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I guess the whole faux rape rage on Kavanaugh has actually hurt the Democrats chances
https://www.npr.org/2018/10/03/654015874/poll-amid-kavanaugh-confirmation-battle-democratic-enthusiasm-edge-evaporates |
| I'm not sure it's appropriate to say that Democrats' overall chances of winning the house or senate have disappeared based on this poll. We can see that Democratic men and Republican women have been energized, as well as Independents, a bit. |
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who could have guessed that defending an unqualified accused sexual predator would energize republicans. whoever could have guessed.
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Their standards are usually so much higher! |
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it's too early to count chickens
wait until November things moving way too fast lately |
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Meh. Did you actually look at the polling?
Do you think the November elections are important? July vs Now. The needle didn’t move for independents. It increased for both R and DS. But more for Rs, because they started lower. The question is what happens when this shitshow is over? If K is rammed through, and Trump does six more terrible things before the election, D enthusiasm/ outrage numbers stay high and Rs do not. If K is not confirmed, it probably translates to more R votes. But again, this is today’s news cycle. Anyone remember what we were worked up about 4 weeks ago? (The Anon NYT Trump Admin OP-ed). Lot of time for strong feelings about this nomination to fade before November. |
| Trumps mimicking of Dr. Ford last night did not help Republicans. He gets in front of "his people" and he can't help himself. He starts it, they lap it up, and he just keeps going. |
| I'm going to wait for November polls before making up my mind on anything. The wind changes so incredibly quickly these days. |
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I highly doubt it, plus we must not sacrifice our ethics and morals for political gain. |
It's interesting that the biggest jump in enthusiasm came from male Democrats. This is precisely demographic that I would have expected to be the least enthusiastic about the current political climate. But now they are the most enthusiastic group. What changed between July and October that caused male Democrats to suddenly get hot and bothered, moreso than any other group. |
| It is almost certain that the Democrats will take the House. If they don't, it will be an astonishing upset. The GOP will probably hold the Senate. |
You have a sense of humor!
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| We'll see what happens in a month. If Dems don't come out and don't retake the House, then they get what they deserve. I'll be in the ballot booth. |
| LOL democrats shot themselves in the foot with this nonsense. |
Only a Repo would say that doing the right thing is “shooting themselves in the foot.” |