How do you determine safety/ targets for your kid?

Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:CollegeVine has been accurate this year for my DD.


Has your kid gotten into any schools where it indicates they have a 20 to 30% chance of getting in?


I’d like to know this too

Agree. What does it mean to say that CollegeVine was accurate? If chances were 60% and the applicant was admitted, does that mean it was correct? What if chances were 50% and the applicant was not admitted? Was CollegeVine wrong in that case?


💯
My kid got into all of the collegevine schools with over “50% chance” = safeties….

I’m wondering about the RD decisions coming (all sub 30% and many sub 20%)….
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:CollegeVine has been accurate this year for my DD.


Has your kid gotten into any schools where it indicates they have a 20 to 30% chance of getting in?


I’d like to know this too

Agree. What does it mean to say that CollegeVine was accurate? If chances were 60% and the applicant was admitted, does that mean it was correct? What if chances were 50% and the applicant was not admitted? Was CollegeVine wrong in that case?


💯
My kid got into all of the collegevine schools with over “50% chance” = safeties….

I’m wondering about the RD decisions coming (all sub 30% and many sub 20%)….


And deferred from super reach (7%) with many family (inc parents) legacies

Just wondering how exactly is college vine helpful?

Anonymous
collegevine admission chances were accurate for my student: in rolling and EA at all safeties (40% to 90% acceptance rates), in EA at 30% target (15% acceptance rate), in ED2 at 31% target that was marked a 25% reach for regular admission (13% acceptance rate), and denied at ED1 25% reach (8% acceptance rate)
Anonymous
Collegevine itself estimates chance of acceptance. These are not numbers plugged in from CDS. So if collegevine tells me these schools are reaches, and I only get into a few 20% chance as estimated by collegevine, then it worked for us.

A lot of this would make sense once you use the collegevine my profile page.
Anonymous
How does the college vine calculator group reach, high target, target and safety schools for a student? Is it a combination of accept rate and student stats? TY.

Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:CollegeVine has been accurate this year for my DD.


Has your kid gotten into any schools where it indicates they have a 20 to 30% chance of getting in?


I’d like to know this too

Agree. What does it mean to say that CollegeVine was accurate? If chances were 60% and the applicant was admitted, does that mean it was correct? What if chances were 50% and the applicant was not admitted? Was CollegeVine wrong in that case?

NP. I think CV was accurate for my kid too from HS class '23.

"Accurate" meaning:
Reaches: two rejections
Hard Target: two WL and an acceptance
Target and Safety: seven acceptances
Anonymous
Great info for this on the Harvard-Westlake thread on the Private/Independent Schools forum.
Anonymous
Great info for this on the Harvard-Westlake thread on the Private/Independent Schools forum.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:Great info for this on the Harvard-Westlake thread on the Private/Independent Schools forum.


Link?
Anonymous
Just go to the Private/Independent forum of DCUM. It is right there on the 1st page.
Anonymous
It looks like DCUM took the Harvard-Westlake thread down. It was too good. Basically showing in cold hard numbers how hard/impossible it is for unhooked kids not in top 20% of class at an uber prestigious private HS to get into a T25 college.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:It looks like DCUM took the Harvard-Westlake thread down. It was too good. Basically showing in cold hard numbers how hard/impossible it is for unhooked kids not in top 20% of class at an uber prestigious private HS to get into a T25 college.


Bummer. Can you search for it?
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:It looks like DCUM took the Harvard-Westlake thread down. It was too good. Basically showing in cold hard numbers how hard/impossible it is for unhooked kids not in top 20% of class at an uber prestigious private HS to get into a T25 college.


Bummer. Can you search for it?


Google it. It pops right up.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:It looks like DCUM took the Harvard-Westlake thread down. It was too good. Basically showing in cold hard numbers how hard/impossible it is for unhooked kids not in top 20% of class at an uber prestigious private HS to get into a T25 college.


Bummer. Can you search for it?


Google it. It pops right up.


From 2023??
Anonymous
2022. 2023. 2024.
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