Elrich Now in the Lead

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Is Elrich still in the lead?

They won't post results from today until this evening. Currently the results reported from last night are the latest numbers, and those show that Elrich is up by 173 votes.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Is Elrich still in the lead?

Yes, by 173.
https://elections.maryland.gov/elections/2022/primary_results/gen_results_2022_by_county_16.html

[Anonymous]

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Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Those of you voting for the status quo with Elrich don't understand the status quo. He's done a terrible job running the government and his employees are extremely unhappy. His budgets have been deeply irresponsible and the spineless Council just rubberstamps them because all they care about is placating progressive Twitter. I get that Blair is an unknown and I kind of hate that he uses a private jet, but Elrich is pretty bad. And as far as COVID policy goes, if you are someone who can work from home in a white collar job and has no kids, I'm sure it has been pretty great. But for people running small businesses or raising young children, it really hasn't been.

They're both terrible and as with most politics, you don't vote for someone you vote against the other person. Who wants to go into any government anymore? It's underpaid (only the rich can afford to run) and every little thing you do is scrutinized to death.

Actually I think if Blair is elected it will work because he will provide balance with the Council which is shaping up to be very progressive. With Elrich and this Council it really is just mindless rubberstamping of whatever the most strident progressive voices want, and when taken together it's really not good. FTR I voted for Elrich in the last election and like him personally. But he needs to go.

I have the same view. Both donated and voted for Elrich last time and voted for Blair this time. There needs to be balance. 9-0 council votes rubber stamped by the CE on measures with real economic impact to our business climate (restaurant child menus, building energy standards, etc) is no way to run a county.

Riemer was always and obviously a big part of the problem and just transparently full of sh*t, so it surprises me that 1 in 5 voters have been obviously conned by that moron.

[Anonymous]

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Anonymous wrote:Votes are being counted based on when they were received. I think old people are more likely to get their ballot in the day they received it, while working folks may have taken more time (like me.. I was on a business trip when it arrived).

Well, that's my hope at least... I figure older people more likely to vote for Elrich because of his great Covid lockdowns, including keeping public libraries and playgrounds closed while all surrounding jurisdictions had already reopened them.

Elrich was always expected to do well with the mail-in vote. It is a demographic that generally trends older which favors him. What was unexpected is how well he would do.

It is pretty clear at this stage that Elrich will win. The only question will be the margin of victory.

Hans Riemer should be ashamed of himself.

Not yet, let's give it a few more days. If the trend continues, then yes. But his percentage of votes was lower with yesterday's count than it was from Thursday's.

The idea that Blair is going to make up votes among the remaining mail-in and provisional ballots is far fetched. The mail-in voter population is not representative of the county as a whole.

Elrich made up the difference with the first 2 days of mail-in ballots. It's just as possible for Blair to swing it the other way with the remainder of ballots, which is a larger number than what was already counted.

You are failing to understand the point. The mail-in population favors Elrich. The fact that he made up the difference easily in just two days means that he will probably continue to pull further ahead in the coming days.

It is no “equally possible” that the mail-in vote swings back to Blair because the average mail-in voter is an Elrich voter.

So far, the mail in vote favors Elrich. But only a small portion of it has been counted.

Thanks for being arrogantly wrong. LOL.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Votes are being counted based on when they were received. I think old people are more likely to get their ballot in the day they received it, while working folks may have taken more time (like me.. I was on a business trip when it arrived).

Well, that's my hope at least... I figure older people more likely to vote for Elrich because of his great Covid lockdowns, including keeping public libraries and playgrounds closed while all surrounding jurisdictions had already reopened them.

Elrich was always expected to do well with the mail-in vote. It is a demographic that generally trends older which favors him. What was unexpected is how well he would do.

It is pretty clear at this stage that Elrich will win. The only question will be the margin of victory.

Hans Riemer should be ashamed of himself.

Not yet, let's give it a few more days. If the trend continues, then yes. But his percentage of votes was lower with yesterday's count than it was from Thursday's.

The idea that Blair is going to make up votes among the remaining mail-in and provisional ballots is far fetched. The mail-in voter population is not representative of the county as a whole.

You can't say that after everyone was forced to vote mail in last time, during COVID. We are used to it now. And the unprecedented number of mail in ballots shows that.

