My predcition and analysis: a Red Wave in Maryland in 2022. (Long post)

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Pipe dream.

R's had a chance to retain governorship if Rutherford decided to run, but he declined. He has name recognition. People like Schulz do not.

At the senator/representative level, a lot of voters don't care and just vote for whoever has a (D) next to their name.

At MoCo level, Blair is the best chance. I think you may be right on that one.

Also remember that the "woke liberal" types votes a lot. Most people don't, or they do but dont' follow politics closely. People bringing up little things like Hogan voting for Reagan -- the majority of voters have no idea about this, and probably don't care.

It's this apathy why school board races never see much upheaval. Too many voters don't know or care. They just vote for the incumbent.

Really, what makes you say this? I'm not challenging just curious. All I've heard about 'woke liberal' voting patterns is how the predictured surge of progressive Bernie Bros failed to show up at the polls in primary season.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Pipe dream.

R's had a chance to retain governorship if Rutherford decided to run, but he declined. He has name recognition. People like Schulz do not.

At the senator/representative level, a lot of voters don't care and just vote for whoever has a (D) next to their name.

At MoCo level, Blair is the best chance. I think you may be right on that one.

Also remember that the "woke liberal" types votes a lot. Most people don't, or they do but dont' follow politics closely. People bringing up little things like Hogan voting for Reagan -- the majority of voters have no idea about this, and probably don't care.

It's this apathy why school board races never see much upheaval. Too many voters don't know or care. They just vote for the incumbent.

Really, what makes you say this? I'm not challenging just curious. All I've heard about 'woke liberal' voting patterns is how the predictured surge of progressive Bernie Bros failed to show up at the polls in primary season.

DP. Because they have to think up some reason why large numbers of voters in Maryland consistently don't vote for Republicans, and they prefer the "it's all the woke liberal types voting!" explanation to the "voters don't like what the Republicans are peddling" explanation.

[Anonymous]

I am a reliably democratic vote, consider myself moderate leaning liberal. Live in MoCo. Cant remember that last time I voted republican, if ever, even when I don’t love the democratic candidate.

I am livid at the decisions on school reopening and extremely thankful to Hogan for pushing schools districts to reopen. It made me realize that I would like to live in a state with divided government because it is most likely to result in moderate policies.

I am absolutely open to voting republican next election at the state level. I know several other women (all mothers of school age children, all angry at Elrich and thankful to Hogan for pushing reopening, all democrats) who have expressed similar views. I don’t agree that (Maryland) will turn republican, but I think Hogan came out of this looking better than expected.

FWIW, I am a POC.

[Anonymous]

Yeah, no. Sorry, OP.

[Anonymous]

MD is so reliably blue I haven’t voted since 2008.

No need to. We’ve got a lock.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:I am a reliably democratic vote, consider myself moderate leaning liberal. Live in MoCo. Cant remember that last time I voted republican, if ever, even when I don’t love the democratic candidate.

I am livid at the decisions on school reopening and extremely thankful to Hogan for pushing schools districts to reopen. It made me realize that I would like to live in a state with divided government because it is most likely to result in moderate policies.

I am absolutely open to voting republican next election at the state level. I know several other women (all mothers of school age children, all angry at Elrich and thankful to Hogan for pushing reopening, all democrats) who have expressed similar views. I don’t agree that (Maryland) will turn republican, but I think Hogan came out of this looking better than expected.

FWIW, I am a POC.

I agree with this. Reopening schools is a key issue for many of us, and MoCo demonstrated pretty clearly that they care about teachers unions much more than kids.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:I am a reliably democratic vote, consider myself moderate leaning liberal. Live in MoCo. Cant remember that last time I voted republican, if ever, even when I don’t love the democratic candidate.

I am livid at the decisions on school reopening and extremely thankful to Hogan for pushing schools districts to reopen. It made me realize that I would like to live in a state with divided government because it is most likely to result in moderate policies.

