If you look at the documents MCPS has posted on its CES/Magnet website, that's what changed formally. At the MS magnet level, the only datapoint I have, which is DC's CES school, points to a real, significant drop in the then-5th graders selected for the two magnets in Spring 2018 compared to 2017. So much so that the principal made a point to mentioning it at the orientation/open house. But at the regional CES level, I haven't seen a single post from a parent saying, wow, in 2017 it was 3 kids and now it's 10 kids that were selected from the home ES. (Barnsley, with the same number of seats but less ES covered, ought to be an example.) Obviously, a number of posters report it went the other way for their home ES. At our DC's home ES, it was basically the same, as best I can tell, but maybe it would have been different had the criteria not changed. The problem is that going from 7 to 4 or 5 to 8 may be just due to specific students more than anything else. Maybe MoCo will eventually release that information, but it's doubtful. It may be another year or two before the effects are clearer. |
This tracks with my experience with a middle schooler and a current CES kid - for both the CES and middle school magnet programs, the outliers were selected and it is easier to be an outlier at a more heterogeneous school. The one thing I expect to see change in the coming year is more kids going from the CES into the middle school magnets. I really do think they messed that up last year, perhaps even inadvertently. They were clearly comparing CES kids to one another, rather than to their home school peer group, or even the incoming middle school peer group. That ended up hurting CES kids all over the county, not just at the highest performing clusters. |
Kid needed to be outlier for MS grouping, not within their CES. That's a much higher hurdle. |
CES is not a stepping stone to every magnet. For example, STEM has little to do with a humanities-focused enrichment program. |
You're partially correct. MCPS used the percentiles for the initial identification of "highly able" students. Then they looked at other parts of a student's records. We were told they did have access to the raw scores. MCPS did not report the SAS or median scores to parents because of this very problem we are having now with people trying to figure out how the system was unfair. |
Not necessarily. One of their goals was representation from every school or as many schools as possible so for the magnets they took at least one child from all feeders, for CES at least 2 but more likely 3-4 or more. They had several rounds of screening. They went back and made sure they had representation from all these schools and if there was on clear outlier they picked from the group of top performers. |
A 130 and 125 maybe basically the same but the standard error is not so bad that they cannot tell the difference between a 130 and a 150 kid or a 130 kid and a 110 kid. So, yes, you can look at SAS for all the 99th percentile kids and find a few real outliers. But statistically speaking there should be very few. The estimate is something like 13 out of 10,000 people have IQs over 145. Each MCPS grade is something like 10,000-12,000 so even if you account for the DC area having a higher concentration of gifted children than elsewhere that means each CES may have only a few really profoundly gifted students and the TPMS and Blair magnets may have a few dozen. The rest are just really really smart kids. |
^^If there was NO clear outlier they picked from the top performers. |