And you can't say that when the election was pushed into mid-July, during the height of vacation season, when many people had pre-booked vacations and have no choice other than to vote by mail in.

This year is not like every other year. At all.

Yes. Yes it was. And you were wrong.

[Anonymous]

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Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Votes are being counted based on when they were received. I think old people are more likely to get their ballot in the day they received it, while working folks may have taken more time (like me.. I was on a business trip when it arrived).

Well, that's my hope at least... I figure older people more likely to vote for Elrich because of his great Covid lockdowns, including keeping public libraries and playgrounds closed while all surrounding jurisdictions had already reopened them.

Elrich was always expected to do well with the mail-in vote. It is a demographic that generally trends older which favors him. What was unexpected is how well he would do.

It is pretty clear at this stage that Elrich will win. The only question will be the margin of victory.

Hans Riemer should be ashamed of himself.

Not yet, let's give it a few more days. If the trend continues, then yes. But his percentage of votes was lower with yesterday's count than it was from Thursday's.

The idea that Blair is going to make up votes among the remaining mail-in and provisional ballots is far fetched. The mail-in voter population is not representative of the county as a whole.

Elrich made up the difference with the first 2 days of mail-in ballots. It's just as possible for Blair to swing it the other way with the remainder of ballots, which is a larger number than what was already counted.

You are failing to understand the point. The mail-in population favors Elrich. The fact that he made up the difference easily in just two days means that he will probably continue to pull further ahead in the coming days.

It is no “equally possible” that the mail-in vote swings back to Blair because the average mail-in voter is an Elrich voter.

So far, the mail in vote favors Elrich. But only a small portion of it has been counted.

We have no idea if the mail in ballots counted so far are representative of all mail in ballots or if they sleep towards Elrich based on which precincts they counted first. My money has always been on Elrich winning but I haven't totally lost hope that Blair can pull this off.

Reasonably intelligent people did. You did not.

[Anonymous]

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Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Votes are being counted based on when they were received. I think old people are more likely to get their ballot in the day they received it, while working folks may have taken more time (like me.. I was on a business trip when it arrived).

Well, that's my hope at least... I figure older people more likely to vote for Elrich because of his great Covid lockdowns, including keeping public libraries and playgrounds closed while all surrounding jurisdictions had already reopened them.

Elrich was always expected to do well with the mail-in vote. It is a demographic that generally trends older which favors him. What was unexpected is how well he would do.

It is pretty clear at this stage that Elrich will win. The only question will be the margin of victory.

Hans Riemer should be ashamed of himself.

Not yet, let's give it a few more days. If the trend continues, then yes. But his percentage of votes was lower with yesterday's count than it was from Thursday's.

The idea that Blair is going to make up votes among the remaining mail-in and provisional ballots is far fetched. The mail-in voter population is not representative of the county as a whole.

Elrich made up the difference with the first 2 days of mail-in ballots. It's just as possible for Blair to swing it the other way with the remainder of ballots, which is a larger number than what was already counted.

You are failing to understand the point. The mail-in population favors Elrich. The fact that he made up the difference easily in just two days means that he will probably continue to pull further ahead in the coming days.

It is no “equally possible” that the mail-in vote swings back to Blair because the average mail-in voter is an Elrich voter.

So far, the mail in vote favors Elrich. But only a small portion of it has been counted.

We have no idea if the mail in ballots counted so far are representative of all mail in ballots or if they sleep towards Elrich based on which precincts they counted first. My money has always been on Elrich winning but I haven't totally lost hope that Blair can pull this off.

You are hanging onto false hope and as a result spreading misinformation. The idea that there is a “batch” of mail-in ballots heavily favoring Blair is fanciful.

Not that poster, but nobody here can predict anything. Including you.

In fact I was able to predict it by understanding county politics better than you. So thanks.

[Anonymous]

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Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Votes are being counted based on when they were received. I think old people are more likely to get their ballot in the day they received it, while working folks may have taken more time (like me.. I was on a business trip when it arrived).

Well, that's my hope at least... I figure older people more likely to vote for Elrich because of his great Covid lockdowns, including keeping public libraries and playgrounds closed while all surrounding jurisdictions had already reopened them.

Elrich was always expected to do well with the mail-in vote. It is a demographic that generally trends older which favors him. What was unexpected is how well he would do.

