“PAT25, traffic just south of the Woodrow Bridge, a CRJ, it’s 1200 feet setting up for runway 33.” Sounds pretty unambiguous to me. https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=CiOybe-NJHk |
Oh please. Your job is a military helicopter pilot of a spy helo and extraction helo. You had better know what damn altitude you are flying and hiding out at. “‘Oh sorry guys, we got bin Laden and then I forgot to fly low and got shot down by a 80 year old Russian bazooka. Over and out.’” You sound like my spouse who never knows how fast she’s actually going until someone else tells her to slow down or she’s pulled over. |
Was it repeated back by the pilot? |
Doesn’t matter. Pilot in training needed hours. That BH was going out no matter what. |
So I have a couple of thoughts on the last minute maneuvering of the helicopter. This is all pure conjecture, not stated as fact of events, more to illustrate just how much we can't possibly know at this stage. First is to question whether there really was a bank to the right at the last second. As far as I know, that is based on the radar track from publicly available tracking sites. I can tell you for certain those tracks are not precise. They are based on intermittent pings, not continuous, and each ping has an error tolerance around it. If one ping is biased one way, and the next is off a bit the other way, it can easily look like a change in direction when the vehicle is actually traveling in a straight line. And the timing between pings can make a smooth arc look like a sharp jerk. Same issue with altitude. They only report 100s of feet, so a "climb" from 200 to 300 might actually mean they wavered a little from 230 to 260 ft. The videos mostly seem to show the helicopter in level flight, so I'm not actually sure what is right. More precise data, which the NTSB will have access to, should answer that question. Second is one plausible explanation if there was an actual jerk to the right. Let's say (remember, conjecture here, not statement of fact) they were initially fixated on the wrong airplane, or even a tower light somewhere in the distance that they thought was the plane. Then, at the last second, one of the pilots saw the actual plane closing in from the left. I don't care if you were told to go behind it - if you realize a collision is imminent, it's human nature to yank the controls away from the object you think you'll hit. Unfortunately, that only works for avoiding a static object, not a moving one. In this case, yanking the controls away from a plane that (from their perspective) suddenly appeared at their left could have meant a sharp bank to the right, which actually could have put them in the path of the very plane they were trying to avoid. Human instincts don't work well in 3D - ask anyone who has learned formation flight how much training it takes - and in a split-secomd panic situation people often revert to instinct. If that is the scenario (or anything like it), I'm not saying it absolves the crew of responsibility; just giving a possible explanation that doesn't involve suicide or mass murder. Unfortunately, unless the pilot verbalized this and it was caught on a recorder, we'll probably never know WHY they started the bank (if they actually did). |
Actually listen to this one: https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=r90Xw3tQC0I
They immediately confirm and then request visual separation: “PAT25, traffic just south of the Woodrow Bridge, a CRJ, it’s 1200 feet setting up for runway 33.” “PAT25 has the traffic in sight, request visual separation” |
lol. Yeah we all want to know who had their hands on the main thruster, nose angle and rudder. |
That’s not what was written. What was written is that this indicates with certainty that “they know it was her fault.” Nonsense. It’s the family’s decision, not the military’s. But I’m sure the department will leak the name soon enough. |
And 9 times out of 10 it IS worse. Can’t tell if a lawyer is guiding the family to do this or they’re winging it here. Either way it’s not going to make anything better for anyone, including them. |
That is completely, 100 percent, utterly false. |
It DOES matter. If Trump was flying people in and out on helos unnecessarily causing a glut when these trainings would normally happen at different hours or when tower wasn't understaffed, it actually matters a lot. |
“Setting up for runway 33” implies a plane is swinging out (dog tailing) to the east a bit to align with runway 33 (oh, where is that? Oh I see), and then will land. |
I think they saw it. And then somehow lost it. I’ve seen enough pilots interviewed to believe this is not only possible but very plausible. |
It’s not like they are flying in an urban area or near other airports. Flying around the desert NBD. |
She was in charge it’s mostly her fault. |