In that case, a whole raft of former presidents should have been impeached. What are the high crimes and misdemeanors? |
| I actually think Moore is right. The Republicans were set to win big but I think RvW probably really lit a fire under a lot of people. |
A lot of people cared when he predicted that Trump would win. |
You have no idea what state PP lives in. And the national abortion ban the Rs say they want will affect everyone, especially blue states where there have been no changes yet. |
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People have a short memory and Roe was overturned a long time ago relative to people’s attention span. The average voter is not as educated or as liberal as the average DCUM poster. A general rule of thumb is to look at what DCUM is prognosticating and then pick the exact opposite result.
Real Clear Politics has Republicans picking up the House and Senate because they take whatever the polls are and then factor in how almost every poll was way off in Trump’s favor in the last election. The polls you are seeing haven’t taken into account that a large portion of Republican voters are conspiracy nuts who are lying to pollsters and in races like the AZ and OH Senate races only a few weeks ago did the R candidates see any investment in ads by outside funding sources. Expect a complete route by Rs in November and take all the polls you see and keep in mind how off they were in the past few election cycles. Every poll that shows Dems winning by 5 is really a dead heat. |
Same. My neighbor (no longer live in DC) is a moderate republican running for county board. He's a really nice guy and quite moderate. But, my husband and I cannot bring ourselves to vote for him because he's 38 and one day might become Elise Stefanik, maybe pretty soon with the way things are headed. |
The bottom line is that Biden is President for 2 more years, so even if R's do manage to win control of Congress for the next 2 years and we do go into a recession or depression, they will still blame Biden and his policies. So might as well have D's saner control in the meanwhile. Fingers crossed for at least the Senate. |
Which is really just more proof of my baseless but not crazy conspiracy theory that the GOP has been switching votes for years. Democratic policies poll well, amazingly well. How is it possible that Republicans magically outstrip their polling so often? It makes no sense whatsoever. |
| I watched Judy Woodruff last night talking with a group of 18-yr old first-time voters and they all had one issue in common: Roe v Wade and we're voting for pro-choice candidates. I suspect there may be a tsunami of voters with this single issue. We don't take kindly to having our rights taken away by religious zealots! |
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A recession is predicted in 6-9 months, and in the meantime, employment is surprisingly high. Midterms will not be too affected by economic woes, despite inflation. |
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^ However, the 2024 Presidential election could be determined based on how bad the recession gets. Since the indicators going into this recession are all highly unusual in term of robustness of the economy, we might not have quite as severe a downturn as we expect. The big unknown is China, which is economically fragile right now. |