It is pretty clear at this stage that Elrich will win. The only question will be the margin of victory.

Hans Riemer should be ashamed of himself.

Not yet, let's give it a few more days. If the trend continues, then yes. But his percentage of votes was lower with yesterday's count than it was from Thursday's.

The idea that Blair is going to make up votes among the remaining mail-in and provisional ballots is far fetched. The mail-in voter population is not representative of the county as a whole.

Elrich made up the difference with the first 2 days of mail-in ballots. It's just as possible for Blair to swing it the other way with the remainder of ballots, which is a larger number than what was already counted.

You are failing to understand the point. The mail-in population favors Elrich. The fact that he made up the difference easily in just two days means that he will probably continue to pull further ahead in the coming days.

It is no “equally possible” that the mail-in vote swings back to Blair because the average mail-in voter is an Elrich voter.

So far, the mail in vote favors Elrich. But only a small portion of it has been counted.

We have no idea if the mail in ballots counted so far are representative of all mail in ballots or if they sleep towards Elrich based on which precincts they counted first. My money has always been on Elrich winning but I haven't totally lost hope that Blair can pull this off.

You are hanging onto false hope and as a result spreading misinformation. The idea that there is a “batch” of mail-in ballots heavily favoring Blair is fanciful.

Not that poster, but nobody here can predict anything. Including you.

You are applying hope versus basic reasoning. The overall population of mail-in vote was always expected to favor Elrich and Elrich is favored by older voters countywide. So if you are hoping that there are geographic pockets of pro-Blair elderly voters, they don’t really exist.

After Election Day, Elrich only needed to have a 2.5% margin the estimated mail-in ballots to make up Blairs advantage. About half of the mail-in vote has already been counted. You do the math on what margin Blair must win in the remaining vote to win.

If you do not believe me then I ask you to consider who would you rather be right now, Elrich or Blair? Not a single person would rather be in Blair’s shoes right now and that’s all that needs to be known.

The election is over.

Why would you assume older voters will favor Elrich? I always knew older voters to be more conservative. The only people who actively support Elrich are older hippies and just in Takoma Park, and younger DSA/Bernie Sanders supporters.

I don’t assume older voters favor Elrich, I know this based on understanding who his base is by understanding county politics.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

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Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Votes are being counted based on when they were received. I think old people are more likely to get their ballot in the day they received it, while working folks may have taken more time (like me.. I was on a business trip when it arrived).

Well, that's my hope at least... I figure older people more likely to vote for Elrich because of his great Covid lockdowns, including keeping public libraries and playgrounds closed while all surrounding jurisdictions had already reopened them.

Elrich was always expected to do well with the mail-in vote. It is a demographic that generally trends older which favors him. What was unexpected is how well he would do.

It is pretty clear at this stage that Elrich will win. The only question will be the margin of victory.

Hans Riemer should be ashamed of himself.

Not yet, let's give it a few more days. If the trend continues, then yes. But his percentage of votes was lower with yesterday's count than it was from Thursday's.

The idea that Blair is going to make up votes among the remaining mail-in and provisional ballots is far fetched. The mail-in voter population is not representative of the county as a whole.

Elrich made up the difference with the first 2 days of mail-in ballots. It's just as possible for Blair to swing it the other way with the remainder of ballots, which is a larger number than what was already counted.

You are failing to understand the point. The mail-in population favors Elrich. The fact that he made up the difference easily in just two days means that he will probably continue to pull further ahead in the coming days.

It is no “equally possible” that the mail-in vote swings back to Blair because the average mail-in voter is an Elrich voter.

So far, the mail in vote favors Elrich. But only a small portion of it has been counted.

We have no idea if the mail in ballots counted so far are representative of all mail in ballots or if they sleep towards Elrich based on which precincts they counted first. My money has always been on Elrich winning but I haven't totally lost hope that Blair can pull this off.

You are hanging onto false hope and as a result spreading misinformation. The idea that there is a “batch” of mail-in ballots heavily favoring Blair is fanciful.

Not that poster, but nobody here can predict anything. Including you.

You are applying hope versus basic reasoning. The overall population of mail-in vote was always expected to favor Elrich and Elrich is favored by older voters countywide. So if you are hoping that there are geographic pockets of pro-Blair elderly voters, they don’t really exist.

