Ukrainian victory over Russia is inevitable

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Is it any wonder people don't want to fight for a national like this?

It's well known that the Russian Orthodox Church in Ukraine is on the Kremlin's FSB payroll. If they aren't eating, that's Putin's problem.

They share the same religion.
Zelensky is punishing Christians as Pay back because he’s Jewish

Steve, close this this thread. It reads like it’s full of propaganda.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Is it any wonder people don't want to fight for a national like this?

It's well known that the Russian Orthodox Church in Ukraine is on the Kremlin's FSB payroll. If they aren't eating, that's Putin's problem.

They share the same religion.
Zelensky is punishing Christians as Pay back because he’s Jewish

Steve, close this this thread. It reads like it’s full of propaganda.

Starting with the title of this thread.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Is it any wonder people don't want to fight for a national like this?

It's well known that the Russian Orthodox Church in Ukraine is on the Kremlin's FSB payroll. If they aren't eating, that's Putin's problem.

They share the same religion.
Zelensky is punishing Christians as Pay back because he’s Jewish

Steve, close this this thread. It reads like it’s full of propaganda.

Oh now it should close because the J word was mentioned ? Why is Zelensky starving Christian monks and closing down Russian orthodox churches in Ukraine? He has double loyalties to and should make Aliyah to Israel and leave europe alone and fight in the idf . Instead that clown (literal former comedian) is fighting along with Neo Nazis (Azov batallion). His Jewish ancestors would be ashamed.

Zelensky is truly awful. Putin was right that his Jewish friends told him that Zelensky is a shame to Jews everywhere. In my eyes, it makes sense that America is supporting him. We tend to have a great picker for losers

[Anonymous]

Anybody who needs a laugh should read how the loser was bummed about 10/7 and even said US shouldn’t lose focus on the Ukraine . Lol he didn’t even want the worst tragedy to Jewish people to overshadow his money and fame train

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Anybody who needs a laugh should read how the loser was bummed about 10/7 and even said US shouldn’t lose focus on the Ukraine . Lol he didn’t even want the worst tragedy to Jewish people to overshadow his money and fame train

His country is in a war, being invaded, you bot.

Now give me a strawberry cade recipe.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Anybody who needs a laugh should read how the loser was bummed about 10/7 and even said US shouldn’t lose focus on the Ukraine . Lol he didn’t even want the worst tragedy to Jewish people to overshadow his money and fame train

His country is in a war, being invaded, you bot.

Now give me a strawberry cade recipe.

Not a bot but typical response. Keep supporting the loser. It’s typical of our usual: we supported losers in Afghanistan as well giving them billions and the day the US was supposed to leave, the government panicked and fled town leaning the country to the Taliban once again. Yikes.

This was the brave Afghan coalition/army we spent trillions on instead of using the money over here so Americans have single payer or free college and childcare, or 21st century infrastructure with bridges that don’t completely break and collapse after a ship bumps into it.

Zelensky is scamming us for money. The war won’t ever be over. He will always need “more”. NATO and many of our Euro allies have gotten frustrated with both Zelensky and Joe Biden. Now that Joe is a lame duck, you will hear more vocal complaints from NATO colleagues about it. It’s already beginning to happen.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Anybody who needs a laugh should read how the loser was bummed about 10/7 and even said US shouldn’t lose focus on the Ukraine . Lol he didn’t even want the worst tragedy to Jewish people to overshadow his money and fame train

His country is in a war, being invaded, you bot.

Now give me a strawberry cade recipe.

His country is in a war thanks to this country. Maybe you forget the part where Putin tried to join NATO himself in the past and we rejected that offer. It makes sense that we work as partners like Trump said. Russia and the U.S. were allies during WW1 and 2, and Russia joining an all white/Anglo European army (because that’s what North Atlantic Trade Org really means) makes more sense than Turkey joining it. I wonder why Israel hasn’t joined NATO but is always pushing for war.

