In 2006, it was an 8 person race and cheh ended up with around 45% of the vote. This race will be like that. Goulet and Frumin will get around 65% of the vote, and everyone else will split the rest. |
I've spent a lot of time around the ward in the past couple of weeks. I've seen Frumin volunteers, Duncan volunteers, Bergman volunteers. I even saw Phil Thomas out late at night putting up road signs. I've never seen a Goulet volunteer. I'll concede he has plenty of money. That's kind of the problem, actually. |
Finley has 153 in-Ward supporters, ie people who will actually vote for him: https://dcgeekery.com/dc-campaign-finance/2022/council-ward-3/finley/points How is that viable in a race where something like 13,000 people will vote? |
Those are donors not supporters. If all of the YIMBY people who agreed with him in the issues voted for him instead of convincing themselves that he cannot win and therefore voting for a lesser candidate, it would be a much different outcome. Everyone in DC thinks they are playing out an episode of House of Cards when they could just vote their conscience and vote for Finley. |
This afternoon, a nice young person knocked on my door and gave me a door hanger from Mr. Goulet’s campaign. Paid for by DFER. The fourth time a nice young person (all probably paid by DFER and good for them for getting paid this summer) has dropped by with a Goulet/DFER door hanger in the last ten days. Yes, the outside money is at work in W3. |
Donations are a barometer for support. Compare his numbers to the others in the race. |
There is nothing sinister about this. Any individual or organization that you wanted to could do the same. And that’s a good thing for democracy. |
Endorsements are also a barometer of support. Every YIMBY and YIMBY organization should be endorsing the only remaining true YIMBY left in the race. |
It's incredible that GGW hasn't endorsed Finley. Even their endorsement of Bergmann read as more of an endorsement of Finley. |
Sinister? I was responding to the PP who said they had not seen any Goulet volunteers. |
Greater Greater Washington, one of the most YIMBY organizations out there, endorsed Frumin. He is definitely not as in step with their positions as Finley is, but they realize how important it is to prevent Goulet from winning this election. I don't agree with all of Frumin's positions either, but we have to come together and not let out-of-state money buy this council race. Frumin is our only shot at that. |
Nobody drops the kind of money DFER is dropping into this race without expecting something in return. Nobody. Not even billionaires. Especially not billionaires. |
It's sinister as hell. Dark money groups are dropping at least $400K into Goulet's campaign. That is an unprecedented amount for a ward council race. DC Fair Elections candidates are limited to $250K so it dwarfs what campaigns can spend on their own. |
| This "vote for Frumin, or else..." stuff is very "blue no matter who." |
No, actually, out-of-state organizations spending millions to influence the elections of a local legislature with only 13 members is not a good thing for democracy. It creates artificial support for candidates who will owe these organizations something if they get elected. Supplanting local, grassroots support and campaigns with massive expenditures from special interests is a bad thing, and candidates who do so should not win public office. |