Great points. Everything that you wrote makes sense. |
(OP again) I love this post, but I am concerned about starting a war with the SEC. What could the Big Ten Conference do to compensate the SEC for Texas & U Florida ? |
SEC would take Florida State and Maybe UNC |
What about Clemson ? |
Clemson might be screwed with small alumni base, fairly small state, already SEC South Carolina in the market. Will end up Big 12 |
| Texas isn't changing again any time soon. Notre Dame is trying to remain independent. If the ACC falls apart, the B1G including USC is the natural home both athletically, geographically and academically. Florida isn't leaving the SEC. |
The only school that would increase B1G revenue per school in the ACC is Florida State. The rest are not lucrative. |
Everything that you wrote makes sense, but I want to believe that Notre Dame will have a come to Jesus moment, realize the error of their ways, and join the Big Ten Conference. |
It won’t be a come to Jesus moment. I’d say it would be a come to Benjamin, as in Franklin, moment. |
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The University of Washington in Seattle is a research powerhouse--usually ranking at #4 or #5 in the nation for annual R&D expenditures--with a solid football program in the 12th largest media market and, therefore, would be a good catch for the Big Ten Conference along with Phil Knight's (Nike) University of Oregon Ducks. Plus, the Big Ten needs to lessen the travel burdens of USC & UCLA.
While the Big Ten Conference press releases have suggested that the conference is not currently interested in expanding further, these statements may be to protect the conference from being sued by the remnants of the Pac-12 Conference for destroying that conference. Not really much risk now as Colorado has announced its departure for the Big 12 Conference and the Pac-12 has been unable to secure any significant TV deal to replace its expiring contract. |
I wonder if Ohio State/Michigan/Penn State eventually put the brakes on adding schools that can compete for conference championships. Adding Washington is fine, but Oregon makes the road for existing schools that much harder. A patsy like MD or Rutgers that expands the footprint may be more attractive. |
Nothing sure about the Big Ten Conference extending offers to either Stanford or to UCal-Berkeley. In fact, UCLA has an agreement to pay UCal-Berkeley several million dollars in a deal brokered by the regents of the state of California for the harm caused to Berkeley's athletic dept. by UCLA's move to a different conference. Payment was probably necessary because--at that time--the Big Ten Conference did not want UCAl-Berkeley. Actually, the Big Ten Conference wanted just USC & Notre Dame, but ND refused the offer so cash strapped UCLA jumped at the chance to join USC in a move from the Pac-12 to the Big Ten Conference. Stanford might be an attractive lure for Notre Dame due to the ND-Stanford rivalry. |
A main concern of schools is to protect their respective primary recruiting territory. Accordingly, Penn State might object to adding the University of Pittsburgh, Ohio State /U Cincinnati, just as SEC member University of Florida is likely to object to the addition of FSU or U Miami to the SEC. While Conference Championships are important, the CFP (college football playoff) system offers major money to teams which is split among that team's conference; therefore, the more teams that make it to the 12 team CFP, the more money for members of the conference. |
Yes, but MD and Rutgers are in the Big10 because local cable bundles where the primary drivers of revenue. As that declines, I think it is an open question whether or not additional schools actually provide more revenue than they draw. The Big12 is in an amazing position because their TV deal provides that any new P5 teams increases the payout pro rata. |
The Big Ten Conference's TV contract also contains escalator clauses. |