2020 Senate Map

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Likely to flip: Alabama, Arizona and Colorado
Toss-ups: North Carolina, Maine, Iowa, Georgia and Montana
Could flip in the right conditions: Michigan, Georgia Special, Texas, South Carolina, Kentucky and Alaska
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2020/08/07/most-competitive-senate-races-2020/#click=https://t.co/YJFHwGalmt

I call BS on Maine and NC. Gideon and Cunningham are looking pretty good.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/senate/maine/ https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/senate/north-carolina/

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Likely to flip: Alabama, Arizona and Colorado
Toss-ups: North Carolina, Maine, Iowa, Georgia and Montana
Could flip in the right conditions: Michigan, Georgia Special, Texas, South Carolina, Kentucky and Alaska
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2020/08/07/most-competitive-senate-races-2020/#click=https://t.co/YJFHwGalmt

I think the likely are accurate, for a Dem +1 there.
I see the toss ups being an additional +3 for the dems.
I could see SC and AK flipping in the third category but the rest seem fairly safe.

IMO, dems take the senate with 4 newly elected.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Hmmmm find the missing states...

Maine, Colorado and South Carolina

I'm figuring Gardner is getting thrown to the wolves.

SC - if they're having to defend here, the Senate is lost. Look for increased "maverickiness" from Graham in October if he's getting desperate and Trump's shown as still down 10. Unless of course he's still worried about what Trump might have on him.

ME - I guess they like what their internal polls are showing, although Gideon's hitting the upper 40s a fair bit.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Hmmmm find the missing states...

Maine, Colorado and South Carolina

I'm figuring Gardner is getting thrown to the wolves.

SC - if they're having to defend here, the Senate is lost. Look for increased "maverickiness" from Graham in October if he's getting desperate and Trump's shown as still down 10. Unless of course he's still worried about what Trump might have on him.

ME - I guess they like what their internal polls are showing, although Gideon's hitting the upper 40s a fair bit.

Trump will give him permission to act the part of a maverick.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Hmmmm find the missing states...

Maine, Colorado and South Carolina

I'm figuring Gardner is getting thrown to the wolves.

SC - if they're having to defend here, the Senate is lost. Look for increased "maverickiness" from Graham in October if he's getting desperate and Trump's shown as still down 10. Unless of course he's still worried about what Trump might have on him.

ME - I guess they like what their internal polls are showing, although Gideon's hitting the upper 40s a fair bit.

Trump will give him permission to act the part of a maverick.

It's South Carolina, he needs to hug Trump tightly. If he gets every vote Trump gets, he wins. It's no votes or split tickets that could take Graham out. He needs a Come to Jesus moment with the Right and repent for his sins and hope they hold their noses and vote for him. There are plenty of people who do not like him. Just the other week he was criticizing Trump's suspension of some guest worker visa programs for the rest of 2020. Call that being a maverick or a corporate shill, but there are many who do not like that.

His luck is this is a highly polarized Presidential year and probably few Trump / Republican leaning voters will want to give up the seat when both sides are viewing this election as an existential fight for America. But if there is a chance for the Democrats to pull off a shock Senate upset, this is it.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Hmmmm find the missing states...

Maine, Colorado and South Carolina

I'm figuring Gardner is getting thrown to the wolves.

SC - if they're having to defend here, the Senate is lost. Look for increased "maverickiness" from Graham in October if he's getting desperate and Trump's shown as still down 10. Unless of course he's still worried about what Trump might have on him.

ME - I guess they like what their internal polls are showing, although Gideon's hitting the upper 40s a fair bit.

Trump will give him permission to act the part of a maverick.

It's South Carolina, he needs to hug Trump tightly. If he gets every vote Trump gets, he wins. It's no votes or split tickets that could take Graham out. He needs a Come to Jesus moment with the Right and repent for his sins and hope they hold their noses and vote for him. There are plenty of people who do not like him. Just the other week he was criticizing Trump's suspension of some guest worker visa programs for the rest of 2020. Call that being a maverick or a corporate shill, but there are many who do not like that.

