2022 Senate Map

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Well, now apparently it's come out that Dr Oz tortured and killed puppies in some sick medical experiments

This is actually a much bigger deal than people realize. Conservatives and independents love dogs more than other people. In some ways, some of the most conservative people I know are pretty big into animal rights, adoption over breeding, strongly support no kill shelters, etc.

I think this will really reverberate.

MAGA >>>> tortured puppies.

[Anonymous]

[Anonymous]

New poll released today (9/12/22) shows that the Ohio race remains virtually tied with Tim Ryan (46.6%) leading J. D. Vance (45.6%) by a hairline margin with 6% undecided.

For a state that leans red and the independents lean red, this means that Ryan is doing very well. There are 12% of Republicans that are supporting Ryan, too.

https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/2022/09/12/j-d-vance-tim-ryan-virtually-tied-ohio-senate-poll/10358540002/

[Anonymous]

Newly registered women in Columbus will turn the election blue.

[Anonymous]

Nate Cohn has an article in today’s NYT saying that polls might be overestimating Democratic support in seemingly close races like NC, Georgia and Ohio.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Nate Cohn has an article in today’s NYT saying that polls might be overestimating Democratic support in seemingly close races like NC, Georgia and Ohio.

Nate Cohn seems to be the guy supplying plausible reasons for the GOP stealing various elections and he’s been that guy for a while.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Nate Cohn has an article in today’s NYT saying that polls might be overestimating Democratic support in seemingly close races like NC, Georgia and Ohio.

Of course we are. Haven’t we learned something from the last three elections? Polls are not accurate with MAGAS.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Nate Cohn has an article in today’s NYT saying that polls might be overestimating Democratic support in seemingly close races like NC, Georgia and Ohio.

He's right to worry.

[Anonymous]

See, here’s the thing. We count a Democratic vote as equal to a Republican one. A Dem dollar equals a GOP one. A Dem volunteer equals a GOP volunteer.

Incorrect. The GOP specializes in AMPLIFIED electoral resources.

A Dem volunteer knocks on someone’s door and asks them to vote.

A GOP volunteer joins our 45k-strong Electoral Security force. We go into Dem precincts and challenge each and every person we think there’s any question about, no matter how long it takes. Because our challenges lead others to bail on their civic duty, our challenge of one voter is amplified by whoever drops out of the line.

Dems go to a rally and cheer for their candidate, and they volunteer to drive others to the polls. The GOP partners with armed citizen groups, paramilitaries if you will. They encourage someone on how to vote, and their firearms emphasize their commitment. Some respond by voting GOP; other would-be Democrats bail out on volunteering and decide not to vote. So again, the GOP volunteers are electoral force multipliers.

That’s what’s being missed in these elections. You can cry about polling all you want, but you can’t measure how difficult it is for one party to vote vs another. It’s a lot easier to answer your phone than to vote, you’re not as likely a voter as people think. That’s why Dobbs is much ado about nothing and why our side’s wave will shock the MSM and all their lib pals.

[Anonymous]

That’s why Dobbs is much ado about nothing and why our side’s wave will shock the MSM and all their lib pals.

Bookmarking this. See you in two months.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:See, here’s the thing. We count a Democratic vote as equal to a Republican one. A Dem dollar equals a GOP one. A Dem volunteer equals a GOP volunteer.

Incorrect. The GOP specializes in AMPLIFIED electoral resources.

A Dem volunteer knocks on someone’s door and asks them to vote.

A GOP volunteer joins our 45k-strong Electoral Security force. We go into Dem precincts and challenge each and every person we think there’s any question about, no matter how long it takes. Because our challenges lead others to bail on their civic duty, our challenge of one voter is amplified by whoever drops out of the line.

Dems go to a rally and cheer for their candidate, and they volunteer to drive others to the polls. The GOP partners with armed citizen groups, paramilitaries if you will. They encourage someone on how to vote, and their firearms emphasize their commitment. Some respond by voting GOP; other would-be Democrats bail out on volunteering and decide not to vote. So again, the GOP volunteers are electoral force multipliers.

That’s what’s being missed in these elections. You can cry about polling all you want, but you can’t measure how difficult it is for one party to vote vs another. It’s a lot easier to answer your phone than to vote, you’re not as likely a voter as people think. That’s why Dobbs is much ado about nothing and why our side’s wave will shock the MSM and all their lib pals.

This will not age well.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Nate Cohn has an article in today’s NYT saying that polls might be overestimating Democratic support in seemingly close races like NC, Georgia and Ohio.

Nate Cohn seems to be the guy supplying plausible reasons for the GOP stealing various elections and he’s been that guy for a while.

My Lord you people just hate it when a journalist has the audacity to point out facts.
Instead of considering what he says, you bash him.

[Anonymous]

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

I feel like if any D has a chance in Ohio it's Ryan, and if any R has a chance to lose in Ohio it's Vance - and yet I also worry that these are among the mirage polls. I don't want to count on winning Ohio.

I am starting to get a little worried about Georgia, too. Walker doesn't seem to be doing as badly in the polls as you would think, given the things he says and does, and how good Warnock is. Though there it seems like Warnock should win - I'd expect a lot of Kemp/Warnock voters, actually.

[Anonymous]