20-30% white collar unemployment in the next 12-18 months -- how much blame will Trump get?

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Thanks to AI, it's happening. Coders, lawyers, most content creators (PR, technical writers), HR, payroll, etc. all going to be out of work.

It's going to be UGLY... how much blame will Trump get?

OP is delusional.

It’s happening! Every CEO is talking about how many jobs they can cut! Why isn’t Congress and Trump preparing us?

[Anonymous]

I don't understand why media companies don't outsource most journalism jobs.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:I don't understand why media companies don't outsource most journalism jobs.

Because they just lay the journalists off instead.

[Anonymous]

Architects and engineers - all out of work in two years time.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Having interacted with AI, I am not expecting this.

Me neither. I’m not impressed, and I don’t buy that it will be able to do all of these things.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Having interacted with AI, I am not expecting this.

Me neither. I’m not impressed, and I don’t buy that it will be able to do all of these things.

The ai you see is not what just replaced 9k Microsoft workers.

It can code better than a person… it can do design better than a person. And the bar for doing a good job at customer service, HR, 80 percent of accounting, any kind of healthcare clerical work, is quite low. And its abilities double every six months.

It can do most engineering problems with less degree of error, 24hrs a day and no back talk.


Most white collar workers are cooked.

[Anonymous]

lol it is not replacing this many jobs in the next 12-18 months. Even if the models got good enough to do all that stuff tomorrow and all the computer science work were done, do you think it's instantaneous to build the products that do those tasks sell them to companies? It takes the government years to get bids and buy an airplane; you're not just going to build and sell the brands that replace a huge chunk of the economy in a few months.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:How are people going to pay for whatever it is AI will give us if they are unemployed?

Oh, it's a terrible idea that will just generate a lot of economic chaos. There will be some winners, but it won't be you, and it definitely won't be most Trump voters.

Actually, many Trump voters have jobs that cannot be replaced by AI. They are plumbers, electricians, carpenters, welders, dog groomers, farmers, etc.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Job loss due to automation has been predicted since the start of the industrial revolution. We haven't seen mass unemployment yet. I'll believe it when I see it. Jobs will change, but there will be jobs.

My thoughts exactly.

As an aside, it is great to see young people deciding not to go to college and learning a trade instead - auto mechanic, plumbing, carpentry, welding......all jobs that pay well and will be around for some time to come.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:lol it is not replacing this many jobs in the next 12-18 months. Even if the models got good enough to do all that stuff tomorrow and all the computer science work were done, do you think it's instantaneous to build the products that do those tasks sell them to companies? It takes the government years to get bids and buy an airplane; you're not just going to build and sell the brands that replace a huge chunk of the economy in a few months.

Tell that to the tens of thousands laid off at Microsoft and Amazon this year… Amazon is predicting it won’t have basically any white collar workers in two years and Ford says it’s preparing to cut 50 percent. It’s going to be a bloodbath… and right before the midterms

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Job loss due to automation has been predicted since the start of the industrial revolution. We haven't seen mass unemployment yet. I'll believe it when I see it. Jobs will change, but there will be jobs.

My thoughts exactly.

As an aside, it is great to see young people deciding not to go to college and learning a trade instead - auto mechanic, plumbing, carpentry, welding......all jobs that pay well and will be around for some time to come.

Auto mechanic is definitely getting replaced by AI. Already you plug the car into a computer and it diagnoses the problem. Welding also definitely decreased from what it once was. If the Japanese are already making nursing home robots they can make plumber robots.

[Anonymous]

Coder here. I'm not worried about AI taking my job. That would be like a worker at the robot factory worrying about being replaced by a robot.

[Anonymous]

I think Tech jobs will go fastest because that is what tech people know how to do, so they will be able to easily create AI to do their basic jobs.

As far as installing plumbing…. Maybe in new pre-fab houses, but housing stock has a variety of issues as it ages and I will wait a while (decades) before calling an AI plumber to my house

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:lol it is not replacing this many jobs in the next 12-18 months. Even if the models got good enough to do all that stuff tomorrow and all the computer science work were done, do you think it's instantaneous to build the products that do those tasks sell them to companies? It takes the government years to get bids and buy an airplane; you're not just going to build and sell the brands that replace a huge chunk of the economy in a few months.

Tell that to the tens of thousands laid off at Microsoft and Amazon this year… Amazon is predicting it won’t have basically any white collar workers in two years and Ford says it’s preparing to cut 50 percent. It’s going to be a bloodbath… and right before the midterms

I read that the Microsoft firings were thought to be an effort to free up money to invest in AI. That's as much losing your job to AI as a kid who trick-or-treating as a cop is impersonating a police officer.

[Anonymous]

I asked chatgpt and the most severe scenario was 15% over the next decade, but it predicted closer to 5%.