MAJOR Snowstorm?

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Already disappointed this will be a bust. CWG keeps lowering snow totals - now DC is down to 2-6 inches. That's nothing.

Why would you be disappointed??

Bc I like snow? And wanted our one storm of the yr to be a foot or more?

You don't have to try to commute to work, I guess.

Not PP, but you would commute in 1/2 a foot of snow in this area? Do you not have a telework option? Genuinely curious.

[Anonymous]

When do you think they will start announcing school closures (not until Tuesday morning?)

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Check this site out. You can see the percent change of getting x amount of snow. This is really going to be a where you live event.
http://www.weather.gov/lwx/winter

Cool site. I haven't seen that before.

+1. Very helpful!

say goodbye to this type of helpful info once 45's budget is proposed and passed.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Already disappointed this will be a bust. CWG keeps lowering snow totals - now DC is down to 2-6 inches. That's nothing.

Why would you be disappointed??

Bc I like snow? And wanted our one storm of the yr to be a foot or more?

You don't have to try to commute to work, I guess.

I'm not from here - I can deal with a foot of snow even with a commute.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Check this site out. You can see the percent change of getting x amount of snow. This is really going to be a where you live event.
http://www.weather.gov/lwx/winter

See, this is what I like. Let's deal in percent chances. I don't understand people who assert that we are going to get x amount of snow "for sure" a day or more in advance. No one knows that, even the experts, in this area along the east coast. How many times have we been warned of the potential for a blockbuster snowstorm, only to wake up to some sad rain with a few snowflakes mixed in?

I also don't get people who expect the forecasters to KNOW, with great certainty, the unknowable. People here have criticized forecasters like the CWG for making low certainty predictions a day in advance of the storm, but any forecaster making predictions at that same time, claiming a high degree of certainty, is just full of sh!t.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Check this site out. You can see the percent change of getting x amount of snow. This is really going to be a where you live event.
http://www.weather.gov/lwx/winter

Cool site. I haven't seen that before.

+1. Very helpful!

say goodbye to this type of helpful info once 45's budget is proposed and passed.

*womp womp*

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Check this site out. You can see the percent change of getting x amount of snow. This is really going to be a where you live event.
http://www.weather.gov/lwx/winter

See, this is what I like. Let's deal in percent chances. I don't understand people who assert that we are going to get x amount of snow "for sure" a day or more in advance. No one knows that, even the experts, in this area along the east coast. How many times have we been warned of the potential for a blockbuster snowstorm, only to wake up to some sad rain with a few snowflakes mixed in?

I also don't get people who expect the forecasters to KNOW, with great certainty, the unknowable. People here have criticized forecasters like the CWG for making low certainty predictions a day in advance of the storm, but any forecaster making predictions at that same time, claiming a high degree of certainty, is just full of sh!t.

Last year's predictions were really spot on for our one huge storm. Must have been a less complicated situation?

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Check this site out. You can see the percent change of getting x amount of snow. This is really going to be a where you live event.
http://www.weather.gov/lwx/winter

See, this is what I like. Let's deal in percent chances. I don't understand people who assert that we are going to get x amount of snow "for sure" a day or more in advance. No one knows that, even the experts, in this area along the east coast. How many times have we been warned of the potential for a blockbuster snowstorm, only to wake up to some sad rain with a few snowflakes mixed in?

I also don't get people who expect the forecasters to KNOW, with great certainty, the unknowable. People here have criticized forecasters like the CWG for making low certainty predictions a day in advance of the storm, but any forecaster making predictions at that same time, claiming a high degree of certainty, is just full of sh!t.

Last year's predictions were really spot on for our one huge storm. Must have been a less complicated situation?

Last year Obama was President...

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Already disappointed this will be a bust. CWG keeps lowering snow totals - now DC is down to 2-6 inches. That's nothing.

Why would you be disappointed??

Bc I like snow? And wanted our one storm of the yr to be a foot or more?

You don't have to try to commute to work, I guess.

I'm not from here - I can deal with a foot of snow even with a commute.

I envy your coping and driving skills! I grew up in the area and really regret not becoming more proficient in driving in snow and ice.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Already disappointed this will be a bust. CWG keeps lowering snow totals - now DC is down to 2-6 inches. That's nothing.

Why would you be disappointed??

