Actually, this ignorant type is the majority. Most smarter people are getting the vaccines, much like the yearly flu vaccine, and masking in crowded places or when there is a surge. The people I know who want to pretend everything is "normal"...well, they are getting Covid right about now.. |
I mean, what’s your theory here? While in the past wastewater has been tracking other measurements of infection—in magnitude as well as existence—somewhere along the way the link broke and now wastewater doesn’t do that anymore? You think people with COVID are shedding more of it now per person and somehow driving the wastewater numbers up? Do tell. |
It's pretty hard to respect a public health agency that gives teachers' unions veto power over their recommendations. |
So there’s something dramatically different about participating municipal sewer systems that makes their numbers be up, but perhaps people on septic or in nonparticipating municipal systems are actually experiencing dramatically lower numbers and it averages out? That’s the theory here? You do understand that wastewater measurements are not opted into on a household basis, right? Y’all crazy |
No, the data shows that wastewater data is correlated with other indicators of case rates. But correlation does not suggest a direct, linear relationship. That is, there isn't data showing that a doubling of wastewater measurements implied a doubling of case rates. There are too many other factors that influence the measurements. If you bothered to read the caveats around the wastewater data, you would know this. |
How many lives? You're "fine" with how many lives? |
Citation(s), please |
+1 It's magical covid in the wastewater. It doesn't count. There's no surge here. ![]() |
Case rates at this point aren't reported/monitored the way wastewater is. The sh*t's there, the test results may not be. At this point, the đź’© is the better indicator; even hospitalizations lag. |
Well, about 52,000 people died of the flu during the 2017-2018 season without most people batting an eye, so that gives us a lower bound on what's broadly considered acceptable. And small changes in risk generally don't have a significant impact on behavior or perception of risk, so I wouldn't expect views to start to change until an order of magnitude increase (10x) in deaths above that number. |
Regardless, you're making a claim that the researchers are not. In fact, you're making a claim that the researchers explicitly caution against. You cannot infer or estimate overall case numbers from wastewater data-- you can only infer localized trends. Things like water temperature and flow rates have a significant affect on wastewater measurements. |
The shots don’t stop Covid. My parent died last fall and had the most recent shot. I mask, rarely go indoors anywhere except doctors appointments and don’t travel. Most of my shopping is online. I am as careful as you can get. If it does not stop transmission, then it’s not very helpful. Covid was far easier when I go it over the side effects for months from the shot. You want others to take the shot to justify your unwillingness to take any precautions even when sick. Masking, handwashing, staying home when sick is far more important. How does my taking the shot help me and my family? If I get sick for month's from the shot like I did before and cannot cook, clean, work, drive, are you willing to step in and help? No, of course not. |
DP, but I’d actually like to know what your personal measure is for “fine.” Is it zero deaths? Is it eradicating COVID? Do you track any other viruses (like flu, norovirus, RSV) as closely as you seem to monitor COVID levels and did you have this same level of concern about communicable diseases prior to 2020? Also I’ll add my anecdote to this mix for every person talking about how their extreme measures are working: we are a family of 5 and despite no longer masking or even taking meaningful measures to avoid it, we have 1 family member who has still never tested positive. And the 2 times we know someone in the house was positive, only 3/5 and then 2/5 of us ended up catching it at a time. My kids do all sorts of indoor activities all winter, play dates, travel, etc. so I’m sure they’re exposed a ton and this virus has barely registered as a blip in our lives. I think some people are massively overestimating how much their precautions are working and don’t appreciate that the majority of us not bothering with all those precautions are also not catching it or becoming symptomatic. At this point I’d feel more guilty generating a bunch of medical trash from N95s and test swabs than I do just living my life like it’s 2019. |
Okay and … ? Has the world stopped turning? Are they dropping dead left and right? Have you considered that some of us don’t think it’s some huge deal to catch COVID? And I guarantee the people living life as normal are event testing so they probably don’t even know they have it if they do. |
*aren’t even |