Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
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Anonymous
I know, polls LOLS and polls had Hillary beating Trump in these states, too, but on RCP today:
and yesterday, similar results in Michigan (and Georgia not looking so good for any blue wave)
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Anonymous
| If Georgia didn't have the most egregious voter suppression, it could be in play, alas. |
Anonymous
| Does anyone believe today’s FIX News polls for Nevada and South Carolina showing Steyer in double digits, in second in SC (ahead of both Sanders and Warren) and even with Warren at 12% in NV? I know he has been doing a ton of ad buys but I thought caucus goers in NV in particular were very organized around whoever Harry Reid supports. |
Anonymous
I wonder if it is somehow a stunt to get into the debates? I mean, he pays to get $1 donations, so why not do other manipulative tricks? |
Anonymous
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Iowa Monmouth Poll (1/9-1/12):
Biden 24% Sanders 18% Buttigieg 17% Warren 15% Klobuchar 8% Booker 4% Steyer 4% Yang 3% Gabbard 2% |
Anonymous
| Go Amy! |
Anonymous
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NBC 10 Boston/Franklin Pierce University/The Boston Herald just released poll results out of New Hampshire.
Biden: 26% Sanders: 22% Warren: 18% Buttigieg: 7% Bloomberg: 4% |
Anonymous
That is an excellent poll for Biden, wow. |
Anonymous
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MICHIGAN:
Joe Biden 50% Donald Trump 44% Bernie Sanders 50% Trump 45% Elizabeth Warren 48% Trump 45% Pete Buttigieg 47% Trump 43% Mike Bloomberg 49% Trump 42% https://amp.freep.com/amp/4469175002?__twitter_impression=true |
Anonymous
Add 10 to Trump on all polls. This is the same silent caucus who are going to vote for Trump come the election. |
Anonymous
He won Michigan by a hair last time. It was hardly a landslide. |
Anonymous
LOL where are there silent Trump supporters. I wish they were silent! |
Anonymous
And that's why they are silent because they are immediately med with insults rather than discussion like saying they should be silent. Go look at the polls 10 months prior to the last presidential election and tell me I'm wrong. Dems have a lot of work to do and are hanging their hopes on some kind of miracle home run related to impeachment. |
Anonymous
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Trump approval by 2016 vote (Economist/YouGov polls):
Clinton: 4% Other: 25% **Non-voters: 34%** Trump: 91% https://twitter.com/gelliottmorris/status/1217457074067689473?s=21 |
Anonymous
That doesn't look like enough for re-election. There are so many moving parts that this maybe isn't a terribly useful data point, but if he picks up 4% of the Clinton voters and loses 9% of his own voters, that means -- as between Republican and Democratic voters -- he's down 3 million additional votes. Assuming those votes go to the Democrat, that results in a 9 million vote gap -- which would mean (ignoring 3rd party votes) the Democrat has 53.5% of the vote and Trump has 46.5%. I know that the Electoral College selects the President, but at some point the consent of the governed becomes an issue. |