2020 Senate Map

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Mark Kelly is polling better than Martha McSally in Arizona. Could Arizona soon have 2 Democratic Senators?

https://www.salon.com/2019/08/21/mark-kelly-tops-martha-mcsally-in-new-poll-could-arizona-soon-have-two-democratic-senators/

Nice!

...and McSally just got a primary challenger:
https://www.azcentral.com/story/news/politics/arizona/2019/08/28/businessman-daniel-mccarthy-mounts-republican-primary-challenge-against-martha-mcsally/2142684001/

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:The likelihood is that the Democrats will lose Alabama. I am going to assume they'll win the Presidency. That means Dems need to pick up 4 Republican seats (and hold the rest of their seats) to control the Senate. Colorado, Arizona, and Maine seem like very possible pickups for the Democrats. I have a hard time seeing them getting the 4th. Could be the Georgia seats or the North Carolina seat, I guess.

Agree Ds will lose Alabama

Ds will in Colorado

Arizona is a toss-up

Not sure why everyone is so excited about Maine

I think Ds will pick up Arizona so net 1 with CO and AL cancelling each other out

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:The likelihood is that the Democrats will lose Alabama. I am going to assume they'll win the Presidency. That means Dems need to pick up 4 Republican seats (and hold the rest of their seats) to control the Senate. Colorado, Arizona, and Maine seem like very possible pickups for the Democrats. I have a hard time seeing them getting the 4th. Could be the Georgia seats or the North Carolina seat, I guess.

Agree Ds will lose Alabama

Ds will in Colorado

Arizona is a toss-up

Not sure why everyone is so excited about Maine

I think Ds will pick up Arizona so net 1 with CO and AL cancelling each other out

https://www.dcurbanmom.com/jforum/posts/list/816928.page

[Anonymous]

From July: "Mitch McConnell is the only Senator more unpopular than Susan Collins."

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/mitch-mcconnell-is-the-only-senator-more-unpopular-than-susan-collins/

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:From July: "Mitch McConnell is the only Senator more unpopular than Susan Collins."

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/mitch-mcconnell-is-the-only-senator-more-unpopular-than-susan-collins/

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/senate/me/maine_senate_collins_vs_gideon_vs_vanhelsing-6927.html

Collins +14 let me know when it gets to single digits

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:From July: "Mitch McConnell is the only Senator more unpopular than Susan Collins."

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/mitch-mcconnell-is-the-only-senator-more-unpopular-than-susan-collins/

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/senate/me/maine_senate_collins_vs_gideon_vs_vanhelsing-6927.html

Collins +14 let me know when it gets to single digits

The one from 538 is a few weeks newer and I wonder about the methodology in the RCP one. I find it odd that Collins would be polling higher in a two way race than she is in a three way race. Like that seems mathematically off to me.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:From July: "Mitch McConnell is the only Senator more unpopular than Susan Collins."

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/mitch-mcconnell-is-the-only-senator-more-unpopular-than-susan-collins/

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/senate/me/maine_senate_collins_vs_gideon_vs_vanhelsing-6927.html

Collins +14 let me know when it gets to single digits

Susan Collins is awesome and will win.

Sorry, obsessed anti-K brigade.

[Anonymous]

Thom Tillis just got booed at tonight’s Trump rally and is losing to his primary challenger in this poll:
https://tennesseestar.com/2019/09/06/u-s-sen-tillis-of-north-carolina-underwater-among-republican-primary-voters-poll-says/

[Anonymous]

Jon Ossoff is running against Perdue. That’s the Georgia six-year seat.
https://www.ajc.com/blog/politics/breaking-ossoff-run-for-senate-georgia/S7S3FWCEDm7UY6J4gN6fSL/amp.html

[Anonymous]

Kentucky Senate General Election:

Mitch McConnell (R-inc) 47%
Amy McGrath (D) 46%

Fabrizio Ward LLC Poll (7/29-31)

https://www.aarp.org/research/topics/politics/info-2019/five-state-prescription-drug-survey.html

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Kentucky Senate General Election:

Mitch McConnell (R-inc) 47%
Amy McGrath (D) 46%

Fabrizio Ward LLC Poll (7/29-31)

https://www.aarp.org/research/topics/politics/info-2019/five-state-prescription-drug-survey.html

holy shirtballs

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Kentucky Senate General Election:
Mitch McConnell (R-inc) 47%
Amy McGrath (D) 46%

Fabrizio Ward LLC Poll (7/29-31)

https://www.aarp.org/research/topics/politics/info-2019/five-state-prescription-drug-survey.html

From the same poll:
Arizona Senate General Election:
Martha McSally (R-inc) 45%
Mark Kelly (D) 44%

North Carolina Senate General Election:
Cal Cunningham (D) 42% (+1)
Thom Tillis (R-inc) 41%

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Kentucky Senate General Election:

Mitch McConnell (R-inc) 47%
Amy McGrath (D) 46%

Fabrizio Ward LLC Poll (7/29-31)

https://www.aarp.org/research/topics/politics/info-2019/five-state-prescription-drug-survey.html

This Amy McGrath?
https://www.politico.com/story/2019/07/10/amy-mcgrath-brett-kavanaugh-1405832

LOL.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:From July: "Mitch McConnell is the only Senator more unpopular than Susan Collins."

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/mitch-mcconnell-is-the-only-senator-more-unpopular-than-susan-collins/

Is Kentucky really going to vote D? Moscow Mitch will keep his job.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Kentucky Senate General Election:

Mitch McConnell (R-inc) 47%
Amy McGrath (D) 46%

Fabrizio Ward LLC Poll (7/29-31)

https://www.aarp.org/research/topics/politics/info-2019/five-state-prescription-drug-survey.html

holy shirtballs

you forgot forking