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Anonymous wrote:Sorry, that's 5 invited to Blair SMCS. Not sure about RMIB.
That is an unusually small number. I would suspect there are a lot more, but maybe kids are just not talking about it.
Remember that this year is the first year of MS magnet lottery graduates. Blair magnet has about 10% acceptance rate. 6 or 7 Blair SMCS acceptances from Takoma (not everyone would apply) may be all you can see.
I doubt it. Many of the magnet kids will have got in. Maybe less than previous years but it will certainly be in double digits. Someone somewhere else said maybe about 20. I think that’s likely.
That's not how statistics work

Actually it is exactly how stats work. Students from TPMS are always more likely to get in than from other schools (usually about a third get in). Partly because they have had three years of exceptional advanced teaching in STEM, partly because they already have experience commuting further than their home school and making new friends and are therefore more likely to both apply and accept than others also because of strong interest in STEM since 5th grade and their work ethic and motivation to join a magnet. This is the first year that some (not all) kids have not been as high achievers
as in the past - so that factor may reduce the numbers that got in, but the other factors remain.
Have you heard of something called 'conditional probability'? There are about 1000 applicants. All of these applicants have interest in STEM. That's why they applied. The fact that TPMS students won a lottery 3 years ago don't make them more superior candidates.
Did you read what I wrote? Or just ignore it? There are other reasons as I stated. And I’m VERY confident that I will be proved correct (that the proportion of kids that got in this year is more than 20). Part of that is the track record of TKPK kids who got into the middle school magnet with lower scores than average (because of the set aside) but were still strong enough by the end of the three years to be accepted at Blair.
I’d put money on it if we weren’t anonymous.
This describes my oldest son. My son received a TPMS magnet lottery spot, our zone school, with a straight A report card and MAP scores in the 75-80% range in both math and reading. Above average but not elite. First year was tough, but he did well with some help from tutors. We found out in MS that he as a reading disability and got him support for it through a generous nonprofit. He improved in TPMS and got into Blair magnet with elite scores.
He is a senior now and has already been accepted to two top 20 schools. Waiting for a few other decisions. He will be a second-generation college student and I am so proud of him. My youngest son was also selected for the TMPS magnet, but his scores are above 95%, so we were not as surprised.
I am a single parent with three kids and with a disabled parent that my sons and I help care for. I'm thankful through the lottery system that my son got a chance to maximize his potential at TPMS magnet program.