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I go back and forth but I truly think with all of the republican endorsements of Harris it is going to be her.
In 2016, many democrats I know couldn’t bring themselves to vote for Hillary and figured she was going to win anyway so didn’t vote for her. They’ve learned their lesson this time. And many others who voted Trump in 2016 are on record voting Harris this year. But I think we’re going to lose the house and senate. So nothing really is going to get done (though I really want Allred to beat Cruz!!!) |
God forbid DEI candidate Harris wins then hopefully the Republicans take both the Senate and the House and nothing gets done for at least two years. None of her socialist and tax happy proposals will see the light of day. I’m happy with that result. |
This is the Atlasintel poll: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20241029_US_AtlasInterl.pdf |
I am not as confident. Look at the battleground states. Even if Harris wins Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona, and Nevada she still loses. Trump has an easier path to 270. I am not at all sanguine about Harris winning. I think Democrats take the House. They need six seats - very doable. But they probably lose the senate. It's a terrible map this year. |
Interesting cross-tabs |
Okay, so you're a billionaire, good for you. The rest of us will vote for Harris. |
| I thought Harris had it in the bag until I heard her campaign cut advertising in NC. Bad sign if they are out of money. I wouldn’t be surprised if we find out about fiscal mismanagement after the election. |
Trump has a narrower path to 270. Are you assuming he’ll win PA? No way would I assume that, esp. after the PR insults. |
Narrator: They were not out of money, and they didn’t “cut advertising” in North Carolina. |
Why are they still begging for money after ground breaking fundraising? Doesn’t make sense to me with only 6 days to go. |
Me three |
| All campaigns continue to beg for money. It's gross and annoying but common. Also, Harris is sending tons of money to down ballot elections. That's where the money can come in handy |
What is a DEI candidate? |
This only polls until July. Not really super helpful. |
PP is trying to vice signal that the only worthy candidates in his eyes are White men. They honestly think a failed casino operator with dementia is “qualified” because he’s a he. |