When will it get bad?

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Predictions I've seen have been around the 20-30 day mark after school starts.

Our school started Monday, no cases reported Tuesday. 6 cases Wednesday, 12 cases Thursday, 18 cases Friday.

The R0 of Delta is no joke. Where previously it was spreading to 2 - 3 people per infected person, delta is up over 8 based on some studies. That grows FAST.

Which schools in FCPS started Monday, or are you not in Fairfax?

My DC who only has contact with FCPS friends got COVID last week. You can't time this. There will be a lot of cases, they just will be underreported because they are asymptomatic or very mild due to a lot of the kids being vaccinated. My DC's case was mild and we reported it--not everyone will do that. I have friends who view getting COVID as inevitable and won't keep their kids home for a mild case that can be disguised.

This is what scares me and shows how dumb people can be. Yes, for MOST kids this will be nothing. But for that chubby, out of shape kid with a family history of diabetes - perhaps not. That kid could have covid trigger diabetes. Or, that kid with the underlying health issue that you aren't aware of that sits next to your not so sick kid you sent in to school with tylenol -- well, might not be the greatest of outcomes. There might be one kid in each school that could potentially have a serious negative outcome from covid (statistically probably a LOT less) but why would you do that to someone else's kid?

This has always been the case. Always.

There are some parents who need to send their child to school because they have inflexible work schedules, their income is desperately needed and they may be fired if they take a day or two every time their child is sick. Single parents (mostly mothers) are in an especially tight spot but dual-income marrieds can be in the same postion.

They are unlikely to risk unemployment and homelessness on the .00000000001% chance that their child's cold germs may float to the next cafeteria table and put a medically fragile child in the hospital.

Not everyone has a stay at home mom or high income parents that can leave a symptomatic child home with a nanny.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Predictions I've seen have been around the 20-30 day mark after school starts.

Our school started Monday, no cases reported Tuesday. 6 cases Wednesday, 12 cases Thursday, 18 cases Friday.

The R0 of Delta is no joke. Where previously it was spreading to 2 - 3 people per infected person, delta is up over 8 based on some studies. That grows FAST.

Which schools in FCPS started Monday, or are you not in Fairfax?

My DC who only has contact with FCPS friends got COVID last week. You can't time this. There will be a lot of cases, they just will be underreported because they are asymptomatic or very mild due to a lot of the kids being vaccinated. My DC's case was mild and we reported it--not everyone will do that. I have friends who view getting COVID as inevitable and won't keep their kids home for a mild case that can be disguised.

This is what scares me and shows how dumb people can be. Yes, for MOST kids this will be nothing. But for that chubby, out of shape kid with a family history of diabetes - perhaps not. That kid could have covid trigger diabetes. Or, that kid with the underlying health issue that you aren't aware of that sits next to your not so sick kid you sent in to school with tylenol -- well, might not be the greatest of outcomes. There might be one kid in each school that could potentially have a serious negative outcome from covid (statistically probably a LOT less) but why would you do that to someone else's kid?

This has always been the case. Always.

There are some parents who need to send their child to school because they have inflexible work schedules, their income is desperately needed and they may be fired if they take a day or two every time their child is sick. Single parents (mostly mothers) are in an especially tight spot but dual-income marrieds can be in the same postion.

They are unlikely to risk unemployment and homelessness on the .00000000001% chance that their child's cold germs may float to the next cafeteria table and put a medically fragile child in the hospital.

Not everyone has a stay at home mom or high income parents that can leave a symptomatic child home with a nanny.

And for every one of those, there are also those whose kid "cant miss one day of school because they will get too behind" and "if I kept Larla home for every cold she would never be in school."

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Predictions I've seen have been around the 20-30 day mark after school starts.

Our school started Monday, no cases reported Tuesday. 6 cases Wednesday, 12 cases Thursday, 18 cases Friday.

The R0 of Delta is no joke. Where previously it was spreading to 2 - 3 people per infected person, delta is up over 8 based on some studies. That grows FAST.

Which schools in FCPS started Monday, or are you not in Fairfax?

My DC who only has contact with FCPS friends got COVID last week. You can't time this. There will be a lot of cases, they just will be underreported because they are asymptomatic or very mild due to a lot of the kids being vaccinated. My DC's case was mild and we reported it--not everyone will do that. I have friends who view getting COVID as inevitable and won't keep their kids home for a mild case that can be disguised.

This is what scares me and shows how dumb people can be. Yes, for MOST kids this will be nothing. But for that chubby, out of shape kid with a family history of diabetes - perhaps not. That kid could have covid trigger diabetes. Or, that kid with the underlying health issue that you aren't aware of that sits next to your not so sick kid you sent in to school with tylenol -- well, might not be the greatest of outcomes. There might be one kid in each school that could potentially have a serious negative outcome from covid (statistically probably a LOT less) but why would you do that to someone else's kid?

This has always been the case. Always.

