Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
I have either had kids or close friends with kids graduating HS over the last six or so years and this year seems like a departure from the last three years as HS '21 was a departure from HS '20 and preceding years. Am hearing about "last year Cornell took 5 and the year before 4 but this year 1" or the MI example above with a lot more frequency. It always seems tough when it is your kid's year, but from my POV, looking at it over this span, this feels like another inflection point.
Exactly what we're seeing in our circle - our school is a small private prep and out of 60ish kids and for many years we've sent at least one to every Ivy, and usually 1-3 to each of the Ivy +'s (Duke, Vandy, Stanford, MIT, UChicago, NU) and 3-5 to Michigan. Consistently for years... so far this year we only have one Ivy ED and one Ivy+. The rest just flat out rejections and everyone waiting on RD. It's definitely different at our school than prior cycles.
So what is going to happen to these kids?
Waitlists are going to be crazy this year.
My view - these schools have over-rotated on 1G/LI/URM in the early round with these kids sitting in many EA/ED offers and most waiting for RD (financial aid) so that it’s entirely possible to see some kids getting acceptances to all T15 or T20 schools. (Seeing it at our private). But they can only go to one school.
So they’ll visit the top choices in April, compare $$ offers, and accept. Meanwhile declining 14-19 spots, opening the door for WL movement.
Without effective algorithms and yield management, this could be a flurry of WL activity.
The other kids fight for a spot but realistically prob go OPS flagship or a T50 if they applied widely.