DP. I would be interested in what you have to say about close play outdoors unmasked. There are sooooo many PPs on this site going on at length about how anyone who masks outside is an idiot. It has always seemed to me that it could be a good idea if you will be in close proximity for a period of time, including the playground, as opposed to just being near people only in passing. Thoughts? |
PP here. There are several known cases of outdoor transmission, even outbreaks, with the new variants. Definitely if you’re in someone’s face talking for more than a few minutes it would be possible to transmit a significant amount of virus — and what makes the variants more contagious is that much less virus is needed to get sick. Some cases of viral transmission with the new variants involve being indoors and masked for two minutes... just think about that. What I think about in these scenarios is also the relation between viral load and severity of infection. Being masked just makes it that much more likely that your immune system will be able to get a leg up on any infection. The situation with long haul COVID is poorly understood, but it’s possible it has something to do with immune response not taking care of the virus before it latches on to all the different receptors in various organ systems — hence causing lingering, multi-system inflammation. |
There are other studies out there but here’s one that discusses masks/ viral load: https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.12.03.20243063v1.full |
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The reason there are conflicting opinions is that these are risk assessment decisions. We all make many every single day. The consequences vary and the level of impact they have to you is usually the guide.
So the reality is you make the call. That’s the end of it. |
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OP, you're not a terrible mom, and you're also not alone in exaggerating the risks of COVID vs. other risks to your child specifically. Moving forward, take your daughter to the playground, please. If *she* wears a mask, even if other kids don't, the risk to her is extremely low. Risks to children are low anyway, but especially outside.
Moving forward, pay attention to biases and how you think about mental health. Social isolation to the degree you describe isn't healthy, especially for children, and it's also not necessary given the very low risks COVID poses to children. I've been following Emily Oster's framework for thinking about COVID risk, which takes into account risk in context. Too many people are considering only absolute risk and ignoring the risks they take daily for other things, and minimizing risks to mental health (kids are resilient!!!!!). I understand that COVID is novel and scary, but we've known for a long time that kids are less impacted *and* that being outdoors is reasonably safe, particularly when masked. |
Thanks, PP! |
There's still a lot the medical community doesn't know and understand about Covid. It will take a few more years to reach a good level of vaccination taking new variants into account, and discover and market effective and reliable treatments. In the meantime, we have to accept that true normalcy isn't around the corner. Some of us can sit this out and homeschool and play Rip Van Winkle masked up in pods and rejoin the world fully when we're more or less 100% safe; most of us can't because let's face it, living this way is abnormal, and our kids need true socialization and the opportunity to develop life skills. |
If your school had multiple "dangerous" outbreaks, why on earth didn't you pull them?? OP, exhibit A of why you've been doing the right thing. Don't go crazy and throw all caution to the wind, but do enroll your kid in some outdoor masked camps for the summer to get them some socialization! And if you have a parents or neighborhood listserv, maybe post something about how you'd like to pod up with another cautious family. I know of families who did that. |
It's hard OP, it really is. I have a couple friends who have confided pretty similar feelings of damned if I do / damned if I don't. The longer this goes on, the harder it is to rip the bandaid. I think part of the reason we feel fairly confident in our decisions is because 100% isolating was never really an option for us. DH has worked in person this entire time. We have two young kids that we could have kept in daycare because he is an essential worker, but we managed to keep them at home until last July. But I just couldn't manage trying to work and care for a 1yo and 4yo indefinitely. So back to daycare they went and it's been fine, knock on wood. And because they were with kids all day at daycare, playing on the neighborhood playground just didn't seem like a big deal either. Having those outlets made it easier to refrain from other activities, we still aren't really gathering inside with anyone except our vaccinated parents. |
OMG please not Emily Oster... she is not respected among economists, let alone public health folks. Her early work had some serious issues with data and she was a spousal hire at Brown who later went on to write popular books on the mommy wars. She has no business weighing in on COVID. |
Do you have any real world data that shows masks effectively mitigate spread outdoors? Not looking for models...the models aren’t really translating to the real world. I am not finding they make a difference outdoors even with contact sports. https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2021.02.18.21251986v1 Would love to see your data on this. |
No evidence that school closures helped at all. In fact, closing schools put elderly caregivers at risk. In Wisconsin, when positivity rate was 40%, open schools did not contribute to spread. Study after study has shown kids (and teachers) actually contract Covid outside of school in most cases. https://mobile.reuters.com/article/amp/idUSKBN29V2CD And for what it’s worth, kids did not mask outside at recess when they were with their cohort. |
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OP here you go! You are not alone in not knowing when to stop precautions.
“ olicy makers’ decisions about how to fight the pandemic are fraught because they have such an impact on people’s lives. But personal decisions during the coronavirus crisis are fraught because they seem symbolic of people’s broader value systems. When vaccinated adults refuse to see friends indoors, they’re working through the trauma of the past year, in which the brokenness of America’s medical system was so evident. When they keep their kids out of playgrounds and urge friends to stay distanced at small outdoor picnics, they are continuing the spirit of the past year, when civic duty has been expressed through lonely asceticism. For many people, this kind of behavior is a form of good citizenship. That’s a hard idea to give up.” https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2021/05/liberals-covid-19-science-denial-lockdown/618780/ |
| No, I don't feel "guilty." Both dh and I have preexisting conditions that could possibly result in us having long Covid or be hospitalized for a time. Not worth risking that for a couple years of socialization in person. The kids wouldn't be better off if we were even more disabled than we already are. |
DP. I don’t know if they’re a joke but if your kids were in in person school I don’t think you can be sanctimonious about how low risk you were. |