MAJOR Snowstorm?

Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Already disappointed this will be a bust. CWG keeps lowering snow totals - now DC is down to 2-6 inches. That's nothing.


Why would you be disappointed??


Bc I like snow? And wanted our one storm of the yr to be a foot or more?


You don't have to try to commute to work, I guess.


Not PP, but you would commute in 1/2 a foot of snow in this area? Do you not have a telework option? Genuinely curious.


six inches of snow? seriously? I can walk through six inches of snow in my sneakers to the metro. it's really NBD.


well then, you deserve a cookie
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Already disappointed this will be a bust. CWG keeps lowering snow totals - now DC is down to 2-6 inches. That's nothing.


Why would you be disappointed??


Bc I like snow? And wanted our one storm of the yr to be a foot or more?


You don't have to try to commute to work, I guess.


Not PP, but you would commute in 1/2 a foot of snow in this area? Do you not have a telework option? Genuinely curious.


six inches of snow? seriously? I can walk through six inches of snow in my sneakers to the metro. it's really NBD.


No it's not, and I've done that, but I also lived in Bethesda where I could walk to the underground part of the metro. Beyond me, it was actually shut down IIRC.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:

No later than Wednesday, their forecast confidence for tonight's storm may inch up to medium.


Isn't that true...

I read a forum for meteorologists, and the truth is that despite computational power and fancy math, meteorology as a science is still in its infancy. Some storms are more difficult to model than others, and the DC area is a notoriously difficult area for climatology: lots of little micro-climates to deal with.


What are they predicting we will get from this storm?


The models keep predicting slightly different amounts of liquid precipitation each time they update, because of the rising temperatures today and the difficulties of computing how the two air masses will collide over us (snow from Chicago and rain from Carolinas). Then you have to apply a subjective ratio to that liquid precip. of snow to rain or snow to sleet, which is why the snowfall predictions are all over the place. The mets are all gnawing their fingernails off at this point, and praying for snow because these are a people always looking for extreme weather

So... 3-6 inches for inside the beltway? But could change...


Ok, a little more info: starts with a thump of snow, then sleet, then some more snow accumulation. Totals will vary with your location, but 3-2-3 inches was suggested.


We have to watch for that sleet thing, it will refreeze and turn into a solid sheet of ice for Wednesday commuters.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Already disappointed this will be a bust. CWG keeps lowering snow totals - now DC is down to 2-6 inches. That's nothing.


Why would you be disappointed??


Bc I like snow? And wanted our one storm of the yr to be a foot or more?


You don't have to try to commute to work, I guess.


I'm not from here - I can deal with a foot of snow even with a commute.


I envy your coping and driving skills! I grew up in the area and really regret not becoming more proficient in driving in snow and ice.


Well, since we are talking in terms of percentages and statistics here (finally), chances are, you spending time and money to learn this when you live in DC would not be a good investment. Chances to use it are slim, and you still have the variables of others on the road who are not as self-aware as you are (and I applaud you for that), so it's better to stay away completely and stay safe until the all clear.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:

No later than Wednesday, their forecast confidence for tonight's storm may inch up to medium.


Isn't that true...

I read a forum for meteorologists, and the truth is that despite computational power and fancy math, meteorology as a science is still in its infancy. Some storms are more difficult to model than others, and the DC area is a notoriously difficult area for climatology: lots of little micro-climates to deal with.


What are they predicting we will get from this storm?


The models keep predicting slightly different amounts of liquid precipitation each time they update, because of the rising temperatures today and the difficulties of computing how the two air masses will collide over us (snow from Chicago and rain from Carolinas). Then you have to apply a subjective ratio to that liquid precip. of snow to rain or snow to sleet, which is why the snowfall predictions are all over the place. The mets are all gnawing their fingernails off at this point, and praying for snow because these are a people always looking for extreme weather

So... 3-6 inches for inside the beltway? But could change...


Ok, a little more info: starts with a thump of snow, then sleet, then some more snow accumulation. Totals will vary with your location, but 3-2-3 inches was suggested.