His luck is this is a highly polarized Presidential year and probably few Trump / Republican leaning voters will want to give up the seat when both sides are viewing this election as an existential fight for America. But if there is a chance for the Democrats to pull off a shock Senate upset, this is it.

Graham's problem is that he switched overnight from strongly anti-Trump to butt kisser. This protected him from being primaried, but I think a lotnof conservative voters don't trust the extremeness of his switch and don't give him much credit for it.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Hmmmm find the missing states...

Maine, Colorado and South Carolina

I'm figuring Gardner is getting thrown to the wolves.

SC - if they're having to defend here, the Senate is lost. Look for increased "maverickiness" from Graham in October if he's getting desperate and Trump's shown as still down 10. Unless of course he's still worried about what Trump might have on him.

ME - I guess they like what their internal polls are showing, although Gideon's hitting the upper 40s a fair bit.

Trump will give him permission to act the part of a maverick.

It's South Carolina, he needs to hug Trump tightly. If he gets every vote Trump gets, he wins. It's no votes or split tickets that could take Graham out. He needs a Come to Jesus moment with the Right and repent for his sins and hope they hold their noses and vote for him. There are plenty of people who do not like him. Just the other week he was criticizing Trump's suspension of some guest worker visa programs for the rest of 2020. Call that being a maverick or a corporate shill, but there are many who do not like that.

His luck is this is a highly polarized Presidential year and probably few Trump / Republican leaning voters will want to give up the seat when both sides are viewing this election as an existential fight for America. But if there is a chance for the Democrats to pull off a shock Senate upset, this is it.

Graham's problem is that he switched overnight from strongly anti-Trump to butt kisser. This protected him from being primaried, but I think a lotnof conservative voters don't trust the extremeness of his switch and don't give him much credit for it.

He is annoying and arrogant. It is funny that I don't think he realized he was in trouble to just now. I am middle of the road and who would like to see the Republicans hold their own in Congress. But I would still take some satisfaction in seeing Graham go down.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

He is annoying and arrogant. It is funny that I don't think he realized he was in trouble to just now. I am middle of the road and who would like to see the Republicans hold their own in Congress. But I would still take some satisfaction in seeing Graham go down.

It's off topic, but why? Other than tax cuts and judges, the GOP on the Hill have done nothing in the last 10 years.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Kobach lost! Feeling the same as when Steve King lost - he made that seat more flippable, but better that he’s gone.

Wow, Marshall is such a cypher that he plagiarized his platform from Kelly Loeffler.
https://amp.kansascity.com/news/politics-government/article244855362.html?__twitter_impression=true

[Anonymous]

https://www.politico.com/news/2020/08/11/republicans-senate-fight-393332

Senate Republicans have been forced into a defensive crouch as they head into the final weeks of their campaign to protect their endangered majority.

The party is plowing some $100 million — nearly all of its Senate war chest — into reelecting eight senators in tough races. The few GOP candidates with a shot at picking off a Democratic seat have been left to fend for themselves, with no significant air cover from the national party for now.

The GOP is still confident it will win back Jeff Sessions’ old seat in Alabama that Democrat Doug Jones won in 2017 a special election — and they’re spending to do so. But that’s the only offensive target where Republicans are currently engaged: The party, for instance, has no outside money invested in Michigan between now and Election Day despite Trump carrying the state in 2016 and the GOP touting its candidate, veteran and businessman John James.

[Anonymous]

James is not going to win in MI. Typical tax cuts for billionaires, global warming is not caused by human actions type. Yawn.

In ME, cannot believe anybody with a brain would vote for Collins.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:James is not going to win in MI. Typical tax cuts for billionaires, global warming is not caused by human actions type. Yawn.

In ME, cannot believe anybody with a brain would vote for Collins.

+1 James is running further behind Peters than he was behind Stabenow. So the Rs have a chance to flip one Senate seat. In Alabama.

[Anonymous]

He’s hoping Harris on the Biden ticket pushes the NC, SC and GA seats over the finish line.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:He’s hoping Harris on the Biden ticket pushes the NC, SC and GA seats over the finish line.

All three of those states are suffering mightily from CoVID. Harris or not Harris, people aren’t looking as kindly at Trump and the GOP as they did in the past.

[Anonymous]