2022 election results thread

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Overwhelming voters say that inflation and the economy is a major problems but choose to continue to select the Ds the same people. Something is off here and it will be fodder for election fraud conspiracies

Cry baby.

Not a cry baby, something is off either polling or something else. The news needs to look into how far off things are.

WTF are you talking about. Enough voters just don’t want these treasonous f**ks. It’s just that simple. Some do, but a lot don’t

Stop being traitors to your own country and you’ll win elections. It’s really that GD simple

MAGA snowflakes can't possibly imagine that people find them and their toadies repugnant.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:I have not seen Larry Sabato from UVA on any of the election coverage programs. Wondering what has happened to him, he is one of my favorite political commentators.

He was predicting a 50+ seat pick-up for the Rs, so he's probably hiding in a hole somewhere.

[Anonymous]

I really hope some pundit trots out carville and gets him to say :

it’s NOT the economy, stupid!

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:If Rs do take the House, their majority is going to be 10 or less, and it will be on the backs of reps who won in NY, CA and a handful of other blue states by margins of 1 or 2%. It will be very interesting to see how those reps try to differentiate themselves from the other 200 R reps who will be bringing the crazy.

If Republicans win the House is will be by a 1-3 vote margin and they may not even be able to elect a Speaker. No way they all support McCarthy after this. Scalise is probably calling right now to build support to challenge him. If they don’t get the majority, they are almost certain to dump McCarthy.

That would be wild. Wonder how it works if Rs split their votes for speaker and Ds vote as a block.

The Republican leadership battle would be fought out in the Republican caucus, not on the House floor, but I think Scalise would beat McCarthy if he challenged him. If Republicans get to 218 to 220, I don’t see them making McCarthy Speaker. All it would take is a rump group saying they won’t support McCarthy. Remember, a few Democrats threatened to oppose Pelosi last time but backed down after assurances, but also because there was no feasible alternative.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:If Rs do take the House, their majority is going to be 10 or less, and it will be on the backs of reps who won in NY, CA and a handful of other blue states by margins of 1 or 2%. It will be very interesting to see how those reps try to differentiate themselves from the other 200 R reps who will be bringing the crazy.

If Republicans win the House is will be by a 1-3 vote margin and they may not even be able to elect a Speaker. No way they all support McCarthy after this. Scalise is probably calling right now to build support to challenge him. If they don’t get the majority, they are almost certain to dump McCarthy.

That would be wild. Wonder how it works if Rs split their votes for speaker and Ds vote as a block.

The Republican leadership battle would be fought out in the Republican caucus, not on the House floor, but I think Scalise would beat McCarthy if he challenged him. If Republicans get to 218 to 220, I don’t see them making McCarthy Speaker. All it would take is a rump group saying they won’t support McCarthy. Remember, a few Democrats threatened to oppose Pelosi last time but backed down after assurances, but also because there was no feasible alternative.

Why would that rump group oppose McCarthy but support Scalise? They seem pretty similar to me, with Scalise being the more extreme.

[Anonymous]

GA race going to a run-off.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:If Rs do take the House, their majority is going to be 10 or less, and it will be on the backs of reps who won in NY, CA and a handful of other blue states by margins of 1 or 2%. It will be very interesting to see how those reps try to differentiate themselves from the other 200 R reps who will be bringing the crazy.

If Republicans win the House is will be by a 1-3 vote margin and they may not even be able to elect a Speaker. No way they all support McCarthy after this. Scalise is probably calling right now to build support to challenge him. If they don’t get the majority, they are almost certain to dump McCarthy.

That would be wild. Wonder how it works if Rs split their votes for speaker and Ds vote as a block.

The Republican leadership battle would be fought out in the Republican caucus, not on the House floor, but I think Scalise would beat McCarthy if he challenged him. If Republicans get to 218 to 220, I don’t see them making McCarthy Speaker. All it would take is a rump group saying they won’t support McCarthy. Remember, a few Democrats threatened to oppose Pelosi last time but backed down after assurances, but also because there was no feasible alternative.

Why would that rump group oppose McCarthy but support Scalise? They seem pretty similar to me, with Scalise being the more extreme.

The rump group would be hard asses who know that McCarthy is ineffective and unimpressive and Pelosi would continue to eat his lunch. Nobody has any confidence or trust in McCarthy.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Overwhelming voters say that inflation and the economy is a major problems but choose to continue to select the Ds the same people. Something is off here and it will be fodder for election fraud conspiracies

Cry baby.

Not a cry baby, something is off either polling or something else. The news needs to look into how far off things are.

