Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
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Anonymous
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Brutal.
I guess the base is eroding. |
Anonymous
| Were we this focused on individual state polling in 2016? |
Anonymous
Not as much and look what happened. Hence more attention being paid now. |
Anonymous
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NBC/WSJ has Biden 51 - Trump 40
42% of voters approve of Trump, 56% disapprove |
Anonymous
I don’t think so. More like hardening up. Like candy boiled too long, that stuff is way past hard crack. I don’t say this in Donnie’s defense; his base will be with him till they’re charred on the bottom of the pot. Still it’s nice to see some of the support softening. |
Anonymous
People also liked the models: 538's projection that Clinton had a 90%+ chance of winning. Disregard those. Sometimes things that have a 1 in 10 chance DO happen. |
Anonymous
He gave Trump a 30%-ish chance on Election Day, fwiw. I do expect polls will start to tighten in the weeks leading up to the election. |
Anonymous
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Thursday, 2pm Eastern.
Put it all together, and Biden currently1 leads Trump by an average of 9.1 percentage points, according to the FiveThirtyEight national polling average, which isn’t all that different from Biden’s lead one week ago (9.6 points) or even one month ago (9.3 points). https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/yes-biden-has-a-big-lead-but-its-probably-not-15-points/ |
Anonymous
