Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:NEW QUINNIPIAC POLL OHIO:

BIDEN 48%
TRUMP 43%

In 538's snake chart, Ohio is pretty far from the tipping point.

I live in Ohio and I’m skeptical of this

Quinnipiac is a solid pollster. I don’t think Biden’s going to win it by five but I’m really hopeful he’ll squeak by. Ohio almost always votes with the winner.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:NEW QUINNIPIAC POLL OHIO:

BIDEN 48%
TRUMP 43%

In 538's snake chart, Ohio is pretty far from the tipping point.

I live in Ohio and I’m skeptical of this

Quinnipiac is a solid pollster. I don’t think Biden’s going to win it by five but I’m really hopeful he’ll squeak by. Ohio almost always votes with the winner.

Be still, my heart! +5 in Ohio. Please let the map light up blue on Tuesday night!

[Anonymous]

I have a really hard time buying the shy Trump voter scenario. Who is going to think a pollster will out them to the public?

When Republican pollsters were calling me... I got on their list somehow
.. I gave them a damn earful about how atrocious Trump is. (They stopped calling.)


It is more likely to me that they pollsters were off in who they called in 2016. Trump got really lucky in winning states where he was behind less than 4 percent.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:I have a really hard time buying the shy Trump voter scenario. Who is going to think a pollster will out them to the public?

When Republican pollsters were calling me... I got on their list somehow
.. I gave them a damn earful about how atrocious Trump is. (They stopped calling.)


It is more likely to me that they pollsters were off in who they called in 2016. Trump got really lucky in winning states where he was behind less than 4 percent.

This article gives me hope that they've figured out how to account for the "shy Trump voter" (i.e., whites without a college degree) and factor it into their results:

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-election-polls/so-what-if-biden-is-up-in-the-polls-werent-they-wrong-last-time-idUSKBN27E1I0

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:If you look at the 2016 polls in a four person race it was a dead heat. National Poll Clinton was up +4 but it ended up being +2.

not sure why people think 2016 was such an upset when it really wasn't.

+1
Yuppies in NY and DC don’t realize how disliked HC was

[Anonymous]

I’m just praying we don’t have pregnant chads again!

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:I’m just praying we don’t have pregnant chads again!

Nope, we are going to have court ordered destruction of millions of legally valid votes that were postmarked before 11/3 but didn't arrive before whatever court ordered arbitrary time is suggested. I guess we should ask Squi what day that should be.

[Anonymous]

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

That was Trafalgar, right?

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:If you look at the 2016 polls in a four person race it was a dead heat. National Poll Clinton was up +4 but it ended up being +2.

not sure why people think 2016 was such an upset when it really wasn't.

+1
Yuppies in NY and DC don’t realize how disliked HC was

Exactly. Trump had a 1 in 3 chance to win. Variables are quite different this year. He is a known evil buffoon and is still bungling a pandemic.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

That was Trafalgar, right?

I think so. Not positive.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:I’m just praying we don’t have pregnant chads again!

Nope, we are going to have court ordered destruction of millions of legally valid votes that were postmarked before 11/3 but didn't arrive before whatever court ordered arbitrary time is suggested. I guess we should ask Squi what day that should be.

THIS. Unfortunately. US SCt has already tipped its hand.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:I think Trump is going to win because the polls have undercounted shy Trump voters. And there will likely be shenanigans at the Court — again. I hope, hope, hope that I’m wrong but......

There a NO shy Trump voters. Really, just stop. Biden has this in the bag. Trump is a disgrace, weak loser. People are dying and he’s declared victory. Yes, on Election Day it will look like Trump has the votes but that will shift as the night goes on and early votes are counted. It will become more clear on Wed, midday. Trump will try to call it but that is not his to call.

We the people will have spoken. We want our children to have a better future.

You underestimate what the a Republican Party is up to in PA.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:I’m just praying we don’t have pregnant chads again!

Nope, we are going to have court ordered destruction of millions of legally valid votes that were postmarked before 11/3 but didn't arrive before whatever court ordered arbitrary time is suggested. I guess we should ask Squi what day that should be.

You know I wonder just whether a state would comply. Some certainly would but I don’t believe all. Could you see Barr sending in the jackboots into to seize them for burning? Sheeeet

[Anonymous]

What did OP mean by “Lols” in their original “Polls and lols” title?