There are some parents who need to send their child to school because they have inflexible work schedules, their income is desperately needed and they may be fired if they take a day or two every time their child is sick. Single parents (mostly mothers) are in an especially tight spot but dual-income marrieds can be in the same postion.

They are unlikely to risk unemployment and homelessness on the .00000000001% chance that their child's cold germs may float to the next cafeteria table and put a medically fragile child in the hospital.

Not everyone has a stay at home mom or high income parents that can leave a symptomatic child home with a nanny.

I get that it is tough but at the same time no one should be sending sick kids into school, whether flu or covid. Because now instead of one family being impacted it is the many. So now we have more single moms/dads who cannot take off work who might be forced to do it because once again someone was thinking of themselves. I am sorry, I might not be a single mom but I am a military mom who works and husband was deployed often. I had a job that required me to go in as well and taking time off all the time was NOT an option. So I had to make arrangements with neighbors who were retired, pay people, and at one point beg out of town in laws to come in and help. It is insane that you discount the economic loss to EVERYONE because a few people cannot make arrangements. There were weeks that I had to pay more in childcare for sick kids than what we made - not everyone on here is rich, stay at home, or have nannies. BUT, we do the right thing.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Predictions I've seen have been around the 20-30 day mark after school starts.

Our school started Monday, no cases reported Tuesday. 6 cases Wednesday, 12 cases Thursday, 18 cases Friday.

The R0 of Delta is no joke. Where previously it was spreading to 2 - 3 people per infected person, delta is up over 8 based on some studies. That grows FAST.

Which schools in FCPS started Monday, or are you not in Fairfax?

My DC who only has contact with FCPS friends got COVID last week. You can't time this. There will be a lot of cases, they just will be underreported because they are asymptomatic or very mild due to a lot of the kids being vaccinated. My DC's case was mild and we reported it--not everyone will do that. I have friends who view getting COVID as inevitable and won't keep their kids home for a mild case that can be disguised.

This is what scares me and shows how dumb people can be. Yes, for MOST kids this will be nothing. But for that chubby, out of shape kid with a family history of diabetes - perhaps not. That kid could have covid trigger diabetes. Or, that kid with the underlying health issue that you aren't aware of that sits next to your not so sick kid you sent in to school with tylenol -- well, might not be the greatest of outcomes. There might be one kid in each school that could potentially have a serious negative outcome from covid (statistically probably a LOT less) but why would you do that to someone else's kid?

This has always been the case. Always.

There are some parents who need to send their child to school because they have inflexible work schedules, their income is desperately needed and they may be fired if they take a day or two every time their child is sick. Single parents (mostly mothers) are in an especially tight spot but dual-income marrieds can be in the same postion.

They are unlikely to risk unemployment and homelessness on the .00000000001% chance that their child's cold germs may float to the next cafeteria table and put a medically fragile child in the hospital.

Not everyone has a stay at home mom or high income parents that can leave a symptomatic child home with a nanny.

I get that it is tough but at the same time no one should be sending sick kids into school, whether flu or covid. Because now instead of one family being impacted it is the many. So now we have more single moms/dads who cannot take off work who might be forced to do it because once again someone was thinking of themselves. I am sorry, I might not be a single mom but I am a military mom who works and husband was deployed often. I had a job that required me to go in as well and taking time off all the time was NOT an option. So I had to make arrangements with neighbors who were retired, pay people, and at one point beg out of town in laws to come in and help. It is insane that you discount the economic loss to EVERYONE because a few people cannot make arrangements. There were weeks that I had to pay more in childcare for sick kids than what we made - not everyone on here is rich, stay at home, or have nannies. BUT, we do the right thing.

Viruses existed before this one.

People's grannies died before this one from exposure to a cold/flu that they got from a fellow grocery shopper who got it from her husband who got it from his co-worker who got it from his kid who got it from the kid sitting next to him at storytime.

As for people not having connections for sick kids, I suppose we can petition the government to provide childcare for parents who could not or would not build the social capital that is a vital part of life. It's easy to "do the right thing" when you have the money to pay people (some people don't even have the wherewithal to "lose money" on paper for childcare or anything else) or the skills and inclination to build multiple relationships on trust and mutual exchange.

Check your privilege.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:I think these threads need people to clarify if they are in the camp of “I am concerned about my child getting covid-19” and “Even if my child contracts covid-19, i’m not worried about it”. The decision chart for these two groups is going to be different.

I am in FCPS and will not be sending my elementary school child to school tomorrow and instead will be starting a homeschool curriculum until either it pans out that cases are way down like they were in June for our area OR 5-11yo can be vaccinated.

How about “I am concerned my kids will get Covid 19 but not so concerned I will let anxiety ruin their lives because I can also logically realize that their overall risk of serious complications is still quite low and the only solution to completely avoid delta would be to sequester them in our home entirely until vaccines are here which I can’t do so I will mitigate risk where I can and hope vaccine approval arrives sooner than later” which is where I’m pretty sure 90% of us while the other 10% are on the extreme tail ends in either direction.

My people!