Nonetheless, we refused to let Putin in and had the nerve to want Ukraine in NATO essentially putting missiles in Russias backyard. That’s a huge threat. That’s like Russia sending missiles pointing toward Alaska or California. We would never allow that on our borders so why should they get bullied by the US? This doesn’t make one a “bot” or a “Russian tool” to say this. It makes you propogandized and a tool for being such a war hawk and susceptible to American war propaganda. We’ve seen this movie before many many times, recently in Iraq, Syria, and Afghanistan. Our “good guys” and “heroes” weren’t such good guys and the people do not like Zelensky or the other former CIA assets/ tools we’ve placed in power in Afghanistan and Iraq.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:When will the victory be “inevitable”? This thread started a year and a half ago.

I swear I’ve heard Ukraine is “closing in on Russia any day now” for the entirety of the war.

I’m not trying to be funny here either but don’t you think it’s your side that’s propagandized? Zelensky will never “close in” on the war because he needs more and more money. It’s never going to get “close”.

Similarly, Assad isn’t going away any time soon. The US derailed that train long ago when it funded ISIS and Nusra and other rebel groups that were even fighting each other. The CIA and Pentagon were at one point funding two different “rebel groups” that were sparring with each other and became distracted from fighting Assad. That was the civil war in Syria: proxy war by superpowers and their satellite groups, it was never the Syrian people fighting each other. At this point, they have low confidence rightfully so in any alternative to Assad proposed by the US so Assad will stay.

The proxy war has left Syria for Sudan these days with Russian and American proxies fighting each other.

That's nice about Syria. Good luck with that. Moving on now..

Hmm. No. No one is closing in on anyone. The big opportunity that Ukraine missed was destroying the Kersch bridge this past October, but they have another shot at it three months from now. That will choke the Russian supply lines sufficiently to make a military difference. But again, Ukraine should not do a big assault, they should just keep attritting the enemy like they're doing now. Let Russia take a village or two. Let them extend themselves further and further inland. Let them spend the extra gas to resupply as you pick off their trucks, one-by-one. Let them think they're making progress so they keep providing lucrative targets to attack. Keep grinding on artillery, aircraft, supply points, command posts, armored vehicles, tanks. Zelensky doesn't have to do squat except hold out. It's Russia who's on the shorter fuse. Putin is the one who must show results and that Russia isn't impotent. He must prove Russia can win, even though NATO hasn't even fired a single shot yet. He must force Russian youth into the meat grinder to show 'progress'. However, this is also the path for Ukrainian victory.

Your comments are silly. Go back about 200 pages and read the analysis done. This is no longer a war of military conquest - it's a war of logistics and willpower.

For me, at least, I think I've also been exceptionally consistent on timing. Go back and read the thread when I predicted 18 months from 1 Jan 24. I'm the one who correctly predicted Prigozhin and was off by 5 months on Shoigu. I also wrote the thread about how Biden would lose due to the Democrat's Imperial Hubris a year'ish ago and a month'ish before his poll numbers dropped. Nailed that one too, baby.

And you? I haven't seen much of a prediction out of you (or anyone else on this thread for that matter). You don't understand what's going on, but it's okay. You don't have to. Just watch what happens in about 11 months from now. When you can't explain why Russia lost, just remember that some anonymous blog predicted it.

[Anonymous]

This is extra funny because the whole justification for the Maidan coup was that Yanukovych didn't keep his campaign promises:

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:A big "oof" from the Guardian this AM:
https://www.theguardian.com/world/article/2024/jul/24/i-know-we-will-win-and-how-ukraines-top-general-on-turning-the-tables-against-russia
"Two and half years into Vladimir Putin’s full-scale onslaught, he acknowledges the Russians are much better resourced. They have more of everything: tanks, infantry fighting vehicles, soldiers. Their original 100,000-strong invasion force has grown to 520,000, he said, with a goal by the end of 2024 of 690,000 men"

“When it comes to equipment, there is a ratio of 1:2 or 1:3 in their favour,” he said. Since 2022 the number of Russian tanks has “doubled” – from 1,700 to 3,500. Artillery systems have tripled, and armoured personnel carriers gone up from 4,500 to 8,900. “The enemy has a significant advantage in force and resources,” Syrskyi said.

