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Fairfax County Public Schools (FCPS)
They should do something with the Westbriar island before they worry about the Spring Hill island. The kids in the Westbriar island travel past Colvin Run on their way to Westbriar. The kids in the Spring Hill island are contiguous to the rest of Spring Hill, and they don’t travel past Langley on their way to McLean. |
Most people buying within a mile of Langley send their kids to private school. |
I live on Harvey Road literally next to Langley HS, and my kids go to Langley, as most of my friends who live next to Cooper MS. I would say about 50% of Langley residents send their kids to private. |
Cute theory. I feel quite confident that most families do not like uncertainty when it comes to their kids’ schools. That’ll hurt property values across the county. Soon we’ll see whether you and Sandy Anderson are right. If you’re wrong, what will you do to save the sinking ship? I’m guessing you and the school board have zero plans for when this blows up in their face. Sounds about right for the equity-at-all-cost activists. |
It’s entirely possible that boundary changes could, in the aggregate, be negative for FCPS performance metrics and county tax revenues. But it’s not as one-sided a picture as you keep claiming. If western Great Falls gets moved to Herndon, there will still be buyers for homes and many kids will still attend the assigned public schools. |
I never claimed that there wouldn’t be buyers, and I’ll even admit that some limited areas could see incremental gains to their property values. Most will absolutely take an hit. Uncertainty and no grandfathering with changes every five years is going to be bad. So very very bad. I don’t think anyone can sit there with a straight face and say this won’t have a negative impact on the county. |
You're vastly overestimating the information asymmetry aspect, likely influenced by your one anecdote. Housing demand (and hence property values) in this area are going to be far more affected by Trump's DOGE and any corresponding downsizing/relocating of agencies than by concerns over boundaries. And as another poster noted, any such boundary-related impacts would be short-term and quickly rebound, though in the meantime I know people certainly enjoy trying to make political hay out of doomsdaying this appropriate and responsible course of action. |
So, definitely not just one anecdote. Multiple listings (even right at this very moment) heralding the school district - you’re just too lazy to go look for them. The doge may introduce some risk, but so theoretical at this point, and they have to get through a lot of constituencies first. Seems very unlikely to amount to anything significant. You just don’t seem that great at evaluating risks. |
One other thing to add: realtors can’t really talk about schools and most people aren’t coming to DCUM regularly. I would wager a hefty sum that a family from outside the potentially impacted areas would have a small likelihood of anything of this magnitude going on. Frankly, most of us wouldn’t have considered it- because it’s completely bonkers. So the information asymmetry is significant. |
DP. The information asymmetry isn’t between buyers and sellers, who basically have the same information. It’s between buyers and sellers, on the one hand, and public officials, who may not be showing their hand as to their real intentions when it comes to boundaries. It’s a fancy term that didn’t need to be part of the discussion. PP is right that people don’t like uncertainty when making major decisions, and may be less likely to enter into commercial transactions like buying or selling a house until the uncertainty is resolved. In the case of FCPS, the suggestion that they may revisit boundaries every five years just adds to the uncertainty. In a county like Loudoun, where the schools are generally similar to one another and there are frequent boundary changes as new schools are built, the uncertainty may not have as big as effect, even if some would really like to attend Stone Bridge, Briar Woods, Independence, etc. but in the case of Fairfax, the differences among schools are more pronounced, so the uncertainty can be expected to have a bigger impact. |
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Doesn't FCPS's action now to do a comprehensive adjustment make it so that FCPS is more similar to Loudoun? In the sense that, as has been claimed, LCPS schools are generally similar and so boundary changes don't cause so much hassle there when they come about.
If FCPS moves to that model of generally similar schools, that should be viewed as a positive for all Fairfax residents, especially prospective residents who would have many options instead of only the top 5 FCPS schools being acceptable. |
Buyers and sellers have access to most of the same information, but buyers don’t know they need to look for it. It’s such a ridiculous proposition that a school board would make these crazy changes that it isn’t on most families’ radars. That’s the asymmetry |
Gosh, really betting the farm on a home and a prayer. |
That’s a misreading of both what people want and what FCPS can accomplish. Loudoun may be like Fairfax circa 1980 but Fairfax and Loudoun are quite different now. |
If that’s the case it would be easier for aggrieved sellers to unload their homes and you would be urging your neighbors to capitalize on it rather than complaining about it. |