Maybe they say inflation and economy are major problems and recognize it’s a world problem now so not caused by bidens policies as republicans have been screaming and believe Dems maybe have some strategies/ideas to tackle the problems. Maybe many people were concerned by the talks by the various Jim Jordans and mccartys in the past few weeks that republicans, instead of focusing on solving said important problems, would spend next two years putting up show hearings on TV on Hunter and the Big Guy in Congress a la Benghazi on steroids. Republicans response to the economy is always the same, gigantic tax cuts for the rich that are not sustainable, cutting regulations that protect the public and then hide the mess under the smoke screen or cultural wars, abortion in the past now immigration, our children brainwashed into changing their gender, white and Christians persecuted in the US and so on. Maybe people want their representative to work on improving economy

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:If Rs do take the House, their majority is going to be 10 or less, and it will be on the backs of reps who won in NY, CA and a handful of other blue states by margins of 1 or 2%. It will be very interesting to see how those reps try to differentiate themselves from the other 200 R reps who will be bringing the crazy.

If Republicans win the House is will be by a 1-3 vote margin and they may not even be able to elect a Speaker. No way they all support McCarthy after this. Scalise is probably calling right now to build support to challenge him. If they don’t get the majority, they are almost certain to dump McCarthy.

That would be wild. Wonder how it works if Rs split their votes for speaker and Ds vote as a block.

The Republican leadership battle would be fought out in the Republican caucus, not on the House floor, but I think Scalise would beat McCarthy if he challenged him. If Republicans get to 218 to 220, I don’t see them making McCarthy Speaker. All it would take is a rump group saying they won’t support McCarthy. Remember, a few Democrats threatened to oppose Pelosi last time but backed down after assurances, but also because there was no feasible alternative.

Why would that rump group oppose McCarthy but support Scalise? They seem pretty similar to me, with Scalise being the more extreme.

The rump group would be hard asses who know that McCarthy is ineffective and unimpressive and Pelosi would continue to eat his lunch. Nobody has any confidence or trust in McCarthy.

I see. Like a freedom caucus rump. I'm wondering if there is another rump of "red dogs" who just narrowly won in blue states. They may want to try to get concessions from McCarthy that he's not going to do nutty stuff like try to impeach Biden or try to use the debt ceiling as leverage.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Overwhelming voters say that inflation and the economy is a major problems but choose to continue to select the Ds the same people. Something is off here and it will be fodder for election fraud conspiracies

Cry baby.

Not a cry baby, something is off either polling or something else. The news needs to look into how far off things are.

The polls all made the same error. They adjusted for “likely voters” by assuming that white people over 40 would all vote and young people and minorities would not because that’s what happened in 1994 and 2010 midterm backlashes against Dem presidents. They ignored the motivation of young voters and women especially because of abortion and Trump fascists and other crazy Republicans. The polls oversampled whiny old white people.

They’re the only people that answer the phone calls 🤔

Here there was a semi-big attempt to unseat Gerry Connolly in NoVA. I say "semi-big" b/c there were TONS of signs, people with signs at intersections, etc. They were the oldest, whitest, angriest-looking people in Fairfax. Which is fine but does show the demographic that supported Myles, who lost.

I saw a lot of signs for Myles. But his platform was the regular Fairfax Republican platform - loony and extreme. This was the best guy? As the conservative pundits are saying today, the Republicans didn't have quality candidates. That's why they lost.

I’m in an area that was in Wexton’s district but now in Connolly’s. There were no signs for either candidate in our area.
I think a lot of us weren’t sure who our candidate was, LOL. There was hardly anyone at our polling station. It was very anti-climactic to go vote on just that one race that felt like a foregone conclusion. I wished I could have voted for Wexton again. I think the Fairfax GOP is loud but not big in numbers.

Lol the Fairfax County Republicans are really good at putting signs in medians. So many Myles signs, and so many Karina Lipsman signs in Alexandria. But there was no way either of them was going to win.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Overwhelming voters say that inflation and the economy is a major problems but choose to continue to select the Ds the same people. Something is off here and it will be fodder for election fraud conspiracies

Cry baby.

Not a cry baby, something is off either polling or something else. The news needs to look into how far off things are.

The polls all made the same error. They adjusted for “likely voters” by assuming that white people over 40 would all vote and young people and minorities would not because that’s what happened in 1994 and 2010 midterm backlashes against Dem presidents. They ignored the motivation of young voters and women especially because of abortion and Trump fascists and other crazy Republicans. The polls oversampled whiny old white people.

They’re the only people that answer the phone calls 🤔

Here there was a semi-big attempt to unseat Gerry Connolly in NoVA. I say "semi-big" b/c there were TONS of signs, people with signs at intersections, etc. They were the oldest, whitest, angriest-looking people in Fairfax. Which is fine but does show the demographic that supported Myles, who lost.

I saw a lot of signs for Myles. But his platform was the regular Fairfax Republican platform - loony and extreme. This was the best guy? As the conservative pundits are saying today, the Republicans didn't have quality candidates. That's why they lost.

I’m in an area that was in Wexton’s district but now in Connolly’s. There were no signs for either candidate in our area.
I think a lot of us weren’t sure who our candidate was, LOL. There was hardly anyone at our polling station. It was very anti-climactic to go vote on just that one race that felt like a foregone conclusion. I wished I could have voted for Wexton again. I think the Fairfax GOP is loud but not big in numbers.

Lol the Fairfax County Republicans are really good at putting signs in medians. So many Myles signs, and so many Karina Lipsman signs in Alexandria. But there was no way either of them was going to win.