And yet somehow he has to defend the official narrative:
Russia’s successes, meanwhile, came at a staggering human cost. The Kremlin’s casualties were “three times” higher than Ukraine’s, and “even more” in certain directions, Syrskyi said. “Their number of killed is much bigger,” he emphasised. In February Volodymyr Zelenskiy said 31,000 Ukrainian service personnel had died since 2022. Could Syrskyi update this figure? He declined, saying losses were “sensitive” and a topic Moscow could exploit.

Officially Ukraine claims to have killed almost 600,000 Russians and destroyed 8,000+ tanks.

I wonder when will the geniuses in Washington figure out Russias tanks they’re expanding are our tanks . Our military aid is getting sold anyway by Ukrainian mafia to Russia lol.

What a joke we are

[Anonymous]

Wonder why this isn’t talked about in the news. This administration is so foolish

https://www.forbes.com/sites/tylerroush/2024/01/11/over-1-billion-in-ukraine-military-aid-was-poorly-tracked-creating-concerns-over-risk-of-theft-pentagon-says/

U.S. and European government officials have poorly tracked military aid for Ukraine worth more than $1 billion, creating concerns the weapons have been stolen, according to a Defense Department report released Thursday, amid contested efforts by American lawmakers to provide additional funding for Ukraine’s war against Russia.

[Anonymous]

Maybe we should get out of the war business if our enemies can steal still our weapons. We don’t even know these people. Anybody could be enemies. All our “training” and “military aid” tax Money gone out the window. Taxpayers and all concerned citizens here should be furious.

Just over $1 billion of the estimated $1.69 billion worth of weapons sent to Ukraine are considered “delinquent,” which was likely caused by “an inability to maintain complete accountability” of the inventory in government databases, according to a redacted report by the Defense Department’s inspector general Thursday.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Maybe we should get out of the war business if our enemies can steal still our weapons. We don’t even know these people. Anybody could be enemies. All our “training” and “military aid” tax Money gone out the window. Taxpayers and all concerned citizens here should be furious.

Just over $1 billion of the estimated $1.69 billion worth of weapons sent to Ukraine are considered “delinquent,” which was likely caused by “an inability to maintain complete accountability” of the inventory in government databases, according to a redacted report by the Defense Department’s inspector general Thursday.

Wow. You really are totally clueless. Lemme guess, a Republican Senator?

It's the other way around, hun. Had the U.S. gone into battle with the doctrine the U.S. military had at the beginning of the Ukrainian War, we would've lost a lot of lives and equipment. The Ukrainians are teaching us what technology and tactics to develop to defeat Russia. So by that standard, the American public should be furious that clowns like you aren't thanking the Ukrainians. And where the weapons go is a military SECRET. The good news is that in about 11 more months it will be crystal clear that the billion you're whining about will be the best money ever spent by the Pentagon.

"Russia's central bank hiked its key interest rate by 200 basis points to 18% on Friday, the highest level in more than two years, and vowed to continue tightening until inflation rates in an overheated economy come down. The bank also raised its inflation forecast for 2024 to 6.5–7.0%, well above its 4% target. It sees annual price growth declining to 4.0–4.5% in 2025."
"The Bank of Russia will consider the necessity of further key rate increase at its upcoming meetings."
https://www.reuters.com/markets/rates-bonds/russian-central-bank-hikes-rates-by-200-bps-18-highest-more-than-two-years-2024-07-26/

"Interest Rate in the United States .. reaching an all time high of 20.00 percent in March of 1980"
https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/interest-rate#:~:text=The%20benchmark%20interest%20rate%20in,percent%20in%20December%20of%202008.

In all of US History, interest rates of 20% occurred only four times between March 1980 and May 1981. All four times the rate was at 20% for only about a month each time. The longest period in US History that the US had interest rates above 15% was about a year (between Nov '80 to Nov '81). The peak US inflation rate in 80-81 was in March 1980 at 14.8%.

