s a large unanticipated decrease. |
| Well, GFCA has clearly stated that they will not support any more additional students at Langley--after Spring Hill addition. The letter makes it sound like that they have the authority to stop it. |
OK. And Oakton has more kids than anticipated this fall. They are making boundary decisions based on past (and perhaps current) enrollment, not projections. |
The current enrollment at Oakton is +100 from last year. And, it is not slightly above capacity. Massive new construction planned in the area. |
And, the freshman class is large. |
The letter just stakes out a future GFCA position, but of course that position could always change in the future. It was smart for the GFCA not to express opposition to a Spring Hill boundary change that's inevitable. Had it done so, it would be on the losing side and lose credibility. |
The source I used was VDOE, Virginia Dept of Education. School years 2004-05 less 2024-25. Scroll to and click on Enrollment and Demographics at https://www.doe.virginia.gov/data-policy-funding/data-reports/statistics-reports Then Fall Membership Data and build your own table. Forestville full time count K thru 6 excludes any students who transferred to Forest Edge for AAP: SY2004-05 members 779 SY2024-25 members 571 The decrease was 208. 2003-04 was Colvin Run year 1 of operation and it opened with a small grade 6. It also got Great Falls AAP so any AAP transfer data is included. |
None of this demonstrates what you previously claimed: "So circumstances will eventually change as real estate turns over compounding the Langley overcapacity from the Spring Hill island SPA." Too many other factors (declining birth rates, people deciding to age in place, people deciding to send their kids to privates) potentially at play. Also, Langley can immediately claw back 100+ seats by cutting off the pupil placement pipeline for AP/foreign languages. |
It is what she said. |
Can you read spreadsheets? The decrease in 4 feeder memberships over 20 years was 533. At play is people aging in place. There are always instances when a single or DINK never any children buy a house. No new comprehensive privates like Potomac, Flint Hill, Bullis, SSSA popped up. Mclean to Langley was <10 transfers and the largest transfers into Langley were these 69 out of 104: IB South Lakes 29 AP Herndon 10 IB Marshall 18 AP Westfield 12 So for program/language offering equity where else to offer Russian? For some transferring it is likely a way into the school. Pick 1 or 2 sites where people can take Russian besides Langley and TJ. Transfer reg or preferable as an academy course. Under academies Chantilly has Korean and Marshall has Arabic and Chinese, Falls Church Vietnamese. |
They tried real hard to get it done and failed. The numbers will never justify it |
I can agree with that. Problem is the dividing line was Walker road, the center of Great Falls |
Herndon address homes south of Rt. 7 are not in any way part of the Great Falls community, other than the fact that the developers got the school boundary gerrymandered 40 years ago so they could make more money selling houses. They should be going to their real community school, in Herndon. |