We have to watch for that sleet thing, it will refreeze and turn into a solid sheet of ice for Wednesday commuters.


...and the NWS just upped the snow totals. See, they're all over the place because each time new models come in the predictions change. I'm going to jump off the snowstorm prediction wagon for a while!
Anonymous
Is it safe to say flights out tomorrow AM will be delayed or cancelled?
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Already disappointed this will be a bust. CWG keeps lowering snow totals - now DC is down to 2-6 inches. That's nothing.


Why would you be disappointed??


Bc I like snow? And wanted our one storm of the yr to be a foot or more?


You don't have to try to commute to work, I guess.


Not PP, but you would commute in 1/2 a foot of snow in this area? Do you not have a telework option? Genuinely curious.


Of course I would. I commuted on Monday morning after we got 29 inches of snow Saturday night into Sunday last winter. 6 inches?! I have an SUV and live on a snow emergency route.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:Is it safe to say flights out tomorrow AM will be delayed or cancelled?


Magic 8 Ball says uncertain.
Anonymous
Should I go buy a shovel?
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Already disappointed this will be a bust. CWG keeps lowering snow totals - now DC is down to 2-6 inches. That's nothing.


Why would you be disappointed??


Bc I like snow? And wanted our one storm of the yr to be a foot or more?


You don't have to try to commute to work, I guess.


Not PP, but you would commute in 1/2 a foot of snow in this area? Do you not have a telework option? Genuinely curious.


six inches of snow? seriously? I can walk through six inches of snow in my sneakers to the metro. it's really NBD.


I'd much rather walk in six inches of snow than drive. In previous storms cars had difficulty driving on unplowed streets in our neighborhood. Do you have 4WD?
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Is it safe to say flights out tomorrow AM will be delayed or cancelled?


Magic 8 Ball says uncertain.


Scroll down and read where they address flights...

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/capital-weather-gang/wp/2017/03/13/major-and-messy-winter-storm-bears-down-on-washington-what-to-expect-and-answers-to-frequent-questions/?utm_term=.4ac12013a6af
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Already disappointed this will be a bust. CWG keeps lowering snow totals - now DC is down to 2-6 inches. That's nothing.


Why would you be disappointed??


Bc I like snow? And wanted our one storm of the yr to be a foot or more?


You don't have to try to commute to work, I guess.


I'm not from here - I can deal with a foot of snow even with a commute.


If you're not from here, then you don't know that the city and surrounding areas don't have the infrastructure (meaning enough slow plows, etc.) to clear the roads fast enough for you to do your commute.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Already disappointed this will be a bust. CWG keeps lowering snow totals - now DC is down to 2-6 inches. That's nothing.


Why would you be disappointed??


Bc I like snow? And wanted our one storm of the yr to be a foot or more?


You don't have to try to commute to work, I guess.


Not PP, but you would commute in 1/2 a foot of snow in this area? Do you not have a telework option? Genuinely curious.


six inches of snow? seriously? I can walk through six inches of snow in my sneakers to the metro. it's really NBD.


I'd much rather walk in six inches of snow than drive. In previous storms cars had difficulty driving on unplowed streets in our neighborhood. Do you have 4WD?


4WD doesn't help if we have sleet/ice.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Already disappointed this will be a bust. CWG keeps lowering snow totals - now DC is down to 2-6 inches. That's nothing.


Why would you be disappointed??


Bc I like snow? And wanted our one storm of the yr to be a foot or more?


You don't have to try to commute to work, I guess.


I'm not from here - I can deal with a foot of snow even with a commute.


If you're not from here, then you don't know that the city and surrounding areas don't have the infrastructure (meaning enough slow plows, etc.) to clear the roads fast enough for you to do your commute.


Exactly this. DH and I are used to snow. It doesn't matter how well we handle it if the roads aren't cleared. We live in Boston now. For the last storm, there was a plow on our street every half-hour. And we don't live on a major road. That just won't/can't happen anywhere in the DC metro area.
Anonymous
Its the sleet that will make everything icy and dangerous.
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