But this is the strange part. Russia has already been at 16% since December 15th 2023 (7 months), but Publicly claims to have a lower inflation rate.

"Russia's annual inflation rate remains high, at around 9.2%"
https://www.businessinsider.com/russia-economy-business-elites-criticize-central-bank-interest-rate-hike-2024-7

Why would Russia punish itself with unnecessarily high interest rates, and consider raising them even further, if Russia's inflation rate is only 9.2%?

Then it struck me. Although the Kremlin just ended subsidies for housing, they are still subsidizing other commodities.

"Russia Ends Housing Mortgage Subsidy That Stoked a Property Boom. Subsidized loans at 8% were half the central bank’s key rate. Program accounted for more than 75% of new mortgages recently"
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-07-01/russia-ends-housing-mortgage-subsidy-that-stoked-a-property-boom

"The government paid out some 187 billion rubles to companies for domestic supplies of diesel and gasoline"
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-05-06/russia-s-budget-is-getting-twice-as-much-oil-money-as-a-year-ago?embedded-checkout=true

"The Russian government will subsidize the transportation of pollock and salmon by rail from the country’s Far East with the intention of lowering retail prices"
"Transporting the estimated 100,000 metric tons (MT) of pollock and salmon from the country's east to its population centers in the west may cost as much as RUB 400 million (USD 5.4 million, EUR 4.6 million) in subsidies, according to the Federal Agency for Fisheries. In return for that subsidy, the agency said it expects retail prices to decrease 10 percent compared to their current levels"
https://www.seafoodsource.com/news/supply-trade/russia-subsidizing-fish-transportation-in-hopes-of-lowering-prices

Chart shows a drop from 377B in 2024 to 301B Russian Roubles in 2025
https://www.statista.com/statistics/1064082/russia-agricultural-subsidies/

Why are subsidies important when calculating inflation rates?

"Generally, inflation is termed hyperinflation when the rate of inflation grows at more than 50% a month."
https://corporatefinanceinstitute.com/resources/economics/hyperinflation/#:~:text=In%20economics%2C%20hyperinflation%20is%20used,more%20than%2050%25%20a%20month.

Also on this week's episode of Putin's shrinking island..

"Seven top military figures have now been arrested on charges of fraud, bribery or abuse of office in recent months, including Deputy Defense Minister Timur Ivanov who was arrested for bribery in April and later dismissed from his position. Bulgakov’s arrest is the second this week after Andrei Belkov, the head of the Defense Ministry’s construction division, was arrested on suspicion of abuse of power on Thursday."
https://www.yahoo.com/news/russia-detains-former-deputy-defense-132457933.html

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Wonder why this isn’t talked about in the news. This administration is so foolish

https://www.forbes.com/sites/tylerroush/2024/01/11/over-1-billion-in-ukraine-military-aid-was-poorly-tracked-creating-concerns-over-risk-of-theft-pentagon-says/

U.S. and European government officials have poorly tracked military aid for Ukraine worth more than $1 billion, creating concerns the weapons have been stolen, according to a Defense Department report released Thursday, amid contested efforts by American lawmakers to provide additional funding for Ukraine’s war against Russia.

Yes the Ukraine is so desperate for weapons at the front because they are stolen and sold to whom? Seriously republicans just stop.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Maybe we should get out of the war business if our enemies can steal still our weapons. We don’t even know these people. Anybody could be enemies. All our “training” and “military aid” tax Money gone out the window. Taxpayers and all concerned citizens here should be furious.

Just over $1 billion of the estimated $1.69 billion worth of weapons sent to Ukraine are considered “delinquent,” which was likely caused by “an inability to maintain complete accountability” of the inventory in government databases, according to a redacted report by the Defense Department’s inspector general Thursday.

Wow. You really are totally clueless. Lemme guess, a Republican Senator?

It's the other way around, hun. Had the U.S. gone into battle with the doctrine the U.S. military had at the beginning of the Ukrainian War, we would've lost a lot of lives and equipment. The Ukrainians are teaching us what technology and tactics to develop to defeat Russia. So by that standard, the American public should be furious that clowns like you aren't thanking the Ukrainians. And where the weapons go is a military SECRET. The good news is that in about 11 more months it will be crystal clear that the billion you're whining about will be the best money ever spent by the Pentagon.

