Reply to When will it get bad?

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Predictions I've seen have been around the 20-30 day mark after school starts.

Our school started Monday, no cases reported Tuesday. 6 cases Wednesday, 12 cases Thursday, 18 cases Friday.

The R0 of Delta is no joke. Where previously it was spreading to 2 - 3 people per infected person, delta is up over 8 based on some studies. That grows FAST. [/quote]

Which schools in FCPS started Monday, or are you not in Fairfax?[/quote]

My DC who only has contact with FCPS friends got COVID last week.  You can't time this.  There will be a lot of cases, they just will be underreported because they are asymptomatic or very mild due to a lot of the kids being vaccinated.  My DC's case was mild and we reported it--not everyone will do that.[b] I have friends who view getting COVID as inevitable and won't keep their kids home for a mild case that can be disguised[/b].  [/quote]

This is what scares me and shows how dumb people can be.  Yes, for MOST kids this will be nothing.  But for that chubby, out of shape kid with a family history of diabetes - perhaps not.  That kid could have covid trigger diabetes.  Or, that kid with the underlying health issue that you aren't aware of that sits next to your not so sick kid you sent in to school with tylenol -- well, might not be the greatest of outcomes.  There might be one kid in each school that could potentially have a serious negative outcome from covid (statistically probably a LOT less) but why would you do that to someone else's kid?[/quote]

This has always been the case.  Always.

There are some parents who need to send their child to school because they have inflexible work schedules, their income is desperately needed and they may be fired if they take a day or two every time their child is sick. Single parents (mostly mothers) are in an especially tight spot but dual-income marrieds can be in the same postion.

They are unlikely to risk unemployment and homelessness on the .00000000001% chance that their child's cold germs may float to the next cafeteria table and put a medically fragile child in the hospital.

Not everyone has a stay at home mom or high income parents that can leave a symptomatic child home with a nanny.[/quote]

And for every one of those, there are also those whose kid "cant miss one day of school because they will get too behind" and "if I kept Larla home for every cold she would never be in school."[/quote]

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