Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
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Anonymous
It Biden gets FL he probably only needs one more of these. |
Anonymous
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It seems like Michigan and Arizona might already be close to done as well. And, Texas, Missouri and even Utah are in the margin of error.
It is possible Trump could win. It is also possible Trump could face the largest electoral defeat since Mondale. |
Anonymous
None of those margins are big enough. I want bigger margins. |
Anonymous
| NYT reports that in six swing states, 2016 Trump voters who won’t support him this year represent 2% of registered voters. Considering the tiny margins last time, the voters who have died, and the voters that have come of age, that would be more than enough. |
Anonymous
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Monmouth poll:
MARCH 2020: 39% right direction 54% wrong track JULY 2020: 18% right direction 74% wrong track |
Anonymous
Agree. And where is Ohio? Ohio has always picked the winner. |
Anonymous
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/ohio/ Biden by a hair |
Anonymous
They said 2% in one place, but 6% in a few others, including the infographic. 6% seems like more than enough given the margins last time. https://www.nytimes.com/2020/07/01/upshot/poll-trump-defectors-2020-election.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share |
Anonymous
Biden doesn’t need Ohio. |
Anonymous
An electoral college win is not enough, this need to be a complete rebuke and referendum. |
Anonymous
| It’s a long way to November. Don’t get complacent! |
Anonymous
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Analysis: Republican internal polling signals a Democratic rout CNN
Democratic and liberal aligned groups have put out 17 House polls taken in April or later. Republican aligned groups have put out 0. That's a very bad ratio for Republicans. |