There is no perfect time to buy, and even if there was a perfect time to buy, you’d never predict it. If you can afford it now and plan to live in it for 5-10 years, just do it. You can refi if rates come down, and a house can always be improved, so marry the location not the house. |
I think that higher rates will choke off supply pretty well, keeping prices high. Who is going sell a house with a mortgage locked in at 3.5% to buy another house at 7-8%? Demand might just decrease less than supply. |
People can only delay moving for so long, so the supply will come back. Demand will not with rates above 7%. |
Most people can actually stay exactly where they are, and not move. Funny how when forced to, people learn to live with and make do with what they already have. |
All of my moves have been necessary due to job. |
You don't represent most people, this I can assure you. |
so what is everyone who recently purchased or refinanced getting for mortgage rates? |
Current rates are not a secret, top story in economic news these days. 7%+, but of course there will be those outliers who have private banking privileges which gives them access to lower rates, or those who buy down their rate with points. |
10yr bond yield is surging. 8% incoming |
I've kept an eye open for homes for a long time. The housing prices have never gone down in the DMV. Where is this magical land where housing prices decrease? |
SF |
You are correct...RE prices in dmv never decrease over the long term but they can be "stagnant" which can last years...used to be a 7-year cycle when prices were "stagnant" which to me always represented buying opportunities. During such times, the buyer could negotiate quite a bit, purchasing the home lower than asking price, closing costs concessions, inspections, etc, etc. This is why the present time does not represent a buying opportunity - the buyers position is flipped 360deg. |
The only people who are moving are because they absolutely have to. Divorce, job relocation. Or they can pay with cash.
Although if someone can upgrade with cash, they’ll probably hang on to whatever house they have and rent it out. If you have a 3% mortgage like we do, I would never move. For starters, I could never buy my house at the same price I paid in 2019. Even if my house was the same price -which it wouldn’t be, my mortgage would increase by 33%. To find a similar house with slight upgrade I would double my mortgage payment Sadly, our salaries haven’t doubled since 2019. |
But people will only be selling if they inherit a property and want to unload it or in the case of divorce or a job transfer…I doubt we’ll see people trading up much. |
And for weekend fun you can go on the doom loop walking tour. |