I am absolutely open to voting republican next election at the state level. I know several other women (all mothers of school age children, all angry at Elrich and thankful to Hogan for pushing reopening, all democrats) who have expressed similar views. I don’t agree that (Maryland) will turn republican, but I think Hogan came out of this looking better than expected.

FWIW, I am a POC.

I agree with this. Reopening schools is a key issue for many of us, and MoCo demonstrated pretty clearly that they care about teachers unions much more than kids.

Half vaccinated left wing Democrat here. I voted for Elrich and Jealous last time.
Whoever thinks we need to continue to mask and distance, use Zoom, avoid gatherings, or have any restrictions on normal life when most people are vaccinated will NOT be getting my vote. Any candidate next year - it will be 2022 FFS - who says we still need to be coddled and bubbled can go F off. I don’t care if Satan is running against them. I don’t care if Robin Ficker is running against them. I just won’t vote. No goalpost moving chicken little coronavirus Karen will EVER get my vote.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:I am a reliably democratic vote, consider myself moderate leaning liberal. Live in MoCo. Cant remember that last time I voted republican, if ever, even when I don’t love the democratic candidate.

I am livid at the decisions on school reopening and extremely thankful to Hogan for pushing schools districts to reopen. It made me realize that I would like to live in a state with divided government because it is most likely to result in moderate policies.

I am absolutely open to voting republican next election at the state level. I know several other women (all mothers of school age children, all angry at Elrich and thankful to Hogan for pushing reopening, all democrats) who have expressed similar views. I don’t agree that (Maryland) will turn republican, but I think Hogan came out of this looking better than expected.

FWIW, I am a POC.

I agree with this. Reopening schools is a key issue for many of us, and MoCo demonstrated pretty clearly that they care about teachers unions much more than kids.

The responsibility of any union is to care first and foremost about it’s dues-paying membership. Last I checked, students weren’t members, don’t pay dues, and aren’t represented by the union. Keeping schools closed/in remote learning until we reach a 100% vaccination-rate in children is best for the health of their members. Teachers already sacrifice enough already. Do you really expect us to literally DIE now just so you can get your kid out of the house 5 days a week?

I see critical thinking isn’t the forte of trumpanzees like you.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

No. I disagree that Republicans of any stripe are popular in Maryland. And I don't believe Hogan will come of the pandemic as popular as he went in. He had an approval bump early on, but lost it this year.

I, a Democrat, voted for Hogan twice, and would do it again. Moderate here!

That's nice, but I think that most MD Democrats have seen that Hogan claims to be pragmatic and hew to the center, but his cancelling of the Red line in Baltimore, dilly-dallying on the Purple line in the DC suburbs (costing taxpayers millions, how fiscally responsible!), vetoing sensible police reforms, and vetoing the Blueprint for Maryland's Future demonstrate that he's little more than your bog standard Republican that fetishizes cutting services to the bone and thinks raising taxes is the 11th Commandment. He governs no differently than a Mike Huckabee or a Greg Abbott, he just has good enough sense to wear a mask and to not spout invective that butters up Evangelicals or QAnon sympathizers.

Also, his vote for Ronald frickin' Reagan in the general was hilariously chickenshit (or, perhaps, par for the course for the modern GOP, but that's a different thread). Hogan is a joke and his position as a sensible moderate within the Republican Party says a lot more about Republicans than it does about his political skills and abilities.

Thank God he veotoed Kirwin/The Blueprint. It *still* doesnt have a funding source and represents a ten percent increase in the entire state budget, during a pandemic. Yes his veto was overridden, but that is some of the most wasteful spending Ive ever seen in our state's history.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:I am a reliably democratic vote, consider myself moderate leaning liberal. Live in MoCo. Cant remember that last time I voted republican, if ever, even when I don’t love the democratic candidate.

I am livid at the decisions on school reopening and extremely thankful to Hogan for pushing schools districts to reopen. It made me realize that I would like to live in a state with divided government because it is most likely to result in moderate policies.