After Election Day, Elrich only needed to have a 2.5% margin the estimated mail-in ballots to make up Blairs advantage. About half of the mail-in vote has already been counted. You do the math on what margin Blair must win in the remaining vote to win.

If you do not believe me then I ask you to consider who would you rather be right now, Elrich or Blair? Not a single person would rather be in Blair’s shoes right now and that’s all that needs to be known.

The election is over.

Why would you assume older voters will favor Elrich? I always knew older voters to be more conservative. The only people who actively support Elrich are older hippies and just in Takoma Park, and younger DSA/Bernie Sanders supporters.

I don’t assume older voters favor Elrich, I know this based on understanding who his base is by understanding county politics.

He didn’t even win Leisure World last time.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

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Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Votes are being counted based on when they were received. I think old people are more likely to get their ballot in the day they received it, while working folks may have taken more time (like me.. I was on a business trip when it arrived).

Well, that's my hope at least... I figure older people more likely to vote for Elrich because of his great Covid lockdowns, including keeping public libraries and playgrounds closed while all surrounding jurisdictions had already reopened them.

Elrich was always expected to do well with the mail-in vote. It is a demographic that generally trends older which favors him. What was unexpected is how well he would do.

It is pretty clear at this stage that Elrich will win. The only question will be the margin of victory.

Hans Riemer should be ashamed of himself.

Not yet, let's give it a few more days. If the trend continues, then yes. But his percentage of votes was lower with yesterday's count than it was from Thursday's.

The idea that Blair is going to make up votes among the remaining mail-in and provisional ballots is far fetched. The mail-in voter population is not representative of the county as a whole.

Elrich made up the difference with the first 2 days of mail-in ballots. It's just as possible for Blair to swing it the other way with the remainder of ballots, which is a larger number than what was already counted.

You are failing to understand the point. The mail-in population favors Elrich. The fact that he made up the difference easily in just two days means that he will probably continue to pull further ahead in the coming days.

It is no “equally possible” that the mail-in vote swings back to Blair because the average mail-in voter is an Elrich voter.

So far, the mail in vote favors Elrich. But only a small portion of it has been counted.

We have no idea if the mail in ballots counted so far are representative of all mail in ballots or if they sleep towards Elrich based on which precincts they counted first. My money has always been on Elrich winning but I haven't totally lost hope that Blair can pull this off.

You are hanging onto false hope and as a result spreading misinformation. The idea that there is a “batch” of mail-in ballots heavily favoring Blair is fanciful.

Not that poster, but nobody here can predict anything. Including you.

You are applying hope versus basic reasoning. The overall population of mail-in vote was always expected to favor Elrich and Elrich is favored by older voters countywide. So if you are hoping that there are geographic pockets of pro-Blair elderly voters, they don’t really exist.

After Election Day, Elrich only needed to have a 2.5% margin the estimated mail-in ballots to make up Blairs advantage. About half of the mail-in vote has already been counted. You do the math on what margin Blair must win in the remaining vote to win.

If you do not believe me then I ask you to consider who would you rather be right now, Elrich or Blair? Not a single person would rather be in Blair’s shoes right now and that’s all that needs to be known.

The election is over.

Why would you assume older voters will favor Elrich? I always knew older voters to be more conservative. The only people who actively support Elrich are older hippies and just in Takoma Park, and younger DSA/Bernie Sanders supporters.

I don’t assume older voters favor Elrich, I know this based on understanding who his base is by understanding county politics.

He didn’t even win Leisure World last time.

That’s false. Sorry you enjoy being misinformed.

[Anonymous]

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Anonymous wrote:For anyone wondering how any of this is possible there are two words you should not forget: Hans Riemer.

Forgive my simplemindedness but how do we know Hans took more votes from Blair?

Because the candidate himself was appealing to Blair voters, that’s why.

There’s tweet after tweet after tweet from Riemer just like this.

Not to mention that the rest of his tweets were nonstop negative attacks on Elrich. If you were otherwise going to vote for Elrich this would not be someone you would also consider and Riemer made that clear.

Yes, it is absolutely mind-blowing that no one understands that Elrich and his TP cronies are nothing but a bunch of self-serving privileged dummies who are actually a detriment to the people they claim to serve. Literally no innocent person who lives in a high-crime area wants fewer police. Please ask the kids at Seneca Valley which is right in the middle of a high-crime neighborhood how they feel and what they had to go through when the school had multiple lockdowns because of crime in the neighborhood.

