JKLM schools: how many kids usually leave between 4/5th?

[Anonymous]

I feel like there is quite an exodus at our Deal feeder this year. Wondering if this is the case elsewhere? Is it normal? Or is this a Covid reaction?

[Anonymous]

we did!

[Anonymous]

Where to? We think Deal will be fine but not Wilson, so we might try to leave at 5th for Latin.

[Anonymous]

Usually 1 or 2, but might be different in the time of Covid.

[Anonymous]

We chose Basis over Deal

[Anonymous]

Key and Mann as K and one M - but Hardy feeders - have been getting down to around 40 kids by 5th, this year with COVID and this years cohort key will be more like 30 - Stoddert stays closer to 50-60, Eaton around 70 and Hyde is typically 30ish for 5th — as a report for the other Hardy feeders.

[Anonymous]

We are definitely leaving. Building a house in MD. 5th grade was hell and I'm not about to repeat in at Deal.

[Anonymous]

Past year statistics for the dropoff between 4th and 5th grades:

https://dcps.dc.gov/node/1018342

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:We are definitely leaving. Building a house in MD. 5th grade was hell and I'm not about to repeat in at Deal.

Do you have friends in the schools you'll be attending? I know several families who got buyer's remorse leaving DC for MD because they were disappointed in the schools.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Key and Mann as K and one M - but Hardy feeders - have been getting down to around 40 kids by 5th, this year with COVID and this years cohort key will be more like 30 - Stoddert stays closer to 50-60, Eaton around 70 and Hyde is typically 30ish for 5th — as a report for the other Hardy feeders.

I heard that Mann would have three fifth grades this year, so I doubt they are looking at just 30 students.

[Anonymous]

virtually none

[Anonymous]

Almost none at jammed. Maybe 1 to Latin and 1 to Basis.

[Anonymous]

Janney that is.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Almost none at jammed. Maybe 1 to Latin and 1 to Basis.

If you look at the enrollment data year over year, you will see that typically the Janney class starts to decline by a few after 3rd grade.
The drop from 4th to 5th is 5-6 students a year. These are a combination of going to privates, charters, family moves.

class size 105 for 4th became 99 for 5th
class size 119 for 4th became 113 for 5th

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Almost none at jammed. Maybe 1 to Latin and 1 to Basis.

If you look at the enrollment data year over year, you will see that typically the Janney class starts to decline by a few after 3rd grade.
The drop from 4th to 5th is 5-6 students a year. These are a combination of going to privates, charters, family moves.

class size 105 for 4th became 99 for 5th
class size 119 for 4th became 113 for 5th

It just seems like it’s impossible to draw any real conclusions from this.

First, if you assume they are all returning students then 94% return. That seems good to me but you also don’t know how that compares to other schools.

But second, and much bigger issue, you have no idea what the waterfall looks like. It’s also possible 50 students left and 50 entirely new students moved in. Unlikely, but absent that info it’s impossible to conclude how many students left.

Third, you don’t know the reason for leaving or how it’s distributed. DC is transient and people leave the state frequently for posts to other countries etc. It may be that it has a higher propensity for this than the average in other states.

Basically you don’t have anywhere near enough info to draw any conclusion at all here.