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May 24, 2024: Another Massive Revision, This Time Durable Goods, What’s Going On
The Commerce Department revised March durable goods orders from +2.6 percent to +0.8 percent. Now it reports a 0.7 percent gain vs an expectation of -0.5 percent. May 23, 2024: New Home Sales Sink 4.7 Percent on Top of Huge Negative Revisions New Home Sales plunged. And the Census Department completely revised away last month’s fictional 8.8 percent rise. May 22, 2024: Discretionary Spending Tumbles at Target, Shares Drop 10 Percent Target CEO Brian Cornell said the results show “continued soft trends in discretionary categories.” [The key word above is continued.] May 22, 2024: Existing-Home Sales Decline 1.9 Percent, Sales Mostly Stagnant for 17 Months Existing-home sales fell 1.9 percent in April and are also down 1.9 percent from a year ago. Sales have not gone anywhere for 17 months. |
Demand can be stronger than supply availability even in times when money creation isn't as robust as it was in 2020 and 2021. |
Home sales are down because the interest rates are high. The president does not control interest rates. Target (and other retailers) sales are down. They all announced a reduction in prices. Poof goes the "inflation" |
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The US economy grew more slowly than initially thought during the first quarter.
The Bureau of Economic Analysis's second estimate of first quarter US gross domestic product (GDP) showed the economy grew at an annualized pace of 1.3% during the period, down from a first reading in April of 1.6% growth and in line with economist estimates. The update to the first quarter growth metric "primarily reflected a downward revision to consumer spending," per the BEA. Personal consumption in the first quarter grew at 2%, down from a prior reading of 2.5%. The reading came in significantly lower than fourth quarter GDP, which was revised up to 3.4%. This is good for getting the Fed to lower interest rates. |
The term 'higher for longer' is now 'higher indefinitely'. Not good for the sitting President |
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Rut Ruh...
Pending Home Sales -7.7, Expected -1.0%, Below lowest estimate! |
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No propaganda. $1 of government spending does not increase the GDP by $1. |
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Here is your gas inflation ^^^ Here is your goods inflation: https://www.cnn.com/2024/05/29/business/walgreens-price-cuts-retailer-inflation/index.html IOW, they jacked up prices during COVID and never reduced them, reaping in the profits and hurting consumers. Consumers started staying home, so here we are. |
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There is nothing more important to the stability of a society than the combination of sound monetary and fiscal policy.
Right now monetary policy is helping return us to sanity, but fiscal policy is still out of control insane. |