FINAL QUINNIPIAC POLLS:
FLORIDA: Biden 47%, Trump 42% OHIO: Biden 47%, Trump 43% NATIONAL: Biden 50%, Trump 39% |
Rasmussen’s final GE poll gives Trump a better chance than he had in 2016 and his favorables are higher than Obama in the 2012 election, so....
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Without Philly unrest Biden would have had PA. Philly unrest is going to depress a lot of Biden turnout and fire up Trump supporters in places like Bucks County. Like Rick Wilson said about Wisconsin after Kenosha, Dem voters in suburban and exurban Philly are Republicans by DC and NYC standards. I don’t think Biden will get a as much support from Black voters who will vote for neither candidate because the 90s crime bill. |
Biden was a beloved Vice President to our country’s first Black president, and was awarded the congressional Medal of Honor by the same. On top of the horrific events and injustices the black community has suffered this past year, I would think they’ll turn out for Biden. On top of this, he has admitted that the 90s legislation was a mistake. |
This is not good news. Remember Hillary lost Wisconsin because of low Black voter turnout in Milwaukee. According to a previous NY Times article there are way more Trump supporters in the Milwaukee suburbs than the average suburbs.
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/11/02/us/politics/wisconsin-voters.amp.html%3f0p19G=0232
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I think you - like so many Trumpsters - are overestimating how much anyone is thinking about Kenosha while voting. But what you've said does nothing to contradict my observation that it is preposterous to have Biden up more in PA than nationally, which is what this last Rasmussen poll shows. |
To give you a sense of how conservative Milwaukee County is, David Clarke was the Sheriff there. SMH. |
Broken link. |
Not a “Trumpster.” I just know there is not a lot separating “Dems” in Bucks and County from “Dems” in West Virginia. |
Black voter here. The 90s crime bill is not the motivator or de-motivator you think it is. |
https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.nytimes.com/2020/11/02/us/politics/wisconsin-voters.amp.html%3f0p19G=0232 |
Nobody is changing their vote over that. Almost everyone decided months or years ago what they were doing. It's just not that kind of election. |
Why do you keep citing this story as proof that things are going poorly for Biden?
Hopefully there will be more voting in Milwaukee before polls close, too. Hopefully Republicans will continue not to turn out. |