The GOP needs to change course and adopt a pro choice platform or they are toast. Doubt they can admit they were wrong. |
I think it's more of a matter of who won't turn out to vote in 2024 as opposed to who the people that do turn out vote for. There is no way in heck these two clowns dupe 155 million people into voting for them again. Let's say 130 million people vote for Trump and Biden in 2024. Of those 25 million that choose not to vote for Trump or Biden again in 2024, how many will be Trump 2020 voters and how many will be Biden 2020 voters. Who loses the most 2020 voters in 2024? That's the sad question. |
That is a pretty easy question. Biden will gain many pro choice voters that did not appreciate or understand that their basic rights would be destroyed by trump. They are motivated and will turn out to fight to protect their basic rights by voting for Biden. |
I don't think anyone that voted for Trump in 2020 has been dissuaded by anything that has transpired since. I believe that his numbers are his floor. And ceiling. The only question is how much Roe will motivate people on the other side to turn out. I can only tell you that my 70 something year old mother who voted for Biden is sitting this one out (yes, I'll be spending the next few months convincing her of the importance of her vote). I do believe that if I can get her to the polls, she will vote against Trump. |
The really sad thing is that it makes a difference where your mother lives. If she's in California or Idaho nobody cares. But if she's in Pennsylvania or Georgia then I want to help you get her out to vote. |
There are 10 to 20 million swing voters out there that voted for Trump or Biden in 2020 that will either not vote or will vote for a 3rd party in 2024. They are considered swing voters for a reason. A large portion of Trump voters from 2020 are locks vote for him again but he will lose some of those 10 to 20 million swing voters just as Biden will. These are two very unpopular candidates relative to the historical norm and this fact makes the usual election variables even less predictable. |
The abortion right voters that have been motivated to show up will make up for that apathy. |
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Amazing how all these posters keep ignoring polls after polls after polls.
Pretty clear Trump is likely to win. If the polls are still similar to today by end of August, Trump is going to be the next president. |
This may be true but it doesn't mean that Trump should be POTUS again. He is going up against an extraordinarily weak opponent and there are just enough idiots out there willing to vote for him to give him a good chance of winning. |
This thread is about actual elections, not polls. |
I feel like no one is talking about the fact that Biden's 2020 strategy was low-key to say the least. Trump attacked him from campaigning from his basement. And people were still sick enough of Trump to turn out and vote him out. Add abortion in the mix and I think Biden is in a good position. But it will be a close election. |
She's in Virginia, which should be safe territory. But I don't want it to end up being election night 2016 all over again, where calls weren't made early enough, and gave you a strong sense of which way the winds had shifted. |
| Wouldn’t it be better for the country if there was a grand bargain? Drop all charges against Trump in return for him withdrawing from the race. Biden could then withdraw as well since the only reason he’s running is to beat Trump. Americans could then choose between fresh candidates who we might actually want to vote for. |
Can I also have a unicorn? |
Nahhh. I don't like that deal. You democrats started this. Trump will end it with a vengeance. |