"Russia's central bank hiked its key interest rate by 200 basis points to 18% on Friday, the highest level in more than two years, and vowed to continue tightening until inflation rates in an overheated economy come down. The bank also raised its inflation forecast for 2024 to 6.5–7.0%, well above its 4% target. It sees annual price growth declining to 4.0–4.5% in 2025."
"The Bank of Russia will consider the necessity of further key rate increase at its upcoming meetings."
https://www.reuters.com/markets/rates-bonds/russian-central-bank-hikes-rates-by-200-bps-18-highest-more-than-two-years-2024-07-26/

"Interest Rate in the United States .. reaching an all time high of 20.00 percent in March of 1980"
https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/interest-rate#:~:text=The%20benchmark%20interest%20rate%20in,percent%20in%20December%20of%202008.

In all of US History, interest rates of 20% occurred only four times between March 1980 and May 1981. All four times the rate was at 20% for only about a month each time. The longest period in US History that the US had interest rates above 15% was about a year (between Nov '80 to Nov '81). The peak US inflation rate in 80-81 was in March 1980 at 14.8%.

But this is the strange part. Russia has already been at 16% since December 15th 2023 (7 months), but Publicly claims to have a lower inflation rate.

"Russia's annual inflation rate remains high, at around 9.2%"
https://www.businessinsider.com/russia-economy-business-elites-criticize-central-bank-interest-rate-hike-2024-7

Why would Russia punish itself with unnecessarily high interest rates, and consider raising them even further, if Russia's inflation rate is only 9.2%?

Then it struck me. Although the Kremlin just ended subsidies for housing, they are still subsidizing other commodities.

"Russia Ends Housing Mortgage Subsidy That Stoked a Property Boom. Subsidized loans at 8% were half the central bank’s key rate. Program accounted for more than 75% of new mortgages recently"
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-07-01/russia-ends-housing-mortgage-subsidy-that-stoked-a-property-boom

"The government paid out some 187 billion rubles to companies for domestic supplies of diesel and gasoline"
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-05-06/russia-s-budget-is-getting-twice-as-much-oil-money-as-a-year-ago?embedded-checkout=true

"The Russian government will subsidize the transportation of pollock and salmon by rail from the country’s Far East with the intention of lowering retail prices"
"Transporting the estimated 100,000 metric tons (MT) of pollock and salmon from the country's east to its population centers in the west may cost as much as RUB 400 million (USD 5.4 million, EUR 4.6 million) in subsidies, according to the Federal Agency for Fisheries. In return for that subsidy, the agency said it expects retail prices to decrease 10 percent compared to their current levels"
https://www.seafoodsource.com/news/supply-trade/russia-subsidizing-fish-transportation-in-hopes-of-lowering-prices

Chart shows a drop from 377B in 2024 to 301B Russian Roubles in 2025
https://www.statista.com/statistics/1064082/russia-agricultural-subsidies/

Why are subsidies important when calculating inflation rates?

"Generally, inflation is termed hyperinflation when the rate of inflation grows at more than 50% a month."
https://corporatefinanceinstitute.com/resources/economics/hyperinflation/#:~:text=In%20economics%2C%20hyperinflation%20is%20used,more%20than%2050%25%20a%20month.

Also on this week's episode of Putin's shrinking island..

"Seven top military figures have now been arrested on charges of fraud, bribery or abuse of office in recent months, including Deputy Defense Minister Timur Ivanov who was arrested for bribery in April and later dismissed from his position. Bulgakov’s arrest is the second this week after Andrei Belkov, the head of the Defense Ministry’s construction division, was arrested on suspicion of abuse of power on Thursday."
https://www.yahoo.com/news/russia-detains-former-deputy-defense-132457933.html

For just a miniscule fraction of our DoD budget we have done massive damage to Russia's military and economy.