I am absolutely open to voting republican next election at the state level. I know several other women (all mothers of school age children, all angry at Elrich and thankful to Hogan for pushing reopening, all democrats) who have expressed similar views. I don’t agree that (Maryland) will turn republican, but I think Hogan came out of this looking better than expected.

FWIW, I am a POC.

I agree with this. Reopening schools is a key issue for many of us, and MoCo demonstrated pretty clearly that they care about teachers unions much more than kids.

The responsibility of any union is to care first and foremost about it’s dues-paying membership. Last I checked, students weren’t members, don’t pay dues, and aren’t represented by the union. Keeping schools closed/in remote learning until we reach a 100% vaccination-rate in children is best for the health of their members. Teachers already sacrifice enough already. Do you really expect us to literally DIE now just so you can get your kid out of the house 5 days a week?

I see critical thinking isn’t the forte of trumpanzees like you.

A 100% vaccination rate in children? That doesnt even exist yet and could literally take YEARS. That is not a reasonable position for the union to take.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:I am a reliably democratic vote, consider myself moderate leaning liberal. Live in MoCo. Cant remember that last time I voted republican, if ever, even when I don’t love the democratic candidate.

I am livid at the decisions on school reopening and extremely thankful to Hogan for pushing schools districts to reopen. It made me realize that I would like to live in a state with divided government because it is most likely to result in moderate policies.

I am absolutely open to voting republican next election at the state level. I know several other women (all mothers of school age children, all angry at Elrich and thankful to Hogan for pushing reopening, all democrats) who have expressed similar views. I don’t agree that (Maryland) will turn republican, but I think Hogan came out of this looking better than expected.

FWIW, I am a POC.

I’d be more inclined to agree if Hogan had showed more leadership in regards to opening schools back in the summer/fall. Too Johnny-come-lately for me, schools were never a real priority for him. And I’m tired of the petty pissing match between him and Elrich- both come off looking badly IMO.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:I am a reliably democratic vote, consider myself moderate leaning liberal. Live in MoCo. Cant remember that last time I voted republican, if ever, even when I don’t love the democratic candidate.

I am livid at the decisions on school reopening and extremely thankful to Hogan for pushing schools districts to reopen. It made me realize that I would like to live in a state with divided government because it is most likely to result in moderate policies.

I am absolutely open to voting republican next election at the state level. I know several other women (all mothers of school age children, all angry at Elrich and thankful to Hogan for pushing reopening, all democrats) who have expressed similar views. I don’t agree that (Maryland) will turn republican, but I think Hogan came out of this looking better than expected.

FWIW, I am a POC.

I agree with this. Reopening schools is a key issue for many of us, and MoCo demonstrated pretty clearly that they care about teachers unions much more than kids.

The responsibility of any union is to care first and foremost about it’s dues-paying membership. Last I checked, students weren’t members, don’t pay dues, and aren’t represented by the union. Keeping schools closed/in remote learning until we reach a 100% vaccination-rate in children is best for the health of their members. Teachers already sacrifice enough already. Do you really expect us to literally DIE now just so you can get your kid out of the house 5 days a week?

I see critical thinking isn’t the forte of trumpanzees like you.

LMAO- go find a new job already if you don’t trust in your own vaccine to keep you safe.

[Anonymous]

Indian-American moderate here. We voted for Hogan. Never GOP ever again. Especially not that stupid HOGan.

And I also donated heavily to Biden and for the Georgia senetors race.

You are welcome, 'Murica!!

[Anonymous]

I know that in our house, we will be voting for the most conservative D's in the primaries, and straight R on the state level. Will keep straight-D for national (Congress, Senate). Our experiences with (1) the school opening debacle, and, (2) the consistent, unending drumbeat on equity above everything else have made it very clear that MoCo and MD governments need checks. We have been particularly disappointed with Elrich, and several County Council members.

[Anonymous]

Not going to happen, OP. You're reading it wrong. Many people are happy with Democratic politics on a local level. You forget that the most vocal critics might draw your attention, but they're not necessarily numerous. The silent majority is reliably democrat, and supports virtual learning and various left-leaning policies.