Of the three I preferred Reimer but voted for Elrich as no way I wanted Blair. So no, not every Reimer voter was otherwise going for Blair. Or maybe those who knew he was going to be a spoiler like me went and voted for Elrich….

Same. I was going to vote for Reimer until I found out what was happening then switch to Elrich.

You must enjoy being a crime victim or are a criminal.

I've literally never had a good experience with a cop in my entire life and they're always suspicious of me even though I don't commit any crimes. I don't trust cops and I don't want them coming to my house. The one time I called one about something at my home, they acted like *I* was the criminal. I will never call a cop again.

Crime victims have never had a good experience with their perpetrators either.

DP...PP just said the police treated them like the criminal when they called the police. Do you think that's helpful to victims?

Well y’all are in luck because we will be facing steep budget cuts in Elrich’s second term and there is a lot of momentum behind defunding the police.

Well, only among safe upper middle income white progressives. The people who need police want police. They just don't have a voice. And no matter how much the county swears it is committed to racial equity, it's not. Because it has no interest in reaching the voices that matter.

They need to vote and use their voice.

Not all voices are equal in this county. The TP crowd is louder, sometimes to the detriment of others. The attack on police is a perfect example of that. Do people in Wheaton and Silver Spring want a 50% reduction in force like Elrich’s Reimagining Public Safety task force recommends, or is that just the defund desires of the TP crowd? I live in an area that needs more public safety, not less. The combination of Elrich and a very progressive council scares me.

It is Silver Spring Justice Coalition to blame. They have Elrich's and Jawando's ears. Craig Rice shut their ***** down last month, and told a bunch of middle aged white women to STFU about what Black and brown people need to be safe. But they will rise again. Especially if Elrich wins again.

[Anonymous]

Serious question, will Elrich even live through a second term? He would be 77 by 2026. He's morbidly obese and looks unhealthy. What happens if the CE dies in office? Of course I don't wish that on anyone, I just don't know what the process is since we don't have a Vice-CE or whatever.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Serious question, will Elrich even live through a second term? He would be 77 by 2026. He's morbidly obese and looks unhealthy. What happens if the CE dies in office? Of course I don't wish that on anyone, I just don't know what the process is since we don't have a Vice-CE or whatever.

LOL. He’s certainly overweight and you could also call him fat, but “morbidly obese”? That’s a massive exaggeration. I think you should mentally prepare yourself for a third Elrich term.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Serious question, will Elrich even live through a second term? He would be 77 by 2026. He's morbidly obese and looks unhealthy. What happens if the CE dies in office? Of course I don't wish that on anyone, I just don't know what the process is since we don't have a Vice-CE or whatever.

LOL. He’s certainly overweight and you could also call him fat, but “morbidly obese”? That’s a massive exaggeration. I think you should mentally prepare yourself for a third Elrich term.

The year is 2027. Marc Elrich is in his third term as County Executive, after defeating David Blair by 6 votes. Blair had spent $10M for his third losing campaign.

As part of a $2 billion Racial Equity initiative, County Executive Elrich and Councilmember Kristin Mink have cosponsored a Racial Justice Task Force (following a 20% tax increase), which will first involve a $50 million commissioned study and analysis of all racial equity impacts of electrified food trucks and Bilingual Drag Queen Story Hours. As the last Fortune 500 company closes its doors in MoCo, the loss in revenue will be offset by state-run marijuana dispensaries.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Serious question, will Elrich even live through a second term? He would be 77 by 2026. He's morbidly obese and looks unhealthy. What happens if the CE dies in office? Of course I don't wish that on anyone, I just don't know what the process is since we don't have a Vice-CE or whatever.

LOL. He’s certainly overweight and you could also call him fat, but “morbidly obese”? That’s a massive exaggeration. I think you should mentally prepare yourself for a third Elrich term.

He’s lost some weight so yeah, probably not morbidly obese anymore.

I don’t see any scenario where he runs for another term (if he’s even allowed? Can’t remember if there are term limits for CE). Things are gonna get messy this term, which he will have largely brought upon himself but he is smart enough to leave the real cleanup to someone else.