Whoever is responsible for the bot who wrote this: it still needs tweaking. |
Its probably the homes in the $1-$2M range that will be most affected. The buyer pool is going to get squeezed, especially if rates stay where they are. And if sellers need to sell, they might take a 2020 era price (which may still be a tidy profit depending on when they bought). |
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I was thinking about this type of scenario too. |
Very few people will want to move to DC to commute into a job that may or may not even exist. |
You’ll probably still need to have a job to get a mortgage, but with all the regulatory agencies getting cut maybe lenders will give anyone a mortgage and we can just repeat the 2008 financial crisis in 2030. |
People talking about getting a house for cheap are missing the point. Who tf cares if you can get a house when this Buffon is clearly going to crash the economy? Between deepseek and tariffs the stock market is going to be in the toilet. Unemployment is already higher than anticipated. Eggs are $20. Interest rates are high. But yes you can finally afford that house in McLean… |
This will be accompanied by a recession and stock market crash which will be a reflective of the reduction in house pricing. So housing pricing will be reduced but so will salaries and stock market portfolios. If you can’t afford a house now why would you be able to afford it with a 20% reduction in your salary? Many people will be under water on their house. Trump wants to do away with FDIC. |
Inventory is starting to increase in areas where I am looking. Kind of surprised that some appealing and fairly priced houses did not go under contract during their first week on the market. |
It's too early to tell. We know their long term goal. Their goal is to shrink the number of federal jobs. Yes, they will ultimately have some success. How much success that's anyone's guess?
However, if they mange to cut say 200,000 federal jobs over the next 4 years, I think we can see home impact on the housing market in the DMV. I just hope our fellow citizens who are fed workers survive this inhuman assault on their livelihood. They have done nothing wrong. |
How long ago did you leave? My DC grew up in the DMV and is now in college in a city in "flyover country." He spent last summer back living in Capitol Hill and came away deeply unimpressed with the city. The city he is in is booming and a much better place to be young. DC was drab and boring in comparison. Maybe RTO to office will help, but DC is still not the same place it was before COVID. |
What city is he in? |
Not surprised. This happened in most downtowns. |
Some people here think DC job market will be entirely gone because everything outside of essential businesses and services/luxuries is government related and our new government will be non-existent. In addition, they believe there will be no private business moving here ever. The plan is to empty the entire metro area of 6 mil people or turn it into what some on X is hope: rural Mississippi, Detroit, or Baltimore (local's choice).
I think people are panicking and a lot of fed related employees/contractors thinking they were set for life are "shell shocked" right now. I totally understand, with so much uncertainty. But the above paragraph just shows the train of thought of those who think DC metro housing dump will be like no other. I am sure there will be enough people who will panic and are already contacting their RE agents. RE agents happy with the sudden interest in their profession are only happy to oblige and tell them how many other people are thinking about listing and that if they don't hurry they'd miss the train selling at the top and will have to lower the prices significantly to compete with the crazy surplus of listings. personally, I think there will definitely be more listings. Every time administration changes (especially when parties change) there is movement in-out of DC, it's a given. This year there will be more of it, but the entire metro area won't be for sale with nobody buying. There will be buyers too. Probably more movement and more money for the realtors who were struggling last few years. |
Fingers crossed. We keep getting outbid in this price range because we only have 20% down payment. |