Yep, this. Even the "unofficial" ones nailed into public places and trees ("Gerry Biden"). They were also in the intersection of FFX Blvd and 50 (same place as their pitiful stop the steal protests) last week. All 5 of them.

I do think the "no signs" of Connolly is a mistake going forward. He and Wexton and others who generally don't usually have competitive races cannot take it for granted.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Overwhelming voters say that inflation and the economy is a major problems but choose to continue to select the Ds the same people. Something is off here and it will be fodder for election fraud conspiracies

Cry baby.

Not a cry baby, something is off either polling or something else. The news needs to look into how far off things are.

The polls all made the same error. They adjusted for “likely voters” by assuming that white people over 40 would all vote and young people and minorities would not because that’s what happened in 1994 and 2010 midterm backlashes against Dem presidents. They ignored the motivation of young voters and women especially because of abortion and Trump fascists and other crazy Republicans. The polls oversampled whiny old white people.

They’re the only people that answer the phone calls 🤔

Here there was a semi-big attempt to unseat Gerry Connolly in NoVA. I say "semi-big" b/c there were TONS of signs, people with signs at intersections, etc. They were the oldest, whitest, angriest-looking people in Fairfax. Which is fine but does show the demographic that supported Myles, who lost.

I saw a lot of signs for Myles. But his platform was the regular Fairfax Republican platform - loony and extreme. This was the best guy? As the conservative pundits are saying today, the Republicans didn't have quality candidates. That's why they lost.

I’m in an area that was in Wexton’s district but now in Connolly’s. There were no signs for either candidate in our area.
I think a lot of us weren’t sure who our candidate was, LOL. There was hardly anyone at our polling station. It was very anti-climactic to go vote on just that one race that felt like a foregone conclusion. I wished I could have voted for Wexton again. I think the Fairfax GOP is loud but not big in numbers.

Lol the Fairfax County Republicans are really good at putting signs in medians. So many Myles signs, and so many Karina Lipsman signs in Alexandria. But there was no way either of them was going to win.

Yep, this. Even the "unofficial" ones nailed into public places and trees ("Gerry Biden"). They were also in the intersection of FFX Blvd and 50 (same place as their pitiful stop the steal protests) last week. All 5 of them.

I do think the "no signs" of Connolly is a mistake going forward. He and Wexton and others who generally don't usually have competitive races cannot take it for granted.

Gerry and Don Beyer are pretty safe bets, they’d have to retire and the Democrats would have to run a bad candidate vs. a good Republican to have a shot at a pickup there. But Wexton and Spanberger yes, those seats can be pretty competitive. The Democrats did a good job of hammering Yesli Vega as an anti-abortion extremist but they might not get that gift with the next candidate.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:I really hope some pundit trots out carville and gets him to say :

it’s NOT the economy, stupid!

Oh, it's still the economy. It's just that the economy hasn't actually been that bad.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:When will AZ and NV finish counting?

Given what’s outstanding and how game day votes are breaking, Lake will win.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:If Rs do take the House, their majority is going to be 10 or less, and it will be on the backs of reps who won in NY, CA and a handful of other blue states by margins of 1 or 2%. It will be very interesting to see how those reps try to differentiate themselves from the other 200 R reps who will be bringing the crazy.

If Republicans win the House is will be by a 1-3 vote margin and they may not even be able to elect a Speaker. No way they all support McCarthy after this. Scalise is probably calling right now to build support to challenge him. If they don’t get the majority, they are almost certain to dump McCarthy.

That would be wild. Wonder how it works if Rs split their votes for speaker and Ds vote as a block.

The Republican leadership battle would be fought out in the Republican caucus, not on the House floor, but I think Scalise would beat McCarthy if he challenged him. If Republicans get to 218 to 220, I don’t see them making McCarthy Speaker. All it would take is a rump group saying they won’t support McCarthy. Remember, a few Democrats threatened to oppose Pelosi last time but backed down after assurances, but also because there was no feasible alternative.

Why would that rump group oppose McCarthy but support Scalise? They seem pretty similar to me, with Scalise being the more extreme.

The rump group would be hard asses who know that McCarthy is ineffective and unimpressive and Pelosi would continue to eat his lunch. Nobody has any confidence or trust in McCarthy.

I see. Like a freedom caucus rump. I'm wondering if there is another rump of "red dogs" who just narrowly won in blue states. They may want to try to get concessions from McCarthy that he's not going to do nutty stuff like try to impeach Biden or try to use the debt ceiling as leverage.

Speaker is an impossible job with a small Republican majority because they have too many Members who would never vote for a compromise bill that could get 60 votes in the Senate and that Biden would sign, while other Republicans want to legislate and bargain to pass pork and patronage bills for their interest groups. These guys can’t pass a budget or regular appropriations or authorization bills. Pelosi and Biden know that McCarthy or any other Republican Speaker can’t deliver 218 votes for anything and will need Democratic votes for anything to pass. Pelosi knows how to play that hand.