I think it will be akin to a miracle if we through this with real and meaningful law-imposed consequences for Trump and not a civil war. I think somehow he'll get away with it. And if he doesn't, I think shit will get worse in other ways.
Buckle-up. |
I agree with the first part of your sentence, but not the second. 1. I do not think Trump will ever see the inside of a jail cell. The Archives and the DOJ have *already* bent over backwards to afford special privileges to this person, on account that he's a former President. Even if he's not President in 2024 and the jury is not hung, they will not dare send him to jail. Much will be made of his political stature, his age, his health, etc, and somehow he'll wiggle out of it. 2. But I don't believe there will be a civil war or any protest resembling Jan 6 - word on right-wing networks is that the government is out to get them, and since the Proud Boys and Oath Breakers have been guillotined, and people have been found guilty of Sedition, they're all pretty terrified of retribution right now. What could happen is lone wolf acts of terrorism on FBI offices or courts, which is why Willis has asked staff to work from home in August. So... it will be more boring than we think. Which might be a good thing, long-term? |
You're right that he won't go to the same jail that regular people go to when they violate the espionage act which is solitary confinement in max security. Trump will end up at one of these white collar federal "prison" farms where his friends can come visit whenever and his secret service detail can lounge around with him. |
Get a grip. Trump is playing fast and loose with the highest level national security information. Trump doesn’t have executive privilege. What delusional world do you live in? |
With the caveat that I didn't think DOJ would have the guts to indict him so maybe don't bank on my predictions, but - if he is convicted - and that's a big if, I think he gets house arrest. Which is fine, really, because he doesn't like to go anywhere. But I think this ends in a hung jury if it ever gets to a jury. I actually think this judge is going to dismiss the case, or parts of it. Not because I think it's a weak case, but because she will defer to Trump in all things. I also think he gets a different lawyer for trial - a big time criminal defense attorney just for trial. |
But that judge. He always finds a way to wriggle out of consequences! |
Folks, it’s pretty clear that he wanted to be indicted, as it was the best advertisement for his newest grievance-based campaign for re-election. He wants this in order to turn his rabid base against the institutions of this country. The guy is an anarchist on the payroll of foreign adversaries. |
Biden agreed to provide Congress with records pertaining to Jan 6. Trump tried to assert communication privilege under the Presidential records act to keep those records from reaching Congress. Biden overruled him. Courts agreed based on a decision from Nixon's post presidency. Biden also decided not to provide Trump with daily briefings due to his erratic behavior leading up to Jan 6. None of that has anything to do with what Trump has been indicted for. As for the DOJ you can read all about it here: https://www.documentcloud.org/documents/22186883-archivist-letter-on-trump-documents 1. Thru 2021 NARA was asking Trump about what appeared to be missing documents 2. January 2022 Trump gives NARA 15 boxes which turn out to include top secret and other classified materials 3. NARA tells DOJ there were classified records in the boxes returned by Trump 4. DOJ wants to review those records, but has to ask the current President for permission to review them 5. White House counsel formally transmitted that request to the NARA with no objections 6. Trump's lawyers wanted to review the material themselves 7. White House Counsel allowed a 4 week extension for FI to review the records 8. Corcoran wanted more time (past April 29, 2022) 9. The Counsel to the President has informed me (acting archivist) that, in light of the particular circumstances presented here, President Biden defers to my determination, in consultation with the Assistant Attorney General for the Office of Legal Counsel, regarding whether or not I should uphold the former President’s purported “protective assertion of executive privilege.”See36 C.F.R. § 1270.44(f)(3). Accordingly, I have consulted with the Assistant Attorney General for the Office of Legal Counsel to inform my “determination as to whether to honor the former President’s claim of privilege or instead to disclose the Presidential records notwithstanding the claim of privilege.” Exec. Order No. 13,489, § 4(a). 10. Based on a denial of Nixon post presidency exec privilege claims decided in the courts at that time, the DOJ rejected Trump's privilege claims. 11. Archivist further explains that a request like Trump's has never been made before but they can refer his lawyers fr help getting security clearances if they also want to review the docs. Basically, Biden (legally and properly) decided Trump was too much of a loose cannon to trust with NEW security information, and for the rest of it he stood aside and let the NARA and DOJ and White House Counsel do their job. Trump's only legal standing once he was no longer president (he wasn't, in case you forgot), was to be nice, trustworthy, and say please, none of which he knows how to do. |
I think that he will be convicted because I believe the trial will bring out treasonous behavior on his part and even MAGA morons can understand this. Trump makes money from everything he can and he surely sold some of the information in the classified documents Also, he didn't just shoot himself in the foot at his diatribe on Tuesday evening, he gave himself a mortal wound. He essentially admitted that he knew all the documents were classified. I hope he keeps on ranting. (His newest enemies are the "mutants", whoever they are!) Trump will skip the country before trial goes to a verdict. He is a coward snivelling. |
Tom Fitton has performed a great service to the nation in stupidly advising Trump to commit blatant conspiracy and obstruction of Justice instead of taking his lawyers advice to negotiate a deal to return the documents. Trump will always take bad advice from an incompetent fraud over good advice from a knowledgeable expert. |
read the indictment, there are cites to statutes for every single count
source? the house promised to investigate everything, surely they found something and issued a report?
Trump's DoJ had 4 years. All they got was an independent counsel who charged two people and lost both cases in humiliating fashion |