Yes it is. I assume Langley and McLean admission results likely will only be marginally better. The Naviance data accessible through FCPS Blackboard (which only can be accessed by parents and students of each HS) shows just how difficult it is now for the top kids to get into the so called elite colleges espe from this hyper competitive DC Metro area (and it has gotten even tougher over the last few years with college applications soaring). For ex, in 2011 UVA had 23,587 applications while this year UVA will have nearly 37,500 applications. UVA's early action numbers have gone from 11,753 in 2012 (first yr of early action) to 21,393 this year. |
Source for UVA numbers is UVA's admissions blog:
http://uvaapplication.blogspot.com/ |
Parent of a 1st year TJ student here, and I'm frankly stunned by these UVA stats. Likely could be the subject of a new thread in the College forum but what is behind the applications surge at UVA and the US overall? I may be wrong but I believe the US college age population has been pretty stable over the last 10 years. And thank you PP for the link to the Notes from Peabody blog which is full of interesting information and advice for HS students. |
That part isn't true - a large number of TJ kids come from four high school pyramids: Langley, McLean, Oakton and Chantilly. The Madison pyramid sends less than 1/2 as many kids to TJ as those schools. One can argue as to the reasons (weaker AAP middle schools, desire to stay at the Vienna high school, etc.), but it's not like every school is getting 10% of its kids siphoned off. |
I am underwhelmed by Madison's college acceptances. One would expect much better results from one of the top high schools in one of the best school districts in the country with very high SES student population. |
About 30% of TJ students come from other jurisdictions other than Fairfax County. |
Underwhelming indeed. |
Didn't know GMU, CNU, ODU etc. were considered top colleges. |
Nope those are the lower tier. Top tier is higher up in the page. |
Damn foreigners! Not the ones here but in China (mostly) and India (some) sending their kids to the US for undergrad. As the college moves up the rankings, demand from foreigners increases. |
I have tried to show that the top kids at a base HS: Madison (the only school for which I have data) does well in college admissions. I provided data showing that the top quarter of Madison has similar (not identical) results as TJ does (maybe with exception of the very top of TJ.
The TJ booster turn it around into how much better TJ is, ignoring the fact that you have to be in the top 5% of the county to get into TJ. The DATA clearly shows that 1) TJ has great results in college admission, 2) The top quarter of at least one base school has similar results. The question was on the impact of TJ and admissions. It is not really possible to directly compare TJ to base schools, because the starting point is different. However, with statistical normalization, you can. So, I compared 8 year at madison to 1 year at TJ. That was the purpose. And we found, for may schools (e.g., Princeton) similar numbers from JMHS over 8 years as TJ had for one. On the other hand, the more pure STEM schools were definitely stronger for TJ than Madison (MIT, Caltech). Not surprised. The TJ boosters used this as an excuse to bash Madison, which is at best tacky and borders on trolling. But, if you look at it another way: probably 99% of TJ comes from AAP. About 25% for Madison (goes baed on the number of kids at TMS in AAP and LJMS in AAP minus the few that got to TJ). The cohorts are not the the same, so to compare them without normalization is completely misleading use of statistics. And I thought Stats was a requirement for first semester math at TJ. |
Madison' acceptances on its own are still underwhelming. |
Anyone comparing the two schools is you. |
There appear to be reasonable people on both sides of this "debate," even if most seem to agree that effect on college admissions is marginal. The problem is that a bunch of petulant little twits on this thread on both sides. I figure this likely do to feelings of sexual inadequacy, but what do I know? As a pro-TJ poster, I would like to apologize for these recent, vacuous posts made by others demeaning Madison. These posts were underwhelming to say the least. |
Even if one compared 8 year period for Madison and 1 year (average of 8 years) for TJ, Madison still does poorly in comparison. |