Education is the key in Montgomery County. Youngkin hit on a nerve and rode the wave to victory in VA by hammering the Education and schools aspect. Wolfe and the MC Board of Education have put into effect an "equity" initiative to bus kids to schools further away from their homes to obtain racial balance at schools. 90% of parents in Montgomery County are against this (they want their kids to go to the closest schools to their homes. Three board seats are up for vote, but three seats may also empty and Wolfe can pick the replacements to help support her agenda. Wolfe probably will not only control the board, but will control the board well beyond 2024. Hammer the boundary redraw and SRO's in schools with working parents, teacher fatigue and unhappiness with the union / MCEA in bed with Wolfe and failing to represent their interests - and the Democrats are vulnerable. Avoid covid and removing masking though. It looks like variants are still a wildcard (ex. omicron) so could backfire by election time. |
At the time I wrote, I didn't realize Schulz had the endorsement. Steele waited too long. |
Messing around with people's homes. See Thrive 2050. It's going to piss a lot of people off. Red wave will come. Maybe not at the national level for electing a President, but at the local level we may see a lot more power transfer to more conservative pols that will lead to a better balance of power. |
I'd be shocked if this happened in MoCo. As long as the Rs are moderates, I would vote for them. But not the current crop of crazy Rs. Someone like Greene or Boebert would not win here. |
It makes sense if you consider Blair the R in this scenario. A registered R will not win in MoCo. But a moderate D will act as a balance to the far left that is Elrich At the state level, I expect to see Schultz as our next Gov. I believe MD will elect another moderate R |
But the thing is Elrich is not the extremist in this issue. Elrich is a moderate on housing, he doesn’t want to eliminate single family zoning and has a more measured approach to development (but contrary to popular belief he isn’t actually against all development) Riemer in this case is the extremist. I will vote against anyone who holds the woke YIMBY but actually YIYBY (yes in your backyard) position. |
Yes, that is true. Elrich is not the most extreme on the house listing. I was posting about Blair playing the role of a R in the upcoming primary more in response the general OP question about how a red wave would reach MD. But I agree with you. Elrich is much more 'status quo' when it comes to house. And that's probably because he lives in TP and wants to keep his charming street charming, and his property value high. So of course, his progressive values go out the window once it would personally impact him. But outside this one issue, it's safe to say he's been on the far left of the political spectrum, even for MoCo. Blair is as close to a R that can win as we can get |
The funny thing is that Elrich actually has some conservative policy positions mixed in with the socialist ones. Its the nut jobs on the council that are extremists and the problem with Elrich that he has shown an inability and/or unwillingness to demonstrate leadership reign them in like Leggett did. |
+1 - Moderate Democrat |
The new map sucks but if Republicans don’t like gerrymandering they should have voted for HR1. Not unilaterally disarming here as long as states like Ohio, Texas, and Florida get sliced up the way the GOP wants. Virginia finally had a trifecta, let a commission do it, and now Spanberger’s out of a job. |
+2 |
Riding on aunt Flo. |
+1 |