Bc I like snow? And wanted our one storm of the yr to be a foot or more?

You don't have to try to commute to work, I guess.

I'm not from here - I can deal with a foot of snow even with a commute.

It's not 'what you can deal with' when the streets aren't plowed.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

No later than Wednesday, their forecast confidence for tonight's storm may inch up to medium.

Isn't that true...

I read a forum for meteorologists, and the truth is that despite computational power and fancy math, meteorology as a science is still in its infancy. Some storms are more difficult to model than others, and the DC area is a notoriously difficult area for climatology: lots of little micro-climates to deal with.

What are they predicting we will get from this storm?

The models keep predicting slightly different amounts of liquid precipitation each time they update, because of the rising temperatures today and the difficulties of computing how the two air masses will collide over us (snow from Chicago and rain from Carolinas). Then you have to apply a subjective ratio to that liquid precip. of snow to rain or snow to sleet, which is why the snowfall predictions are all over the place. The mets are all gnawing their fingernails off at this point, and praying for snow because these are a people always looking for extreme weather

So... 3-6 inches for inside the beltway? But could change...

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:NYC will do totally fine. It's not DC. Up to 2 ft in NYC is NO problem - nothing closes; and if you say you're not coming into work bc of the snow people think you're a total idiot. Try to travel up Monday if you can; if not Wed - Amtrak will be fine on Wed. if that's in the budget. If it's a bus plan for the trip to take HOURS bc the turnpike etc. will be super slow. Getting there will be a hassle - once you're there, enjoy! The city gets so quiet during/after storms - it's refreshing (bc non essential delivery trucks don't come in; and I'm guessing at least half the morons now driving for Uber won't want to deal with the weather hassles so they'll be off the road too).

Eh, two feet is a lot for anyone. If history is any indication, the governor will probably declare a state of emergency for NYC sometime today. I doubt many non-essential personnel will be going to work tomorrow.

But I agree that the city will be back up and running a lot faster than it would be here.

??! no state of emergency for 2 ft of snow in NY. do you know how much snow syracuse gets every winter? and the I bankers will go to work and so will eveyone else as long as the subway is running.

Funny cause it has happened before for this type of event. Last month actually. If you live in Syracuse I guess you wouldn't necessarily know if there was a state of emergency for NYC.

I grew up in Rochester BTW. 2ft is a bit out of the ordinary even for there.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Already disappointed this will be a bust. CWG keeps lowering snow totals - now DC is down to 2-6 inches. That's nothing.

Why would you be disappointed??

Bc I like snow? And wanted our one storm of the yr to be a foot or more?

You don't have to try to commute to work, I guess.

Not PP, but you would commute in 1/2 a foot of snow in this area? Do you not have a telework option? Genuinely curious.

Doctors and nurses have to be at work regardless of how much it snows. It really sucks.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Already disappointed this will be a bust. CWG keeps lowering snow totals - now DC is down to 2-6 inches. That's nothing.

Why would you be disappointed??

Bc I like snow? And wanted our one storm of the yr to be a foot or more?

You don't have to try to commute to work, I guess.

Not PP, but you would commute in 1/2 a foot of snow in this area? Do you not have a telework option? Genuinely curious.

six inches of snow? seriously? I can walk through six inches of snow in my sneakers to the metro. it's really NBD.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

No later than Wednesday, their forecast confidence for tonight's storm may inch up to medium.

Isn't that true...

I read a forum for meteorologists, and the truth is that despite computational power and fancy math, meteorology as a science is still in its infancy. Some storms are more difficult to model than others, and the DC area is a notoriously difficult area for climatology: lots of little micro-climates to deal with.

What are they predicting we will get from this storm?

The models keep predicting slightly different amounts of liquid precipitation each time they update, because of the rising temperatures today and the difficulties of computing how the two air masses will collide over us (snow from Chicago and rain from Carolinas). Then you have to apply a subjective ratio to that liquid precip. of snow to rain or snow to sleet, which is why the snowfall predictions are all over the place. The mets are all gnawing their fingernails off at this point, and praying for snow because these are a people always looking for extreme weather

So... 3-6 inches for inside the beltway? But could change...

Ok, a little more info: starts with a thump of snow, then sleet, then some more snow accumulation. Totals will vary with your location, but 3-2-3 inches was suggested.