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Fairfax County Public Schools (FCPS)
My guess is that at that point housing development in Herndon adding hundreds of kids to the pyramid will be too far along to be ignored. |
what original post? I just read the post containing the bolded and responded to that. |
Route 7 spans from Leesburg to Alexandria, so no. The riskiest places to buy are: 1. Forestville south of 7 where the neighborhoods are woven within Herndon neighborhoods. 2. The Spring Hill attendance island that’s currently zoned for McLean with the assumption it’ll be sent to Langley. 3. Streets off Seneca Rd (although I think this is less likely.) I don’t see them taking Forestville out of the Langley Pyramid or turning it into a split feeder. They will move neighborhoods out of Forestville into Herndon elementary schools with the capacity to take them. Forestville boundaries will then shift to pick up Colvin Run neighborhoods which will shift to pick up Spring Hill neighborhoods. |
So you're saying 5 buyers have made the decision to move into your neck of the woods based on the mere prospect of being impacted by boundaries? |
It’s actually seven. Countless others have told me that there is no way their kids would go to the potentially redistricted school. I concede that some of that may be bluster, but to argue that it is mostly bluster is just flat wrong. People with means have and will use that money for their kids’ educations. The people who remain can’t afford to go or have fully subscribed to the equity agenda. |
Sorry, just reread your post. it's selling or walking away, not buying. seven (including us by the way - for full disclosure). |
FYP. I still support more of my tax dollars going to students who need it, in addition to more efficient use of a share of those dollars towards my well-resourced kids' educations, and therefore don't support vouchers. |
Confused how you are selling if there are no buyers. Are you selling to investors and the houses are all just sitting empty now? Eventually someone is going to rent or buy and live there. In many but not all cases a family with kids (or who plan to have them). People selling and moving out isn't a net reduction in students or tax revenue or anything else unless that land is being redeveloped or you have a bunch of empty-nesters buying and moving in (contrary to the broader trend in the area). |
Go take an Econ class. Information asymmetry. Homes for sale in our area prominently state the school pyramid, which is still valid. That’s why one buyer walked away from a purchase after subsequently learning the plans. Sellers know, many buyers don’t. Also, it is absolutely a reduction in the tax base if homes sell for less. This hasn’t been fully priced in yet because the maps aren’t public, but that’ll change next year. Like I said, go take an Econ class. 🙄 |
Whether it’s five or seven, it’s still anecdotal. They know from past experience that when families are redistricted to a lower rated school, some percentage of parents will peel off. They’ll move, or shift their kids to privates, or pupil place. But over time there will be new families who buy or stay put with eyes wide open and send their kids to the lower rated school. That’s what happened in the Oakton and Madison neighborhoods moved to South Lakes 15 years ago, and that’s what will happen if part of Langley gets moved to Herndon. |
So houses elsewhere may sell for more if the market is factoring in the possibility of changes that might increase test scores and school ratings at the assigned schools for those areas. This isn’t about information asymmetry, but instead your own navel gazing. |
| My DW works in real estate with a lot of clients from South Korea moving to the DMV, and everyone of them is aware of the potential school boundary changes. Their first choice is TJ with the backup school is Langley HS, and because of that, they want to buy real estate within one mile from Langley HS. |
there will be other stronger economic forces in play next year |
https://www.fcps.edu/sites/default/files/media/pdf/SY2024-25ElementarySchoolBoundarieswithHighSchoolBoundaries.pdf Add to that the Colvin Run neighborhood[s] that are woven within Forest Edge/South Lakes. Remove the Churchill Rd modular and it's down 252 in capacity. Springhill is projected over capacity so that island could be moved to Westbriar? All we really know for certain is the at large school board members need to finally start performing their roles. The problem is not Forestville assigned to Langley but who is currently in boundary for Forestville. |
Cool. Maybe they can star in Crazy Rich Asians II. |